Model Performance
3
Settled Games
66.7%
Moneyline
66.7%
Puck Line
0.0%
Totals
64.7%
Avg Confidence
Monthly Accuracy
| Month | Games | ML Accuracy | Puck Line | Totals | Avg Conf | ML ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 64.7% | -- |
Confidence Calibration
How well model confidence matches actual win rates. Ideally, 60% confidence picks should win ~60% of the time.
| Confidence Bucket | Games | Predicted Win% | Actual Win% | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70%+ | 1 | 71.6% | 100.0% | |
| 65-70% | 1 | 65.4% | 0.0% | |
| 55-60% | 1 | 57.1% | 100.0% |
Pick Breakdown
Away Favorite
100.0%
1/1 correct
Home Favorite
50.0%
1/2 correct