Model performance
Settled prediction history
Backtest:
all 863 settled predictions were generated 2026-04-27 for games played 2024-08-24 to 2024-12-14, with the results already known. Not a live prediction record.
Settled
863
ML Accuracy
69.3%
ATS Accuracy
48.4%
O/U Accuracy
54.2%
Avg Confidence
82.1%
By season
| Season | n | Moneyline | Spread | Total | Avg Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 863 | 69.3% | 48.4% | 54.2% | 82.1% |
Recent settled predictions
| Date | Game | Predicted | Actual | Conf | ML | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-14 | Navy @ Army | 27–27 | 31–13 | 90% | L | W | W |
| 2024-12-08 | Clemson @ SMU | 22–33 | 34–31 | 95% | L | L | L |
| 2024-12-08 | Penn State @ Oregon | 25–31 | 37–45 | 91% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-08 | Marshall @ Louisiana | 24–44 | 31–3 | 91% | L | L | L |
| 2024-12-07 | Georgia @ Texas | 19–27 | 22–19 | 94% | L | L | W |
| 2024-12-07 | Iowa State @ Arizona State | 28–35 | 19–45 | 89% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-07 | Ohio @ Miami (OH) | 22–33 | 38–3 | 71% | L | L | L |
| 2024-12-07 | Tulane @ Army | 25–22 | 14–35 | 53% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-07 | UNLV @ Boise State | 20–36 | 7–21 | 94% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-07 | Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State | 18–34 | 12–52 | 78% | W | W | L |
| 2024-12-01 | New Mexico @ Hawai'i | 32–33 | 30–38 | 63% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 24–28 | 31–20 | 83% | L | L | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Houston @ BYU | 21–40 | 18–30 | 94% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Virginia @ Virginia Tech | 21–41 | 17–37 | 95% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Nevada @ UNLV | 21–49 | 14–38 | 94% | W | W | L |
| 2024-12-01 | Marshall @ James Madison | 26–30 | 35–33 | 50% | W | L | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Texas @ Texas A&M | 36–28 | 17–7 | 55% | W | W | L |
| 2024-12-01 | Washington @ Oregon | 22–45 | 21–49 | 99% | W | W | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Kansas State @ Iowa State | 30–35 | 21–29 | 81% | W | W | L |
| 2024-12-01 | Florida @ Florida State | 32–25 | 31–11 | 51% | L | L | L |
| 2024-12-01 | Oklahoma @ LSU | 28–28 | 17–37 | 82% | W | L | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Purdue @ Indiana | 16–42 | 0–66 | 96% | W | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Wyoming @ Washington State | 24–46 | 15–14 | 95% | L | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | TCU @ Cincinnati | 32–28 | 20–13 | 61% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | App State @ Georgia Southern | 26–34 | 20–29 | 89% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky | 30–25 | 17–19 | 55% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech | 22–28 | 0–33 | 82% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | UTEP @ New Mexico State | 27–33 | 42–35 | 75% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Auburn @ Alabama | 22–35 | 14–28 | 98% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Arkansas @ Missouri | 29–31 | 21–28 | 92% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Maryland @ Penn State | 15–43 | 7–44 | 99% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Rutgers @ Michigan State | 29–29 | 41–14 | 73% | L | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Fresno State @ UCLA | 23–31 | 13–20 | 85% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Notre Dame @ USC | 33–18 | 49–35 | 88% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | California @ SMU | 24–42 | 6–38 | 95% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Miami @ Syracuse | 38–31 | 38–42 | 55% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | NC State @ North Carolina | 27–40 | 35–30 | 92% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Arizona State @ Arizona | 30–24 | 49–7 | 62% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois | 22–41 | 16–24 | 94% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | UAB @ Charlotte | 38–35 | 27–29 | 51% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa | 25–36 | 63–16 | 78% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Pittsburgh @ Boston College | 24–39 | 23–34 | 90% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Old Dominion @ Arkansas State | 35–36 | 40–32 | 63% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Middle Tennessee @ Florida International | 28–32 | 24–35 | 89% | W | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State | 29–36 | 48–27 | 88% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Southern Miss @ Troy | 25–49 | 20–52 | 93% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | South Florida @ Rice | 36–32 | 28–35 | 60% | L | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan | 26–40 | 18–26 | 94% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Louisville @ Kentucky | 31–29 | 41–14 | 52% | W | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | South