Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 1.1 | +0.0 | 1–2 | -6.5 | |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 3.1 | +0.2 | 2–6 | -5.5 | |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 3.8 | +0.1 | 1–6 | -5.5 | |
| 4 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 4.0 | -0.3 | 2–7 | -5.7 | |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 4.5 | +0.4 | 3–6 | -6.0 | |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 6.8 | +0.7 | 4–10 | -5.1 | |
| 7 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 7.4 | +0.0 | 4–13 | -5.2 | |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 9.5 | +0.3 | 8–13 | -6.1 | |
| 9 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 10.3 | -1.3 | 7–27 | -3.3 | |
| 10 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 10.3 | -0.6 | 4–19 | -3.5 | |
| 11 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 12.1 | -0.0 | 10–15 | -6.1 | |
| 12 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 12.3 | +2.7 | 9–16 | -5.9 | |
| 13 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 15.1 | +0.9 | 11–22 | -5.0 | |
| 14 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 16.1 | +1.1 | 11–24 | -4.4 | |
| 15 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 16.4 | +1.1 | 6–23 | -2.1 | |
| 16 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 17.6 | +1.3 | 14–30 | -3.9 | |
| 17 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | 19.4 | +2.1 | 15–29 | -3.5 | |
| 18 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 20.1 | -0.1 | 14–33 | -2.8 | |
| 19 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 20.6 | +1.6 | 7–39 | -2.4 | |
| 20 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 21.6 | -1.8 | 10–37 | -2.1 | |
| 21 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 22.0 | +2.2 | 16–43 | -2.4 | |
| 22 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 22.4 | +1.4 | 14–39 | -3.0 | |
| 23 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 24.6 | +3.4 | 10–42 | -2.3 | |
| 24 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 25.8 | -1.4 | 9–44 | -0.9 | |
| 25 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 27.1 | +3.6 | 21–49 | -2.6 | |
| 26 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 27.2 | -0.1 | 19–38 | -3.9 | |
| 27 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 27.7 | +1.4 | 20–39 | -3.6 | |
| 28 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 29.9 | -2.1 | 20–40 | -3.3 | |
| 29 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 32.3 | -0.3 | 25–47 | -3.7 | |
| 30 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 33.2 | +2.6 | 21–52 | -1.1 | |
| 31 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 33.5 | +5.5 | 22–50 | -3.3 | |
| 32 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 33.6 | +3.5 | 26–42 | -4.0 | |
| 33 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 34.1 | +3.2 | 24–54 | -1.8 | |
| 34 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 35.1 | -4.5 | 22–52 | -0.6 | |
| 35 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 35.2 | -2.9 | 20–49 | -1.6 | |
| 36 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 36.2 | -0.4 | 15–50 | +1.4 | |
| 37 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 36.9 | +1.4 | 22–67 | -0.8 | |
| 38 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 37.2 | -1.1 | 20–67 | +0.5 | |
| 39 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 38.5 | +4.0 | 24–50 | -4.1 | |
| 40 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 41.8 | +2.1 | 33–68 | -2.6 | |
| 41 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 43.0 | +2.3 | 33–58 | -2.9 | |
| 42 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 43.1 | -2.5 | 32–67 | -2.2 | |
| 43 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 44.2 | -0.2 | 22–82 | +4.9 | |
| 44 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 44.9 | +0.6 | 28–60 | -2.7 | |
| 45 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 45.0 | -1.6 | 28–68 | -2.8 | |
| 46 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 46.0 | +3.8 | 16–96 | +5.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 47 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 47.1 | +0.2 | 33–70 | -1.6 | |
| 48 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 50.2 | +3.4 | 39–68 | -1.5 | |
| 49 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 50.9 | +1.6 | 36–87 | +1.4 | |
| 50 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | KC | 51.6 | +0.9 | 20–90 | +2.5 | |
| 51 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 53.0 | -1.1 | 34–66 | -1.4 | |
| 52 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 53.8 | -0.0 | 43–79 | -2.7 | |
