Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 1.1 +0.0 1–2 -6.5
2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 3.1 +0.2 2–6 -5.5
3 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.8 +0.1 1–6 -5.5
4 Puka Nacua WR LAR 4.0 -0.3 2–7 -5.7
5 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 4.5 +0.4 3–6 -6.0
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.8 +0.7 4–10 -5.1
7 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 7.4 +0.0 4–13 -5.2
8 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 9.5 +0.3 8–13 -6.1
9 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 10.3 -1.3 7–27 -3.3
10 Malik Nabers WR NYG 10.3 -0.6 4–19 -3.5
11 Drake London WR ATL 12.1 -0.0 10–15 -6.1
12 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 12.3 +2.7 9–16 -5.9
13 De'Von Achane RB MIA 15.1 +0.9 11–22 -5.0
14 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 16.1 +1.1 11–24 -4.4
15 Brock Bowers TE LV 16.4 +1.1 6–23 -2.1
16 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 17.6 +1.3 14–30 -3.9
17 James Cook III RB BUF 19.4 +2.1 15–29 -3.5
18 Nico Collins WR HOU 20.1 -0.1 14–33 -2.8
19 Josh Allen QB BUF 20.6 +1.6 7–39 -2.4
20 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 21.6 -1.8 10–37 -2.1
21 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 22.0 +2.2 16–43 -2.4
22 George Pickens WR DAL 22.4 +1.4 14–39 -3.0
23 Drake Maye QB NE 24.6 +3.4 10–42 -2.3
24 Trey McBride TE ARI 25.8 -1.4 9–44 -0.9
25 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 27.1 +3.6 21–49 -2.6
26 Chris Olave WR NO 27.2 -0.1 19–38 -3.9
27 Carnell Tate WR TEN 27.7 +1.4 20–39 -3.6
28 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 29.9 -2.1 20–40 -3.3
29 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 32.3 -0.3 25–47 -3.7
30 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 33.2 +2.6 21–52 -1.1
31 Luther Burden III WR CHI 33.5 +5.5 22–50 -3.3
32 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 33.6 +3.5 26–42 -4.0
33 Zay Flowers WR BAL 34.1 +3.2 24–54 -1.8
34 Breece Hall RB NYJ 35.1 -4.5 22–52 -0.6
35 A.J. Brown WR NE 35.2 -2.9 20–49 -1.6
36 Colston Loveland TE CHI 36.2 -0.4 15–50 +1.4
37 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 36.9 +1.4 22–67 -0.8
38 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 37.2 -1.1 20–67 +0.5
39 Chase Brown RB CIN 38.5 +4.0 24–50 -4.1
40 Makai Lemon WR PHI 41.8 +2.1 33–68 -2.6
41 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 43.0 +2.3 33–58 -2.9
42 Tee Higgins WR CIN 43.1 -2.5 32–67 -2.2
43 Rashee Rice WR KC 44.2 -0.2 22–82 +4.9
44 Tyler Warren TE IND 44.9 +0.6 28–60 -2.7
45 Joe Burrow QB CIN 45.0 -1.6 28–68 -2.8
46 Caleb Williams QB CHI 46.0 +3.8 16–96 +5.8 CONTENTIOUS
47 Rome Odunze WR CHI 47.1 +0.2 33–70 -1.6
48 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 50.2 +3.4 39–68 -1.5
49 Justin Herbert QB LAC 50.9 +1.6 36–87 +1.4
50 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 51.6 +0.9 20–90 +2.5
51 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 53.0 -1.1 34–66 -1.4
52 Tucker Kraft TE GB 53.8 -0.0 43–79 -2.7
53 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 53.8 -1.4 32–77 +0.1
54 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 54.6 -0.6 39–72 -0.9
55 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 55.2 -0.8 31–68 -0.5
56 Jameson Williams WR DET 55.5 -2.4 41–75 -3.0
57 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 56.4 -0.8 28–84 +0.5
58 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 56.7 +1.1 47–78 -4.0
59 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 59.0 +3.4 45–90 -0.2
60 Kyren Williams RB LAR 59.7 -1.4 46–74 -3.8
61 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 62.2 -6.7 42–76 -1.5
62 Sam LaPorta TE DET 62.4 -1.3 51–80 -4.9
63 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 63.7 +1.2 50–75 -4.9
64 Christian Watson WR GB 65.2 +7.6 44–87 +0.3
65 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 65.8 -0.7 53–91 -2.7
66 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 67.1 +0.2 52–81 -5.6
67 Jadarian Price RB SEA 68.2 +5.1 54–80 -3.2
68 Javonte Williams RB DAL 68.8 -0.3 52–86 -2.6
69 Brock Purdy QB SF 69.6 +1.1 58–108 +1.9
