MLB Slate
2026-07-10 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 59-34
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 47-47
|
Brandon Sproat
· 5.02 · 9.7
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.24 · 10.1
|
Scheduled | +110 / -121 | 8 | 54% | 47% | model leans away |
| 6:40 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 52-42
@ Detroit Tigers 43-50
|
Aaron Nola
· 5.87 · 9.2
Jack Flaherty
· 4.60 · 10.8
|
Scheduled | +107 / -118 | 8.5 | 53% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:45 PM |
New York Yankees 51-42
@ Washington Nationals 48-46
|
Ryan Weathers
· 4.29 · 10.1
Zack Littell
· 6.07 · 5.6
|
Scheduled | -155 / +139 | 10 | 40% | 48% | model leans home |
| 7:05 PM |
Kansas City Royals 38-56
@ Baltimore Orioles 43-51
|
Luinder Avila
· 5.94 · 8.4
Brandon Young
· 3.38 · 7.2
|
Scheduled | +131 / -146 | 10 | 58% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Chicago Cubs 52-41
@ Cincinnati Reds 42-50
|
Shota Imanaga
· 4.28 · 8.7
Hunter Greene
· 21.60 · 18.9
|
Scheduled | -109 / -101 | 9.5 | 49% | 46% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 48-46
@ Miami Marlins 52-42
|
Parker Messick
· 2.80 · 9.3
Sandy Alcantara
· 4.00 · 6.7
|
Scheduled | +105 / -115 | 7.5 | 52% | 50% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Seattle Mariners 47-47
@ Tampa Bay Rays 54-37
|
Luis Castillo
· 4.67 · 8.3
Nick Martinez
· 2.61 · 5.5
|
Scheduled | +111 / -122 | 8 | 54% | 53% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:15 PM |
Boston Red Sox 43-48
@ New York Mets 40-54
|
Sonny Gray
· 2.61 · 8.2
Nolan McLean
· 3.73 · 10.5
|
Scheduled | +107 / -118 | 7.5 | 53% | 47% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Athletics 41-52
@ Chicago White Sox 47-45
|
Aaron Civale
· 5.23 · 6.7
Sean Burke
· 4.15 · 9.8
|
Scheduled | +144 / -175 | 9 | 62% | 55% | model leans away |
| 8:05 PM |
Houston Astros 46-49
@ Texas Rangers 47-46
|
Hunter Brown
· 3.38 · 10.7
Cal Quantrill
· 2.45 · 6.5
|
Scheduled | -143 / +119 | 8 | 43% | 45% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:10 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 37-57
@ Minnesota Twins 46-48
|
Grayson Rodriguez
· 8.06 · 8.4
Zebby Matthews
· 4.43 · 7.5
|
Scheduled | +109 / -131 | 9 | 55% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:15 PM |
Atlanta Braves 54-38
@ St. Louis Cardinals 48-44
|
Chris Sale
· 2.27 · 10.6
Matthew Liberatore
· 5.34 · 8.4
|
Scheduled | -159 / +143 | 7.5 | 40% | 40% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 44-49
@ San Diego Padres 46-47
|
Shane Bieber
· 9.00 · 6.2
JP Sears
· 4.70 · 8.2
|
Scheduled | +104 / -115 | 8 | 52% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:10 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 46-47
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 61-33
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.25 · 6.2
Shohei Ohtani
· 1.79 · 10.0
|
Scheduled | +222 / -254 | 8.5 | 71% | 68% | model leans away |
| 10:15 PM |
Colorado Rockies 38-57
@ San Francisco Giants 39-54
|
Tanner Gordon
· 7.50 · 8.0
Tyler Mahle
· 5.70 · 8.7
|
Scheduled | +143 / -159 | 8.5 | 60% | 65% | model leans home |