Projected Final Standings
Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of 21 remaining games
Atlantic Hockey Projected Standings
| # | Team | RW | RL | OW | OL | Conf Pts | P(1st) | P(2nd) | P(3rd) | P(4th) | P(Top 4) | Position Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bentley
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 73% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 |
Sacred Heart
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 27% | 51% | 19% | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 |
Holy Cross
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 14% | 18% | |
| 4 |
Robert Morris
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 |
RIT
|
11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 |
Air Force
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 0% | 22% | 78% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 |
Canisius
|
11 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 82% | 82% | |
| 8 |
Niagara
|
8 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 |
Army
|
5 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 |
Mercyhurst
|
5 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 |
Long Island
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 |
Stonehill
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Big Ten Projected Standings
| # | Team | RW | RL | OW | OL | Conf Pts | P(1st) | P(2nd) | P(3rd) | P(4th) | P(Top 4) | Position Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Michigan State
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 |
Michigan
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 |
Penn State
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | |
| 4 |
Wisconsin
|
11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 |
Ohio State
|
7 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 |
Minnesota
|
7 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 |
Notre Dame
|
2 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
CCHA Projected Standings
| # | Team | RW | RL | OW | OL | Conf Pts | P(1st) | P(2nd) | P(3rd) | P(4th) | P(Top 4) | Position Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Minnesota State
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 0% | 53% | 47% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 |
Augustana
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 0% | 20% | 22% | 59% | 100% | |
| 3 |
St. Thomas
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 0% | 28% | 31% | 41% | 100% | |
| 4 |
Bowling Green
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 |
Michigan Tech
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 |
Bemidji State
|
6 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 |
Lake Superior
|
7 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 |
Ferris State
|
5 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 |
Northern Michigan
|
3 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 |
Alaska
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 |
Alaska-Anchorage
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 |
Lindenwood
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
ECAC Projected Standings
| # | Team | RW | RL | OW | OL | Conf Pts | P(1st) | P(2nd) | P(3rd) | P(4th) | P(Top 4) | Position Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Quinnipiac
|
15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 |
Cornell
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 47 | 0% | 7% | 34% | 59% | 100% | |
| 3 |
Dartmouth
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0% | 9% | 54% | 37% | 100% | |
| 4 |
Princeton
|
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 |
Union
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 0% | 84% | 12% | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 |
Harvard
|
11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 |
Colgate
|
7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 |
Clarkson
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 |
RPI
|
8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 |
Yale
|
5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 |
St. Lawrence
|
6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 |
Brown
|
4 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Hockey East Projected Standings
| # | Team | RW | RL | OW | OL | Conf Pts | P(1st) | P(2nd) | P(3rd) | P(4th) | P(Top 4) | Position Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Providence
|
16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 54 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 |
Massachusetts
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 |
Connecticut
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | |
| 4 |
Boston College
|
12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 |
Maine
|
9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 0% | 47% | |
| 6 |
Boston University
|
9 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 |
Northeastern
|
10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 |
Merrimack
