Pick'em Mode
Week 17Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
83
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
61.0%
Percentage
8-8
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
DEN *
KC
KC -13.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+16 pts
20 - 13
15
pts
NE *
NYJ
NYJ -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
42 - 10
14
pts
DAL *
WAS
WAS -8.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
30 - 23
13
pts
LA *
ATL
ATL -7.5
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 27
12
pts
DET *
MIN
MIN -7.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
10 - 23
11
pts
ARI
CIN *
ARI -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
14 - 37
10
pts
SEA *
CAR
CAR -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
27 - 10
9
pts
TB *
MIA
MIA -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 20
8
pts
PIT *
CLE
CLE -4.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
6 - 13
7
pts
JAX *
IND
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
23 - 17
6
pts
CHI
SF *
CHI -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
38 - 42
5
pts
PHI
BUF *
PHI -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
13 - 12
4
pts
NYG *
LV
LV -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
34 - 10
3
pts
BAL
GB *
BAL -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
41 - 24
2
pts
NO
TEN *
TEN -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 26
1
pts
HOU
LAC *
HOU -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 16
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.