| 53 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 53.8 | -1.4 | 32–77 | +0.1 | |
| 54 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 54.6 | -0.6 | 39–72 | -0.9 | |
| 55 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 55.2 | -0.8 | 31–68 | -0.5 | |
| 56 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 55.5 | -2.4 | 41–75 | -3.0 | |
| 57 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 56.4 | -0.8 | 28–84 | +0.5 | |
| 58 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 56.7 | +1.1 | 47–78 | -4.0 | |
| 59 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAC | 59.0 | +3.4 | 45–90 | -0.2 | |
| 60 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 59.7 | -1.4 | 46–74 | -3.8 | |
| 61 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAC | 62.2 | -6.7 | 42–76 | -1.5 | |
| 62 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 62.4 | -1.3 | 51–80 | -4.9 | |
| 63 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | NO | 63.7 | +1.2 | 50–75 | -4.9 | |
| 64 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 65.2 | +7.6 | 44–87 | +0.3 | |
| 65 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | ATL | 65.8 | -0.7 | 53–91 | -2.7 | |
| 66 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 67.1 | +0.2 | 52–81 | -5.6 | |
| 67 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 68.2 | +5.1 | 54–80 | -3.2 | |
| 68 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 68.8 | -0.3 | 52–86 | -2.6 | |
| 69 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 69.6 | +1.1 | 58–108 | +1.9 | |
| 70 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 69.8 | -4.7 | 45–87 | +0.2 | |
| 71 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 70.2 | +0.4 | 42–88 | -1.8 | |
| 72 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 70.3 | -4.4 | 55–117 | +3.9 | |
| 73 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 73.8 | +2.8 | 57–99 | -3.8 | |
| 74 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 74.4 | -1.9 | 68–83 | -8.2 | |
| 75 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 74.5 | +1.8 | 57–93 | -4.0 | |
| 76 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 74.6 | +3.2 | 56–99 | +0.1 | |
| 77 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 75.0 | +9.8 | 64–109 | -1.9 | |
| 78 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 80.6 | -2.5 | 58–90 | -4.8 | |
| 79 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 80.8 | +1.5 | 64–99 | -3.1 | |
| 80 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAC | 82.7 | +3.5 | 61–98 | -2.7 | |
| 81 | Parker Washington | WR | JAC | 83.3 | +12.9 | 56–118 | +1.6 | |
| 82 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 84.4 | +2.9 | 60–111 | +0.7 | |
| 83 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 85.8 | -5.8 | 71–99 | -5.8 | |
| 84 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 86.7 | -8.2 | 55–124 | +2.4 | |
| 85 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 87.0 | +1.5 | 70–115 | -0.7 | |
| 86 | Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | 87.2 | +12.2 | 65–121 | +4.0 | |
| 87 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 88.7 | +5.4 | 69–106 | -4.0 | |
| 88 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 88.8 | +2.0 | 80–98 | -8.7 | |
| 89 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 90.8 | +0.9 | 72–110 | -3.8 | |
| 90 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 92.5 | +4.3 | 74–118 | -4.4 | |
| 91 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 93.2 | +5.0 | 66–134 | +5.1 | |
| 92 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 94.7 | +1.2 | 78–117 | -0.1 | |
| 93 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 95.2 | +2.8 | 78–120 | -4.4 | |
| 94 | Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | 96.0 | +1.9 | 76–120 | -3.1 | |
| 95 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 96.1 | +2.8 | 78–132 | -2.9 | |
| 96 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 97.7 | +7.6 | 51–125 | +2.3 | |
| 97 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 97.8 | -2.4 | 70–118 | -1.6 | |
| 98 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 98.1 | +3.0 | 74–144 | +5.6 | |
| 99 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 99.5 | -4.5 | 84–115 | -6.1 | |
| 100 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 99.8 | -0.3 | 82–112 | -7.1 | |
| 101 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | PIT | 100.5 | -1.2 | 79–118 | -4.5 | |
| 102 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 105.5 | +8.4 | 82–122 | -4.2 | |
| 103 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 106.5 | +0.0 | 64–141 | +3.0 | |
