Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 1.3 +0.2 1–3 -7.5
2 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 2.7 -0.7 2–4 -7.3
3 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 3.0 +1.2 2–5 -7.4
4 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.7 +0.3 2–5 -7.4
5 Puka Nacua WR LAR 5.3 -0.3 4–7 -7.6
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.3 -0.8 4–8 -7.4
7 Malik Nabers WR NYG 10.2 +2.8 7–12 -7.3
8 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 11.4 -3.4 6–25 -3.5
9 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 11.4 +4.8 8–17 -6.3
10 Drake London WR ATL 12.1 -1.4 9–15 -7.1
11 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 12.9 -3.9 9–18 -6.1
12 Brock Bowers TE LV 13.4 +7.1 9–23 -4.9
13 James Cook III RB BUF 14.2 -0.7 8–19 -6.0
14 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 14.4 -4.4 7–24 -2.9
15 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 15.0 +0.2 8–24 -4.5
16 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 17.0 -2.0 11–23 -5.9
17 Chris Olave WR NO 18.7 +3.3 15–27 -6.1
18 Trey McBride TE ARI 19.1 +6.6 14–30 -5.1
19 Zay Flowers WR BAL 19.6 +14.4 13–27 -5.5
20 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 20.1 -2.4 14–24 -7.0
21 Josh Allen QB BUF 20.9 -1.4 7–36 -2.6
22 Drake Maye QB NE 25.4 +8.3 20–31 -6.8
23 Nico Collins WR HOU 27.0 -4.8 18–34 -4.8
24 George Pickens WR DAL 28.3 -5.6 21–40 -4.5
25 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 29.6 -5.3 17–38 -4.2
26 Luther Burden III WR CHI 30.1 +11.4 22–38 -5.9
27 De'Von Achane RB MIA 31.0 -8.0 17–52 +0.3
28 Carnell Tate WR TEN 32.0 +0.2 29–37 -8.6
29 Caleb Williams QB CHI 32.2 +8.3 14–45 -1.7
30 Breece Hall RB NYJ 32.3 +3.2 18–55 +0.9
31 Colston Loveland TE CHI 32.4 +12.3 18–48 -0.2
32 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 33.0 -5.0 27–40 -6.8
33 Matthew Golden WR GB 35.3 +62.9 29–46 -5.7
34 Joe Burrow QB CIN 36.4 -0.9 26–45 -5.1
35 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 37.0 -7.0 10–54 +3.4
36 Christian Watson WR GB 39.7 +13.6 27–48 -4.0
37 Parker Washington WR JAC 40.7 +13.3 25–71 +1.3
38 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 41.3 -7.6 35–55 -4.7
39 Tyler Warren TE IND 42.9 +6.9 28–57 -3.7
40 Tee Higgins WR CIN 43.1 -1.1 31–67 -0.3
41 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 44.1 +10.1 23–54 -2.6
42 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 44.8 +1.5 27–63 -2.6
43 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 44.9 -10.4 36–59 -3.2
44 Bucky Irving RB TB 45.0 +19.0 28–64 -1.0
45 Kyren Williams RB LAR 45.8 +6.5 32–55 -3.3
46 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 46.8 +3.5 19–56 -1.2
47 Brock Purdy QB SF 47.8 +9.5 36–56 -5.6
48 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 47.8 +35.5 29–64 +1.1
49 Chase Brown RB CIN 51.4 -14.9 35–77 +2.4
50 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 52.7 -7.2 27–77 +3.4
51 Jameson Williams WR DET 52.7 -3.9 44–70 -4.3
52 Tucker Kraft TE GB 52.8 +3.0 43–58 -7.6
53 Rashee Rice WR KC 54.0 -18.0 30–94 +7.7
54 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 55.6 +2.2 43–87 -0.0
55 Javonte Williams RB DAL 57.2 +20.3 31–86 +1.9
56 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 57.8 -7.8 43–76 -0.1
57 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 57.9 -10.1 41–76 -0.1
58 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 59.4 +17.8 41–83 +1.5
59 Denzel Boston WR CLE 61.2 +12.8 38–97 +5.9
60 Sam LaPorta TE DET 61.3 -2.3 50–69 -7.1
61 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 62.9 -42.4 23–86 +4.4
62 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 63.2 -0.7 53–79 -5.5
63 A.J. Brown WR NE 63.8 -16.8 37–82 +3.1
64 Makai Lemon WR PHI 64.0 -12.2 53–81 -5.7
65 Rome Odunze WR CHI 64.4 -14.4 42–83 -0.7
66 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 67.3 -12.1 46–85 -2.1
67 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 67.6 +18.4 37–87 +2.0
68 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 69.0 -18.2 56–87 -1.6
69 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 69.9 -11.9 57–90 -3.8
70 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 71.9 -11.1 67–78 -10.4
71 Dak Prescott QB DAL 75.0 +4.2 49–111 +5.1 CONTENTIOUS
