Closing Line Value (CLV)
Track whether we're capturing value by beating the closing line
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Avg CLV (cents)
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CLV-Positive Bets
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Bets with Odds Data
What is Closing Line Value?
Closing Line Value (CLV) measures whether you're getting better odds than the market's final price. Sharp bettors consistently beat the closing line because they identify value before the market corrects.
Why CLV Matters: Even if you lose a bet, beating the closing line indicates
you made a +EV decision. Long-term CLV-positive betting strongly correlates with profitability.
Example:
You bet OVER at -110 odds (52.4% implied probability)
Line closes at -130 odds (56.5% implied probability)
CLV = +4.1% - You captured value!
You bet OVER at -110 odds (52.4% implied probability)
Line closes at -130 odds (56.5% implied probability)
CLV = +4.1% - You captured value!
Odds Quality Analysis
Since we don't track closing lines yet, here's our odds distribution
| Odds Range | Count | Win Rate | Avg Implied Prob | Actual Win % | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading... | |||||
Full CLV Tracking Coming Soon
We're working on tracking line movements to calculate true CLV.
This will show whether we're consistently beating the market's closing odds.