Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 16.4 | +1.1 | 6–23 | -2.1 | |
| 2 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 25.8 | -1.4 | 9–44 | -0.9 | |
| 3 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 36.2 | -0.4 | 15–50 | +1.4 | |
| 4 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 44.9 | +0.6 | 28–60 | -2.7 | |
| 5 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 53.8 | -0.0 | 43–79 | -2.7 | |
| 6 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 56.7 | +1.1 | 47–78 | -4.0 | |
| 7 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 62.4 | -1.3 | 51–80 | -4.9 | |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | ATL | 65.8 | -0.7 | 53–91 | -2.7 | |
| 9 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 75.0 | +9.8 | 64–109 | -1.9 | |
| 10 | Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | 87.2 | +12.2 | 65–121 | +4.0 | |
| 11 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 93.2 | +5.0 | 66–134 | +5.1 | |
| 12 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 94.7 | +1.2 | 78–117 | -0.1 | |
| 13 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 98.1 | +3.0 | 74–144 | +5.6 | |
| 14 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 106.5 | -6.5 | 81–124 | -1.8 | |
| 15 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 110.8 | -7.6 | 86–130 | -2.9 | |
| 16 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAC | 114.0 | +7.8 | 78–133 | -3.2 | |
| 17 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 132.3 | +9.0 | 88–162 | +1.2 | |
| 18 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 136.3 | -3.0 | 114–174 | -1.2 | |
| 19 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 141.4 | -9.8 | 114–184 | +0.8 | |
| 20 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 148.2 | +11.4 | 117–188 | +4.4 | |
| 21 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 159.2 | -5.4 | 122–186 | -2.4 | |
| 22 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 159.6 | +8.8 | 122–202 | +0.3 | |
| 23 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 159.8 | +7.3 | 137–186 | -6.3 | |
| 24 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 161.6 | -0.2 | 121–188 | +0.8 | |
| 25 | Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 174.5 | +5.9 | 139–221 | +1.5 | |
| 26 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 175.7 | +5.9 | 150–221 | -3.3 | |
| 27 | Oscar Delp | TE | NO | 193.1 | -15.6 | 145–289 | +11.6 | |
| 28 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 195.2 | -21.4 | 129–303 | +16.5 | |
| 29 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 195.2 | -0.1 | 153–255 | +4.5 | |
| 30 | Max Klare | TE | LAR | 195.6 | -10.8 | 148–283 | +4.4 | |
| 31 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 196.0 | +15.6 | 154–278 | +6.5 | |
| 32 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 199.8 | -1.7 | 152–263 | +7.1 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.72 + 0.0774 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.