Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 3.0 +1.2 2–5 -7.4
2 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.7 +0.3 2–5 -7.4
3 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 11.4 +4.8 8–17 -6.3
4 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 12.9 -3.9 9–18 -6.1
5 James Cook III RB BUF 14.2 -0.7 8–19 -6.0
6 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 15.0 +0.2 8–24 -4.5
7 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 17.0 -2.0 11–23 -5.9
8 De'Von Achane RB MIA 31.0 -8.0 17–52 +0.3
9 Breece Hall RB NYJ 32.3 +3.2 18–55 +0.9
10 Bucky Irving RB TB 45.0 +19.0 28–64 -1.0
11 Kyren Williams RB LAR 45.8 +6.5 32–55 -3.3
12 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 47.8 +35.5 29–64 +1.1
13 Chase Brown RB CIN 51.4 -14.9 35–77 +2.4
14 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 52.7 -7.2 27–77 +3.4
15 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 55.6 +2.2 43–87 -0.0
16 Javonte Williams RB DAL 57.2 +20.3 31–86 +1.9
17 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 62.9 -42.4 23–86 +4.4
18 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 67.3 -12.1 46–85 -2.1
19 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 67.6 +18.4 37–87 +2.0
20 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 69.9 -11.9 57–90 -3.8
21 Jadarian Price RB SEA 77.9 -13.9 59–90 -5.7
22 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 78.3 +23.2 65–98 -4.0
23 Derrick Henry RB BAL 80.4 -2.9 60–97 -3.4
24 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 81.3 -8.1 58–108 +2.7
25 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 89.7 +12.8 55–108 +3.0
26 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 90.0 +1.8 69–107 -4.2
27 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 99.9 +28.6 80–156 +5.2 CONTENTIOUS
28 Blake Corum RB LAR 107.1 +11.1 68–133 +1.3
29 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 107.4 +1.6 79–134 +1.4
30 Josh Jacobs RB GB 111.4 -0.7 87–132 -1.7
31 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 128.2 +9.5 113–144 -9.4
32 RJ Harvey RB DEN 133.1 +2.9 104–156 -1.7
33 Tony Pollard RB TEN 137.8 +8.5 114–160 -5.5
34 David Montgomery RB HOU 138.6 -28.3 102–190 +7.2 CONTENTIOUS
35 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 139.4 +14.3 114–166 -2.5
36 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 144.8 -3.8 120–164 -5.6
37 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 148.4 +34.1 104–178 +3.0
38 Emmett Johnson RB KC 149.2 +15.3 120–191 +0.4
39 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 151.4 +0.8 112–178 -2.5
40 Woody Marks RB HOU 152.8 +1.0 126–171 -4.6
41 Rachaad White RB WAS 157.0 +11.8 138–181 -5.5
42 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 161.2 +6.3 145–181 -10.1
43 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 162.0 +5.5 152–185 -11.8
44 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 162.6 +24.4 137–190 -2.5
45 Jordan Mason RB MIN 166.2 -1.2 157–182 -13.0
46 Ollie Gordon II RB MIA 167.9 +47.4 138–225 +5.2 CONTENTIOUS
47 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 172.1 -5.9 148–193 -6.7
48 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 177.9 -13.9 161–203 -10.2
49 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 179.6 +13.2 164–217 -7.6
50 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 184.1 -4.4 157–215 -4.6
51 Kaelon Black RB SF 184.1 -2.6 156–224 +1.4
52 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 188.1 +9.9 174–219 -8.7
53 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 189.3 -15.1 162–233 -0.1
54 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 189.6 +7.4 149–225 +0.8
55 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 200.0 -11.8 166–252 +2.3
56 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 200.3 -5.6 176–219 -9.6

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.05 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.