Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Brock Bowers TE LV 29.6 +1.4 24–38 -2.5
2 Trey McBride TE ARI 32.4 -1.4 24–38 -2.6
3 George Kittle TE SF 49.0 +36.3 43–73 +1.7
4 Colston Loveland TE CHI 72.2 +18.5 43–86 +4.3
5 Sam LaPorta TE DET 88.8 -0.5 86–94 -9.6
6 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 90.6 +25.1 86–107 -4.1
7 Tucker Kraft TE GB 94.0 +2.2 88–100 -8.7
8 Tyler Warren TE IND 104.0 -30.3 100–111 -8.1
9 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 104.0 -8.3 94–118 -3.9
10 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 108.0 -24.8 100–111 -9.1
11 Travis Kelce TE KC 113.2 -6.5 109–121 -8.3
12 Brenton Strange TE JAC 116.4 +16.9 107–128 -6.5
13 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 119.6 +3.9 111–124 -9.0
14 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 120.8 +15.5 109–124 -8.0
15 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 130.0 +31.7 123–145 -5.6
16 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 132.6 +10.1 121–143 -5.6
17 Hunter Henry TE NE 140.8 +3.0 135–158 -6.2
18 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 141.8 +4.0 123–160 -2.0
19 Juwan Johnson TE NO 142.0 -33.0 128–148 -7.6
20 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 149.4 -6.7 143–154 -11.1
21 Michael Mayer TE LV 152.0 +60.6 128–163 -2.9
22 Mark Andrews TE BAL 153.2 -24.5 124–177 +2.3
23 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 153.2 +36.0 137–176 -1.9
24 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 153.8 +8.0 148–158 -11.9
25 AJ Barner TE SEA 158.8 +3.2 157–163 -13.4
26 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 160.2 -21.4 152–168 -10.5
27 Mike Gesicki TE CIN 161.4 +18.1 145–180 -2.0
28 Tyler Higbee TE LAR 170.2 +59.6 158–177 -8.3
29 Mason Taylor TE NYJ 178.2 +71.8 143–244 +19.6
30 Darren Waller TE CAR 180.4 -25.4 163–205 -1.7
31 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 185.2 -31.2 163–205 -0.2
32 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 190.0 -54.8 145–267 +26.2
33 Eli Raridon TE NE 201.8 +62.0 158–264 +20.5
34 Darnell Washington TE PIT 202.4 +45.3 168–232 +7.2
35 Cade Otton TE TB 211.2 -26.5 158–244 +14.2
36 Evan Engram TE DEN 212.2 -24.0 180–233 +4.4

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 7.83 + 0.05 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.