| 104 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 106.5 | -6.5 | 81–124 | -1.8 | |
| 105 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 106.8 | -4.8 | 73–145 | -0.7 | |
| 106 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 107.8 | +1.8 | 85–126 | -3.7 | |
| 107 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 108.1 | -0.8 | 74–139 | -0.3 | |
| 108 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 108.2 | +0.7 | 75–128 | -2.6 | |
| 109 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAC | 110.3 | -0.1 | 96–133 | -5.1 | |
| 110 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 110.8 | -7.6 | 86–130 | -2.9 | |
| 111 | Ricky Pearsall | WR | SF | 111.3 | -18.0 | 76–169 | +9.1 | |
| 112 | Fernando Mendoza | QB | LV | 112.7 | +0.8 | 91–147 | -0.7 | |
| 113 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 112.9 | +5.9 | 90–132 | -1.8 | |
| 114 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 113.2 | +2.2 | 86–141 | -1.0 | |
| 115 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 113.8 | -7.5 | 92–138 | -4.8 | |
| 116 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAC | 114.0 | +7.8 | 78–133 | -3.2 | |
| 117 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 116.5 | +8.9 | 96–146 | -0.5 | |
| 118 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 119.0 | -1.6 | 109–141 | -5.7 | |
| 119 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 119.2 | +9.6 | 89–141 | -1.9 | |
| 120 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 122.7 | +8.6 | 110–142 | -5.3 | |
| 121 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 122.8 | -0.0 | 87–156 | +1.0 | |
| 122 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 123.3 | +7.8 | 106–148 | -4.9 | |
| 123 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | 124.5 | +16.9 | 88–165 | +6.4 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 124 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAC | 124.7 | -10.3 | 87–160 | +2.6 | |
| 125 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 124.7 | +7.0 | 101–152 | -3.9 | |
| 126 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 125.0 | -0.7 | 97–174 | +2.6 | |
| 127 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 126.8 | -0.5 | 96–159 | -1.8 | |
| 128 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 127.8 | +2.3 | 95–154 | +0.3 | |
| 129 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 129.4 | -3.6 | 107–157 | -5.5 | |
| 130 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 130.2 | -6.5 | 100–162 | +0.7 | |
| 131 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 131.2 | -7.3 | 103–141 | -6.9 | |
| 132 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 132.3 | +9.0 | 88–162 | +1.2 | |
| 133 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 134.6 | -2.2 | 106–151 | -6.3 | |
| 134 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 135.1 | +5.9 | 115–172 | -1.6 | |
| 135 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 135.4 | -2.1 | 108–156 | -7.0 | |
| 136 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 136.3 | -3.0 | 114–174 | -1.2 | |
| 137 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 137.1 | +24.7 | 99–172 | +0.1 | |
| 138 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 139.9 | +2.8 | 111–174 | -4.8 | |
| 139 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 141.4 | -9.8 | 114–184 | +0.8 | |
| 140 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 142.7 | +1.0 | 112–168 | -6.2 | |
| 141 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 142.8 | +1.4 | 100–190 | +4.6 | |
| 142 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 143.1 | -5.0 | 123–164 | -6.1 | |
| 143 | Tre' Harris | WR | LAC | 144.1 | +3.1 | 112–196 | +2.8 | |
| 144 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 145.2 | +3.2 | 122–214 | +4.7 | |
| 145 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 145.6 | +2.2 | 118–173 | -4.3 | |
| 146 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 146.3 | +5.1 | 104–179 | +1.4 | |
| 147 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 147.2 | -4.9 | 111–167 | -6.9 | |
| 148 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 147.2 | +2.2 | 117–178 | -5.2 | |
| 149 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 148.2 | +11.4 | 117–188 | +4.4 | |
| 150 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 149.9 | -0.8 | 139–191 | -7.3 | |
| 151 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 154.1 | +7.0 | 127–168 | -7.3 | |
| 152 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 155.5 | -2.2 | 123–182 | -4.5 | |