70 Bucky Irving RB TB 69.8 -4.7 45–87 +0.2
71 KC Concepcion WR CLE 70.2 +0.4 42–88 -1.8
72 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 70.3 -4.4 55–117 +3.9
73 Alec Pierce WR IND 73.8 +2.8 57–99 -3.8
74 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 74.4 -1.9 68–83 -8.2
75 DJ Moore WR BUF 74.5 +1.8 57–93 -4.0
76 Bo Nix QB DEN 74.6 +3.2 56–99 +0.1
77 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 75.0 +9.8 64–109 -1.9
78 Derrick Henry RB BAL 80.6 -2.5 58–90 -4.8
79 Jordan Addison WR MIN 80.8 +1.5 64–99 -3.1
80 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 82.7 +3.5 61–98 -2.7
81 Parker Washington WR JAC 83.3 +12.9 56–118 +1.6
82 Dak Prescott QB DAL 84.4 +2.9 60–111 +0.7
83 DK Metcalf WR PIT 85.8 -5.8 71–99 -5.8
84 Josh Jacobs RB GB 86.7 -8.2 55–124 +2.4
85 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 87.0 +1.5 70–115 -0.7
86 Eli Stowers TE PHI 87.2 +12.2 65–121 +4.0
87 Michael Wilson WR ARI 88.7 +5.4 69–106 -4.0
88 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 88.8 +2.0 80–98 -8.7
89 Jordan Love QB GB 90.8 +0.9 72–110 -3.8
90 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 92.5 +4.3 74–118 -4.4
91 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 93.2 +5.0 66–134 +5.1
92 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 94.7 +1.2 78–117 -0.1
93 David Montgomery RB HOU 95.2 +2.8 78–120 -4.4
94 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 96.0 +1.9 76–120 -3.1
95 Josh Downs WR IND 96.1 +2.8 78–132 -2.9
96 Denzel Boston WR CLE 97.7 +7.6 51–125 +2.3
97 Davante Adams WR LAR 97.8 -2.4 70–118 -1.6
98 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 98.1 +3.0 74–144 +5.6
99 Mike Evans WR SF 99.5 -4.5 84–115 -6.1
100 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 99.8 -0.3 82–112 -7.1
101 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 100.5 -1.2 79–118 -4.5
102 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 105.5 +8.4 82–122 -4.2
103 Jared Goff QB DET 106.5 +0.0 64–141 +3.0
104 George Kittle TE SF 106.5 -6.5 81–124 -1.8
105 Xavier Worthy WR KC 106.8 -4.8 73–145 -0.7
106 Jayden Reed WR GB 107.8 +1.8 85–126 -3.7
107 RJ Harvey RB DEN 108.1 -0.8 74–139 -0.3
108 Matthew Golden WR GB 108.2 +0.7 75–128 -2.6
109 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 110.3 -0.1 96–133 -5.1
110 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 110.8 -7.6 86–130 -2.9
111 Ricky Pearsall WR SF 111.3 -18.0 76–169 +9.1
112 Fernando Mendoza QB LV 112.7 +0.8 91–147 -0.7
113 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 112.9 +5.9 90–132 -1.8
114 Baker Mayfield QB TB 113.2 +2.2 86–141 -1.0
115 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 113.8 -7.5 92–138 -4.8
116 Brenton Strange TE JAC 114.0 +7.8 78–133 -3.2
117 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 116.5 +8.9 96–146 -0.5
118 Cam Ward QB TEN 119.0 -1.6 109–141 -5.7
119 Blake Corum RB LAR 119.2 +9.6 89–141 -1.9
120 Tyler Shough QB NO 122.7 +8.6 110–142 -5.3
121 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 122.8 -0.0 87–156 +1.0
122 Antonio Williams WR WAS 123.3 +7.8 106–148 -4.9
123 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 124.5 +16.9 88–165 +6.4 CONTENTIOUS
124 Travis Hunter WR JAC 124.7 -10.3 87–160 +2.6
125 Jalen Coker WR CAR 124.7 +7.0 101–152 -3.9
126 Romeo Doubs WR NE 125.0 -0.7 97–174 +2.6
127 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 126.8 -0.5 96–159 -1.8
128 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 127.8 +2.3 95–154 +0.3
129 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 129.4 -3.6 107–157 -5.5
130 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 130.2 -6.5 100–162 +0.7
131 Kyler Murray QB MIN 131.2 -7.3 103–141 -6.9
132 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 132.3 +9.0 88–162 +1.2
133 Sam Darnold QB SEA 134.6 -2.2 106–151 -6.3
134 Chris Bell WR MIA 135.1 +5.9 115–172 -1.6
135 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 135.4 -2.1 108–156 -7.0
136 Mark Andrews TE BAL 136.3 -3.0 114–174 -1.2
137 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 137.1 +24.7 99–172 +0.1
138 Malik Willis QB MIA 139.9 +2.8 111–174 -4.8