Carolina @ Clemson | 23–35 | 17–14 | 76% | L | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Tennessee @ Vanderbilt | 36–15 | 36–23 | 81% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 27–25 | 38–28 | 58% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Michigan @ Ohio State | 23–33 | 13–10 | 94% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | UConn @ Massachusetts | 36–28 | 47–42 | 56% | L | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 37–27 | 23–17 | 59% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Kansas @ Baylor | 29–35 | 17–45 | 83% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | West Virginia @ Texas Tech | 34–42 | 15–52 | 82% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Louisiana @ UL Monroe | 37–25 | 37–23 | 72% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | UTSA @ Army | 27–39 | 24–29 | 86% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-30 | North Texas @ Temple | 31–28 | 24–17 | 60% | L | W | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Utah @ UCF | 26–35 | 28–14 | 86% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-30 | Georgia Tech @ Georgia | 19–48 | 42–44 | 98% | W | L | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Nebraska @ Iowa | 27–39 | 10–13 | 96% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Stanford @ San José State | 21–45 | 31–34 | 90% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-29 | Mississippi State @ Ole Miss | 23–48 | 14–26 | 98% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Liberty @ Sam Houston | 24–24 | 18–20 | 52% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Utah State @ Colorado State | 23–33 | 37–42 | 89% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Texas State @ South Alabama | 23–35 | 45–38 | 84% | L | L | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Minnesota @ Wisconsin | 25–28 | 24–7 | 74% | L | L | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Oklahoma State @ Colorado | 21–47 | 0–52 | 97% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Oregon State @ Boise State | 16–49 | 18–34 | 96% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-29 | Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green | 26–30 | 28–12 | 70% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-29 | Ball State @ Ohio | 18–44 | 21–42 | 96% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-29 | Navy @ East Carolina | 28–38 | 34–20 | 94% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-29 | Memphis @ Tulane | 27–46 | 34–24 | 96% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-27 | Toledo @ Akron | 35–32 | 14–21 | 60% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-27 | Kent State @ Buffalo | 23–47 | 7–43 | 95% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-24 | USC @ UCLA | 31–26 | 19–13 | 63% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Air Force @ Nevada | 36–30 | 22–19 | 52% | L | W | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Colorado State @ Fresno State | 31–35 | 22–28 | 65% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Virginia Tech @ Duke | 30–27 | 28–31 | 73% | W | L | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Cincinnati @ Kansas State | 26–37 | 15–41 | 94% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Vanderbilt @ LSU | 25–37 | 17–24 | 86% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Texas A&M @ Auburn | 23–18 | 41–43 | 55% | W | L | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Alabama @ Oklahoma | 35–18 | 3–24 | 71% | L | L | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Iowa State @ Utah | 30–24 | 31–28 | 63% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Marshall @ Old Dominion | 31–27 | 42–35 | 53% | L | W | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Washington State @ Oregon State | 31–28 | 38–41 | 58% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Baylor @ Houston | 33–35 | 20–10 | 62% | L | L | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Army @ Notre Dame | 18–46 | 14–49 | 97% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-24 | Boise State @ Wyoming | 39–24 | 17–13 | 85% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-24 | Georgia State @ Texas State | 20–48 | 52–44 | 99% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Troy @ Louisiana | 25–39 | 30–51 | 92% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Missouri @ Mississippi State | 38–32 | 39–20 | 66% | L | L | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Louisiana Tech @ Arkansas | 22–37 | 14–35 | 82% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Wofford @ South Carolina | 15–45 | 12–56 | 98% | W | L | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Pittsburgh @ Louisville | 30–41 | 9–37 | 94% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-23 | Kentucky @ Texas | 23–40 | 14–31 | 98% | W | W | L |
| 2024-11-23 | Northwestern @ Michigan | 24–40 | 6–50 | 91% | W | W | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Penn State @ Minnesota | 37–20 | 26–25 | 51% | W | L | W |