| 153 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 156.9 | +0.6 | 130–209 | +0.1 | |
| 154 | Ty Simpson | QB | LAR | 157.5 | -2.2 | 148–184 | -10.2 | |
| 155 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 159.2 | -5.4 | 122–186 | -2.4 | |
| 156 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 159.6 | +8.8 | 122–202 | +0.3 | |
| 157 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 159.8 | +7.3 | 137–186 | -6.3 | |
| 158 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 160.9 | -3.4 | 128–185 | -4.1 | |
| 159 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 161.6 | -0.2 | 121–188 | +0.8 | |
| 160 | Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | 161.7 | +0.2 | 114–232 | +9.0 | |
| 161 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 162.9 | +5.8 | 128–208 | +3.9 | |
| 162 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 163.0 | -1.3 | 118–241 | +7.0 | |
| 163 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 164.8 | -0.2 | 128–197 | -1.9 | |
| 164 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 165.5 | +1.8 | 135–200 | -2.1 | |
| 165 | Elijah Sarratt | WR | BAL | 166.3 | -0.9 | 131–237 | +3.5 | |
| 166 | Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN | 170.2 | +3.2 | 132–226 | +2.5 | |
| 167 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 171.0 | -4.4 | 143–203 | -4.5 | |
| 168 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 171.4 | +3.2 | 146–197 | -4.2 | |
| 169 | Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | 172.9 | +18.3 | 143–276 | +10.3 | |
| 170 | Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 174.5 | +5.9 | 139–221 | +1.5 | |
| 171 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 175.7 | -7.3 | 168–199 | -11.9 | |
| 172 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 175.7 | +5.9 | 150–221 | -3.3 | |
| 173 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 178.5 | -1.9 | 156–252 | +3.0 | |
| 174 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 179.4 | +5.9 | 140–200 | -5.9 | |
| 175 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 179.8 | -1.2 | 129–243 | +2.5 | |
| 176 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | NE | 179.8 | +4.0 | 161–208 | -8.4 | |
| 177 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 181.5 | +0.2 | 160–252 | +1.4 | |
| 178 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAC | 183.0 | +1.1 | 130–220 | +3.2 | |
| 179 | Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 183.9 | +2.3 | 145–237 | +4.8 | |
| 180 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 185.6 | +10.4 | 152–266 | +7.0 | |
| 181 | Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 185.9 | +11.8 | 146–236 | +0.1 | |
| 182 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 186.2 | +5.0 | 144–278 | +8.8 | |
| 183 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 189.1 | -2.2 | 134–260 | +10.1 | |
| 184 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 189.7 | +13.3 | 148–277 | +9.6 | |
| 185 | Skyler Bell | WR | BUF | 190.1 | -2.0 | 156–236 | +2.7 | |
| 186 | Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | 192.3 | -47.9 | 151–232 | +2.9 | |
| 187 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 192.5 | -8.3 | 157–223 | -2.9 | |
| 188 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | ATL | 192.7 | +1.0 | 154–244 | +8.4 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 189 | Oscar Delp | TE | NO | 193.1 | -15.6 | 145–289 | +11.6 | |
| 190 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | CAR | 194.7 | -21.8 | 131–302 | +13.7 | |
| 191 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 195.2 | -21.4 | 129–303 | +16.5 | |
| 192 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 195.2 | -0.1 | 153–255 | +4.5 | |
| 193 | Max Klare | TE | LAR | 195.6 | -10.8 | 148–283 | +4.4 | |
| 194 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 196.0 | +15.6 | 154–278 | +6.5 | |
| 195 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 196.7 | -8.6 | 143–272 | +9.4 | |
| 196 | Jack Bech | WR | LV | 199.6 | +1.0 | 176–244 | -1.7 | |
| 197 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 199.8 | -1.7 | 152–263 | +7.1 | |
| 198 | Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | 200.3 | -3.6 | 136–274 | +6.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 199 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 201.9 | +7.5 | 165–298 | +7.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 200 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 202.9 | -7.2 | 173–271 | +3.8 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.72 + 0.0774 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.