72 Jordan Love QB GB 75.2 +15.8 55–107 +3.8
73 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 75.7 +1.6 63–89 -6.1
74 DJ Moore WR BUF 76.9 +4.9 68–95 -6.7
75 Jadarian Price RB SEA 77.9 -13.9 59–90 -5.7
76 Michael Wilson WR ARI 78.2 +4.0 62–94 -3.1
77 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 78.3 +23.2 65–98 -4.0
78 Derrick Henry RB BAL 80.4 -2.9 60–97 -3.4
79 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 81.3 -8.1 58–108 +2.7
80 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 81.4 -9.4 67–99 -5.1
81 Jalen Coker WR CAR 82.7 +17.6 58–122 +4.6
82 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 84.0 -6.2 54–141 +10.8
83 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR HOU 84.7 -14.7 71–97 -6.3
84 Jared Goff QB DET 84.9 +19.6 56–109 +0.8
85 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 85.3 -14.6 66–114 -0.3
86 Alec Pierce WR IND 87.2 +4.5 74–103 -6.6
87 Bo Nix QB DEN 88.0 -16.8 70–110 -1.6
88 George Kittle TE SF 88.7 +3.8 74–116 -1.6
89 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 89.7 +12.8 55–108 +3.0
90 Jordan Addison WR MIN 89.7 -11.4 76–102 -5.4
91 Justin Herbert QB LAC 89.8 -31.5 59–109 +2.8
92 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 90.0 +1.8 69–107 -4.2
93 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 90.6 +18.7 67–149 +9.7
94 DK Metcalf WR PIT 91.0 +2.0 78–99 -8.3
95 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 91.1 +3.1 60–124 +6.7 CONTENTIOUS
96 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 95.1 +33.6 64–126 +7.1 CONTENTIOUS
97 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 99.9 +28.6 80–156 +5.2 CONTENTIOUS
98 Josh Downs WR IND 100.8 -7.5 86–119 -7.0
99 Mike Evans WR SF 101.0 +1.8 94–112 -10.8
100 Davante Adams WR LAR 101.3 -21.3 94–118 -8.2
101 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 103.1 +3.1 93–116 -10.5
102 Tyler Shough QB NO 104.2 -9.5 91–123 -7.3
103 Fernando Mendoza QB LV 106.3 +4.7 61–137 +6.6 CONTENTIOUS
104 Blake Corum RB LAR 107.1 +11.1 68–133 +1.3
105 Antonio Williams WR WAS 107.1 +8.1 91–123 -6.2
106 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 107.4 +1.6 79–134 +1.4
107 Brenton Strange TE JAC 108.3 +14.4 81–127 -2.1
108 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 111.1 -33.6 76–174 +14.1
109 Josh Jacobs RB GB 111.4 -0.7 87–132 -1.7
110 Bryce Young QB CAR 113.0 +2.2 96–127 -7.9
111 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 113.4 -9.2 92–152 +0.2
112 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 118.2 +9.0 104–145 -4.4
113 Xavier Worthy WR KC 118.4 -17.9 97–159 +1.5
114 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 121.0 +6.5 79–192 +18.7
115 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 121.3 +1.7 99–140 -4.9
116 Germie Bernard WR PIT 123.4 +55.0 83–179 +9.1
117 Chris Bell WR MIA 123.8 +21.2 106–164 -1.5
118 Eli Stowers TE PHI 126.4 +2.8 89–155 +1.6
119 Romeo Doubs WR NE 126.7 +10.7 100–170 +3.7
120 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 128.2 +9.5 113–144 -9.4
121 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 128.7 -11.9 108–174 +1.7
122 Baker Mayfield QB TB 131.2 -1.2 111–142 -9.7
123 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 131.3 -11.8 115–177 +0.0
124 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 132.3 -15.1 104–179 +10.5
125 RJ Harvey RB DEN 133.1 +2.9 104–156 -1.7
126 Sam Darnold QB SEA 133.8 -0.5 125–141 -13.6
127 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 134.4 -11.7 118–157 -6.0
128 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 134.6 -10.1 88–202 +13.9
129 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 136.2 +13.3 115–163 -3.6
130 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 136.4 +13.0 96–212 +19.4
131 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 137.0 -13.8 100–198 +9.1
132 Tony Pollard RB TEN 137.8 +8.5 114–160 -5.5
133 David Montgomery RB HOU 138.6 -28.3 102–190 +7.2 CONTENTIOUS
134 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 139.4 +14.3 114–166 -2.5
135 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 139.5 -15.0 117–179 +2.1
136 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 139.8 -14.8 103–196 +11.0