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 |
Mass.-Lowell
|
8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 |
New Hampshire
|
8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 |
Vermont
|
8 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
NCHC Projected Standings
| # | Team | RW | RL | OW | OL | Conf Pts | P(1st) | P(2nd) | P(3rd) | P(4th) | P(Top 4) | Position Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
North Dakota
|
16 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 55 | 21% | 79% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 |
Denver
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 52 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 27% | 100% | |
| 3 |
Western Michigan
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 79% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 |
Minnesota Duluth
|
8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 73% | 100% | |
| 5 |
St. Cloud State
|
8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 |
Colorado College
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 |
Miami
|
6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 |
Omaha
|
8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 |
Arizona State
|
5 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
National Tournament Probabilities
| # | Team | Conference | Proj. Wins | Elo | NPI | P(Tournament) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Connecticut
|
Hockey East | 18.0 | 1654 | 53.83 | 100% |
| 2 |
Cornell
|
ECAC | 21.4 | 1639 | 55.55 | 100% |
| 3 |
Dartmouth
|
ECAC | 20.2 | 1590 | 55.34 | 100% |
| 4 |
Denver
|
NCHC | 21.4 | 1689 | 55.09 | 100% |
| 5 |
Massachusetts
|
Hockey East | 21.0 | 1687 | 53.87 | 100% |
| 6 |
Michigan
|
Big Ten | 26.0 | 1782 | 57.51 | 100% |
| 7 |
Michigan State
|
Big Ten | 25.0 | 1818 | 57.60 | 100% |
| 8 |
Minnesota Duluth
|
NCHC | 20.4 | 1588 | 55.09 | 100% |
| 9 |
North Dakota
|
NCHC | 25.6 | 1727 | 57.36 | 100% |
| 10 |
Penn State
|
Big Ten | 20.0 | 1658 | 54.43 | 100% |
| 11 |
Providence
|
Hockey East | 23.0 | 1735 | 56.36 | 100% |
| 12 |
Quinnipiac
|
ECAC | 27.3 | 1717 | 55.89 | 100% |
| 13 |
Western Michigan
|
NCHC | 26.6 | 1801 | 57.43 | 100% |
| 14 |
Wisconsin
|
Big Ten | 21.0 | 1671 | 54.32 | 100% |
| 15 |
St. Thomas
|
CCHA | 20.6 | 1562 | 53.43 | 59% |
| 16 |
Boston College
|
Hockey East | 19.5 | 1679 | 53.25 | 37% |
| 17 |
Michigan Tech
|
CCHA | 23.5 | 1586 | 53.26 | 34% |
| 18 |
Union
|
ECAC | 22.0 | 1560 | 53.09 | 26% |
| 19 |
Minnesota State
|
CCHA | 19.5 | 1549 | 53.05 | 24% |
| 20 |
Augustana
|
CCHA | 20.4 | 1559 | 52.89 | 20% |
| 21 |
Air Force
|
Atlantic Hockey | 18.0 | 1500 | 50.42 | 0% |
| 22 |
Alaska
|
CCHA | 14.0 | 1500 | 50.79 | 0% |
| 23 |
Alaska-Anchorage
|
CCHA | 5.0 | 1500 | 42.83 | 0% |
| 24 |
Arizona State
|
NCHC | 14.0 | 1500 | 49.37 | 0% |
| 25 |
Army
|
Atlantic Hockey | 12.0 | 1500 | 48.45 | 0% |
| 26 |
Bemidji State
|
CCHA | 15.0 | 1500 | 49.21 | 0% |
| 27 |
Bentley
|
Atlantic Hockey | 19.2 | 1498 | 51.20 | 0% |
| 28 |
Boston University
|
Hockey East | 16.0 | 1622 | 51.76 | 0% |
| 29 |
Bowling Green
|
CCHA | 18.0 | 1500 | 52.50 | 0% |
| 30 |
Brown
|
ECAC | 5.0 | 1500 | 43.76 | 0% |
| 31 |
Canisius
|
Atlantic Hockey | 18.0 | 1500 | 48.94 | 0% |
| 32 |
Clarkson
|
ECAC | 15.7 | 1498 | 49.36 | 0% |
| 33 |
Colgate
|
ECAC | 12.8 | 1442 | 48.17 | 0% |
| 34 |
Colorado College
|
NCHC | 13.0 | 1500 | 51.67 | 0% |
| 35 |
Ferris State
|
CCHA | 9.0 | 1500 | 46.08 | 0% |
| 36 |
Harvard
|
ECAC | 13.6 | 1427 | 50.14 | 0% |
| 37 |
Holy Cross
|
Atlantic Hockey | 16.8 | 1456 | 49.92 | 0% |
| 38 |
Lake Superior
|
CCHA | 11.0 | 1500 | 47.62 | 0% |
| 39 |
Lindenwood
|
CCHA | 14.0 | 1500 | 50.11 | 0% |
| 40 |
Long Island
|
Atlantic Hockey | 12.0 | 1500 | 49.37 | 0% |
| 41 |
Maine
|
Hockey East | 18.5 | 1654 | 52.71 | 0% |
| 42 |
Mass.-Lowell
|
Hockey East | 13.0 | 1466 | 48.95 | 0% |
| 43 |
Mercyhurst
|
Atlantic Hockey | 5.0 | 1500 | 42.13 | 0% |
| 44 |
Merrimack
|
Hockey East | 17.0 | 1564 | 51.96 | 0% |
| 45 |
Miami
|
NCHC | 20.0 | 1500 | 53.04 | 0% |
| 46 |
Minnesota
|
Big Ten | 11.0 | 1586 | 49.54 | 0% |
| 47 |
New Hampshire
|
Hockey East | 14.0 | 1505 | 49.92 | 0% |
| 48 |
Niagara
|
Atlantic Hockey | 13.0 | 1500 | 46.03 | 0% |
| 49 |
Northeastern
|
Hockey East | 17.0 | 1583 | 52.62 | 0% |
| 50 |
Northern Michigan
|
CCHA | 3.0 | 1500 | 42.92 | 0% |
| 51 |
Notre Dame
|
Big Ten | 9.0 | 1492 | 47.23 | 0% |
| 52 |
Ohio State
|
Big Ten | 12.0 | 1563 | 51.24 | 0% |
| 53 |
Omaha
|
NCHC | 14.0 | 1500 | 50.64 | 0% |
| 54 |
Princeton
|
ECAC | 16.0 | 1472 | 51.34 | 0% |
| 55 |
RIT
|
Atlantic Hockey | 17.0 | 1500 | 49.52 | 0% |
| 56 |
RPI
|
ECAC | 13.0 | 1500 | 47.39 | 0% |
| 57 |
Robert Morris
|
Atlantic Hockey | 13.9 | 1352 | 47.77 | 0% |
| 58 |
Sacred Heart
|
Atlantic Hockey | 19.1 | 1508 | 50.53 | 0% |
| 59 |
St. Cloud State
|
NCHC | 18.0 | 1500 | 52.41 | 0% |
| 60 |
St. Lawrence
|
ECAC | 8.0 | 1500 | 43.22 | 0% |
| 61 |
Stonehill
|
Atlantic Hockey | 9.0 | 1500 | 45.13 | 0% |
| 62 |
Vermont
|
Hockey East | 13.0 | 1450 | 47.96 | 0% |
| 63 |
Yale
|
ECAC | 10.0 | 1500 | 46.39 | 0% |