Model Accuracy Dashboard
Unified view of prediction accuracy for both fantasy projections and game betting
Game Prediction Accuracy
Note: All current predictions are from backtesting (historical analysis). Live prediction tracking begins when predictions are generated before game kickoff.
Moneyline (Win/Loss)
Spread (ATS)
Total (Over/Under)
Seasonal Performance
| Season | Games | Win Accuracy | Spread Error | Total Error | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 272 | 57.0% | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 271 | 55.7% | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 272 | 51.1% | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 272 | 51.8% | — | — | — |
Fantasy Projection Accuracy
No Fantasy Accuracy Data Yet
Fantasy projection accuracy tracking requires storing projections before games and comparing to actuals after.
Use the admin actions below to start tracking accuracy for upcoming weeks.
Admin Actions
Note: Projections should be stored before games each week. Actuals can be fetched after games complete.
Player Props Performance
Overall Record
Return on Investment
Best Stat Types
Weekly Performance
| Week | Wins | Losses | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 244 | 165 | 59.7% | +13.9% |
| Week 2 | 219 | 95 | 69.7% | +33.2% |
| Week 3 | 180 | 125 | 59.0% | +12.7% |
| Week 4 | 188 | 95 | 66.4% | +26.9% |
| Week 5 | 77 | 36 | 68.1% | +30.2% |
| Week 6 | 99 | 43 | 69.7% | +33.2% |
| Week 7 | 78 | 47 | 62.4% | +19.2% |
| Week 8 | 64 | 37 | 63.4% | +21.0% |
| Week 9 | 73 | 33 | 68.9% | +31.5% |
| Week 10 | 72 | 37 | 66.1% | +26.2% |
| Week 11 | 69 | 54 | 56.1% | +7.1% |
| Week 12 | 72 | 43 | 62.6% | +19.6% |
| Week 13 | 86 | 57 | 60.1% | +14.9% |
| Week 14 | 60 | 51 | 54.1% | +3.2% |
| Week 15 | 84 | 55 | 60.4% | +15.4% |
| Week 16 | 73 | 59 | 55.3% | +5.6% |
| Week 17 | 8 | 15 | 34.8% | -33.6% |
| Week 20 | 27 | 7 | 79.4% | +51.7% |
Trends & Historical Performance
No Trend Data Available
Weekly trend data will appear once you have accuracy data for multiple weeks.
Model Calibration Notes
Bias: Positive = over-projecting, Negative = under-projecting
Correlation: How well projections rank players (>0.7 is good)
MAE: Average point difference (lower is better)
RMSE: Penalizes large errors more than MAE