Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Brock Bowers TE LV 16.4 +1.1 6–23 -2.1
2 Trey McBride TE ARI 25.8 -1.4 9–44 -0.9
3 Colston Loveland TE CHI 36.2 -0.4 15–50 +1.4
4 Tyler Warren TE IND 44.9 +0.6 28–60 -2.7
5 Tucker Kraft TE GB 53.8 -0.0 43–79 -2.7
6 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 56.7 +1.1 47–78 -4.0
7 Sam LaPorta TE DET 62.4 -1.3 51–80 -4.9
8 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 65.8 -0.7 53–91 -2.7
9 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 75.0 +9.8 64–109 -1.9
10 Eli Stowers TE PHI 87.2 +12.2 65–121 +4.0
11 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 93.2 +5.0 66–134 +5.1
12 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 94.7 +1.2 78–117 -0.1
13 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 98.1 +3.0 74–144 +5.6
14 George Kittle TE SF 106.5 -6.5 81–124 -1.8
15 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 110.8 -7.6 86–130 -2.9
16 Brenton Strange TE JAC 114.0 +7.8 78–133 -3.2
17 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 132.3 +9.0 88–162 +1.2
18 Mark Andrews TE BAL 136.3 -3.0 114–174 -1.2
19 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 141.4 -9.8 114–184 +0.8
20 AJ Barner TE SEA 148.2 +11.4 117–188 +4.4
21 Travis Kelce TE KC 159.2 -5.4 122–186 -2.4
22 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 159.6 +8.8 122–202 +0.3
23 Juwan Johnson TE NO 159.8 +7.3 137–186 -6.3
24 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 161.6 -0.2 121–188 +0.8
25 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 174.5 +5.9 139–221 +1.5
26 Hunter Henry TE NE 175.7 +5.9 150–221 -3.3
27 Oscar Delp TE NO 193.1 -15.6 145–289 +11.6
28 Eli Raridon TE NE 195.2 -21.4 129–303 +16.5
29 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 195.2 -0.1 153–255 +4.5
30 Max Klare TE LAR 195.6 -10.8 148–283 +4.4
31 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 196.0 +15.6 154–278 +6.5
32 Mason Taylor TE NYJ 199.8 -1.7 152–263 +7.1

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.72 + 0.0774 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.