139 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 141.4 -9.8 114–184 +0.8
140 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 142.7 +1.0 112–168 -6.2
141 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 142.8 +1.4 100–190 +4.6
142 Tony Pollard RB TEN 143.1 -5.0 123–164 -6.1
143 Tre' Harris WR LAC 144.1 +3.1 112–196 +2.8
144 Jalen McMillan WR TB 145.2 +3.2 122–214 +4.7
145 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 145.6 +2.2 118–173 -4.3
146 Germie Bernard WR PIT 146.3 +5.1 104–179 +1.4
147 Bryce Young QB CAR 147.2 -4.9 111–167 -6.9
148 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 147.2 +2.2 117–178 -5.2
149 AJ Barner TE SEA 148.2 +11.4 117–188 +4.4
150 Daniel Jones QB IND 149.9 -0.8 139–191 -7.3
151 Rachaad White RB WAS 154.1 +7.0 127–168 -7.3
152 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 155.5 -2.2 123–182 -4.5
153 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 156.9 +0.6 130–209 +0.1
154 Ty Simpson QB LAR 157.5 -2.2 148–184 -10.2
155 Travis Kelce TE KC 159.2 -5.4 122–186 -2.4
156 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 159.6 +8.8 122–202 +0.3
157 Juwan Johnson TE NO 159.8 +7.3 137–186 -6.3
158 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 160.9 -3.4 128–185 -4.1
159 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 161.6 -0.2 121–188 +0.8
160 Ted Hurst III WR TB 161.7 +0.2 114–232 +9.0
161 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 162.9 +5.8 128–208 +3.9
162 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 163.0 -1.3 118–241 +7.0
163 Woody Marks RB HOU 164.8 -0.2 128–197 -1.9
164 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 165.5 +1.8 135–200 -2.1
165 Elijah Sarratt WR BAL 166.3 -0.9 131–237 +3.5
166 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 170.2 +3.2 132–226 +2.5
167 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 171.0 -4.4 143–203 -4.5
168 Jordan Mason RB MIN 171.4 +3.2 146–197 -4.2
169 Zachariah Branch WR ATL 172.9 +18.3 143–276 +10.3
170 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 174.5 +5.9 139–221 +1.5
171 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 175.7 -7.3 168–199 -11.9
172 Hunter Henry TE NE 175.7 +5.9 150–221 -3.3
173 Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL 178.5 -1.9 156–252 +3.0
174 Emmett Johnson RB KC 179.4 +5.9 140–200 -5.9
175 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 179.8 -1.2 129–243 +2.5
176 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 179.8 +4.0 161–208 -8.4
177 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 181.5 +0.2 160–252 +1.4
178 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 183.0 +1.1 130–220 +3.2
179 Troy Franklin WR DEN 183.9 +2.3 145–237 +4.8
180 Pat Bryant WR DEN 185.6 +10.4 152–266 +7.0
181 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 185.9 +11.8 146–236 +0.1
182 Malachi Fields WR NYG 186.2 +5.0 144–278 +8.8
183 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 189.1 -2.2 134–260 +10.1
184 Jalen Nailor WR LV 189.7 +13.3 148–277 +9.6
185 Skyler Bell WR BUF 190.1 -2.0 156–236 +2.7
186 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 192.3 -47.9 151–232 +2.9
187 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 192.5 -8.3 157–223 -2.9
188 Tua Tagovailoa QB ATL 192.7 +1.0 154–244 +8.4 CONTENTIOUS
189 Oscar Delp TE NO 193.1 -15.6 145–289 +11.6
190 Chris Brazzell II WR CAR 194.7 -21.8 131–302 +13.7
191 Eli Raridon TE NE 195.2 -21.4 129–303 +16.5
192 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 195.2 -0.1 153–255 +4.5
193 Max Klare TE LAR 195.6 -10.8 148–283 +4.4
194 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 196.0 +15.6 154–278 +6.5
195 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 196.7 -8.6 143–272 +9.4
196 Jack Bech WR LV 199.6 +1.0 176–244 -1.7
197 Mason Taylor TE NYJ 199.8 -1.7 152–263 +7.1
198 Kaytron Allen RB WAS 200.3 -3.6 136–274 +6.2 CONTENTIOUS
199 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 201.9 +7.5 165–298 +7.0 CONTENTIOUS
200 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 202.9 -7.2 173–271 +3.8

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.72 + 0.0774 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.