Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Brock Bowers TE LV 13.4 +7.1 9–23 -4.9
2 Trey McBride TE ARI 19.1 +6.6 14–30 -5.1
3 Colston Loveland TE CHI 32.4 +12.3 18–48 -0.2
4 Tyler Warren TE IND 42.9 +6.9 28–57 -3.7
5 Tucker Kraft TE GB 52.8 +3.0 43–58 -7.6
6 Sam LaPorta TE DET 61.3 -2.3 50–69 -7.1
7 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 63.2 -0.7 53–79 -5.5
8 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 71.9 -11.1 67–78 -10.4
9 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 75.7 +1.6 63–89 -6.1
10 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 84.0 -6.2 54–141 +10.8
11 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 85.3 -14.6 66–114 -0.3
12 George Kittle TE SF 88.7 +3.8 74–116 -1.6
13 Brenton Strange TE JAC 108.3 +14.4 81–127 -2.1
14 Eli Stowers TE PHI 126.4 +2.8 89–155 +1.6
15 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 131.3 -11.8 115–177 +0.0
16 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 134.4 -11.7 118–157 -6.0
17 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 134.6 -10.1 88–202 +13.9
18 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 136.2 +13.3 115–163 -3.6
19 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 140.2 -22.5 94–187 +10.8
20 Juwan Johnson TE NO 140.6 -11.6 121–157 -5.5
21 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 143.1 +17.9 123–160 -6.2
22 Travis Kelce TE KC 148.2 -28.7 128–187 -2.9
23 Mark Andrews TE BAL 160.3 -31.6 131–207 +0.6
24 Eli Raridon TE NE 162.8 -0.2 117–236 +21.3
25 Hunter Henry TE NE 164.6 +8.9 154–177 -13.8
26 AJ Barner TE SEA 173.2 -8.7 153–188 -8.8
27 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 179.8 -28.1 149–218 -2.2
28 Max Klare TE LAR 184.2 -2.7 162–217 -5.8
29 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 186.0 +1.8 168–207 -10.5
30 Mason Taylor TE NYJ 191.9 +5.4 157–263 +5.1
31 Oscar Delp TE NO 200.2 +11.8 145–255 +6.2

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.05 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.