Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 1.0 +0.0 1–1 —
2 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.0 +0.0 3–3 —
3 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 4.2 +0.3 4–5 -7.6
4 James Cook III RB BUF 5.8 +6.0 4–10 -6.0
5 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 10.0 +0.0 10–10 —
6 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 10.6 -4.8 5–15 -5.2
7 Javonte Williams RB DAL 16.8 +5.5 15–18 -7.2
8 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 19.6 +30.9 15–28 -4.0
9 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 20.2 +38.5 19–23 -7.2
10 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 22.0 +8.3 14–41 +0.9
11 Kyren Williams RB LAR 22.0 +5.5 14–39 -0.1
12 Bucky Irving RB TB 22.6 +25.7 21–23 -8.2
13 Chase Brown RB CIN 27.4 -13.6 11–42 +0.6
14 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 36.2 +15.1 28–47 -2.3
15 Derrick Henry RB BAL 45.6 -28.4 23–52 +1.2
16 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 50.2 -32.4 39–89 +9.1 CONTENTIOUS
17 Josh Jacobs RB GB 51.2 +98.8 39–69 +0.2
18 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 56.2 +23.8 47–80 +1.7
19 Breece Hall RB NYJ 56.2 -14.2 41–80 +3.7
20 Ollie Gordon II RB MIA 61.2 +79.8 47–95 +6.3 CONTENTIOUS
21 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 62.4 -2.7 55–69 -5.1
22 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 63.0 -26.3 47–80 +3.3
23 Tony Pollard RB TEN 63.2 +54.8 41–106 +11.2 CONTENTIOUS
24 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 70.8 +108.9 55–127 +16.9 CONTENTIOUS
25 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 73.6 -20.1 56–106 +6.9 CONTENTIOUS
26 Blake Corum RB LAR 85.6 +27.7 62–106 +2.7
27 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 93.6 -61.9 52–136 +14.2 CONTENTIOUS
28 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 106.4 -18.1 85–136 +6.7 CONTENTIOUS
29 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 106.4 -58.1 57–149 +26.4 CONTENTIOUS
30 Jordan Mason RB MIN 108.0 +28.3 96–127 -1.4
31 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 108.0 +68.3 89–115 -3.1
32 Woody Marks RB HOU 115.2 +49.3 96–127 -1.3
33 Rachaad White RB WAS 121.0 +50.7 96–144 +2.1
34 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 121.6 -32.1 85–165 +15.0 CONTENTIOUS
35 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 129.2 -20.5 69–170 +21.1 CONTENTIOUS
36 David Montgomery RB HOU 138.0 -68.3 69–173 +21.0 CONTENTIOUS
37 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 138.8 +39.7 130–146 -7.6
38 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 147.6 +6.1 144–150 -13.0
39 Emmett Johnson RB KC 157.8 +8.4 136–174 -1.4
40 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 159.0 -79.5 146–173 -6.8
41 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 159.4 +45.3 146–173 -5.9
42 Jadarian Price RB SEA 162.8 -25.1 146–174 -5.2
43 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 166.0 +4.0 130–184 +3.2
44 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 166.0 +22.2 165–170 -14.1
45 Alvin Kamara RB NO 174.2 -14.5 130–222 +13.2 CONTENTIOUS
46 RJ Harvey RB DEN 179.2 -59.9 175–184 -13.2
47 Kaelon Black RB SF 184.6 -3.3 156–228 +9.4 CONTENTIOUS
48 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 185.2 -40.7 146–203 +5.1 CONTENTIOUS
49 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 201.0 +4.7 175–228 +3.3
50 Seth McGowan RB IND 206.4 +76.1 173–283 +22.1 CONTENTIOUS
51 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 210.2 +67.2 184–235 +0.4
52 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 219.8 -86.0 164–248 +10.4 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 7.83 + 0.05 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.