137 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 140.1 -11.1 127–147 -14.4
138 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 140.2 -22.5 94–187 +10.8
139 Kyler Murray QB MIN 140.3 -7.8 126–166 -8.1
140 Juwan Johnson TE NO 140.6 -11.6 121–157 -5.5
141 Cam Ward QB TEN 140.6 -1.3 127–150 -11.8
142 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 141.2 -2.9 106–177 +5.5
143 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 143.1 +17.9 123–160 -6.2
144 Jayden Reed WR GB 143.6 -17.1 121–192 -0.1
145 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 144.8 -3.8 120–164 -5.6
146 Travis Kelce TE KC 148.2 -28.7 128–187 -2.9
147 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 148.4 +34.1 104–178 +3.0
148 Emmett Johnson RB KC 149.2 +15.3 120–191 +0.4
149 Malik Willis QB MIA 149.9 -12.6 137–168 -9.5
150 Ricky Pearsall WR SF 150.3 -28.3 102–183 +9.6
151 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 151.4 +0.8 112–178 -2.5
152 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 152.4 +3.9 125–238 +12.8
153 Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL 152.7 +16.6 136–182 -5.6
154 Woody Marks RB HOU 152.8 +1.0 126–171 -4.6
155 Tre Tucker WR LV 153.1 +8.9 125–175 -3.0
156 Rachaad White RB WAS 157.0 +11.8 138–181 -5.5
157 Tre' Harris WR LAC 159.1 -9.5 122–190 +1.5
158 Mark Andrews TE BAL 160.3 -31.6 131–207 +0.6
159 Daniel Jones QB IND 160.4 -8.4 147–173 -13.0
160 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 161.2 +6.3 145–181 -10.1
161 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 162.0 +5.5 152–185 -11.8
162 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 162.6 +24.4 137–190 -2.5
163 Eli Raridon TE NE 162.8 -0.2 117–236 +21.3
164 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 163.0 -10.7 132–201 +1.8
165 Travis Hunter WR JAC 163.9 -9.1 131–192 -1.1
166 Hunter Henry TE NE 164.6 +8.9 154–177 -13.8
167 Ty Simpson QB LAR 166.1 -10.4 142–204 -0.6
168 Jordan Mason RB MIN 166.2 -1.2 157–182 -13.0
169 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 166.2 -1.9 136–209 +2.0
170 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 167.4 -27.7 159–176 -15.5
171 Ollie Gordon II RB MIA 167.9 +47.4 138–225 +5.2 CONTENTIOUS
172 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 172.1 -5.9 148–193 -6.7
173 Pat Bryant WR DEN 173.0 -28.3 135–213 -0.2
174 AJ Barner TE SEA 173.2 -8.7 153–188 -8.8
175 Malachi Fields WR NYG 174.0 +25.0 120–277 +26.0
176 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 177.9 -13.9 161–203 -10.2
177 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 179.0 -17.7 157–212 -6.8
178 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 179.6 +13.2 164–217 -7.6
179 Malik Washington WR MIA 179.6 +14.7 145–235 +5.6
180 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 179.8 -28.1 149–218 -2.2
181 Keon Coleman WR BUF 179.8 +12.6 124–229 +9.2
182 Ted Hurst III WR TB 184.0 -5.5 125–250 +20.4
183 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 184.1 -4.4 157–215 -4.6
184 Kaelon Black RB SF 184.1 -2.6 156–224 +1.4
185 Max Klare TE LAR 184.2 -2.7 162–217 -5.8
186 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 185.0 +32.3 138–270 +14.6
187 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 186.0 +1.8 168–207 -10.5
188 J.J. McCarthy QB NYG 187.2 +13.8 150–224 +5.8 CONTENTIOUS
189 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 188.1 +9.9 174–219 -8.7
190 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 189.3 -15.1 162–233 -0.1
191 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 189.6 +7.4 149–225 +0.8
192 Jalen McMillan WR TB 190.0 -37.2 133–265 +16.3
193 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 190.9 -17.2 161–227 -3.9
194 Mason Taylor TE NYJ 191.9 +5.4 157–263 +5.1
195 Geno Smith QB NYJ 196.0 -2.8 158–215 -4.9
196 Devaughn Vele WR NO 199.4 +16.6 134–257 +13.6
197 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 200.0 -11.8 166–252 +2.3
198 Oscar Delp TE NO 200.2 +11.8 145–255 +6.2
199 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 200.3 -5.6 176–219 -9.6
200 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 202.1 -32.1 151–236 -0.9

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.05 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.