Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 1.3 +0.2 1–3 -7.5
2 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 2.7 -0.7 2–4 -7.3
3 Puka Nacua WR LAR 5.3 -0.3 4–7 -7.6
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.3 -0.8 4–8 -7.4
5 Malik Nabers WR NYG 10.2 +2.8 7–12 -7.3
6 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 11.4 -3.4 6–25 -3.5
7 Drake London WR ATL 12.1 -1.4 9–15 -7.1
8 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 14.4 -4.4 7–24 -2.9
9 Chris Olave WR NO 18.7 +3.3 15–27 -6.1
10 Zay Flowers WR BAL 19.6 +14.4 13–27 -5.5
11 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 20.1 -2.4 14–24 -7.0
12 Nico Collins WR HOU 27.0 -4.8 18–34 -4.8
13 George Pickens WR DAL 28.3 -5.6 21–40 -4.5
14 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 29.6 -5.3 17–38 -4.2
15 Luther Burden III WR CHI 30.1 +11.4 22–38 -5.9
16 Carnell Tate WR TEN 32.0 +0.2 29–37 -8.6
17 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 33.0 -5.0 27–40 -6.8
18 Matthew Golden WR GB 35.3 +62.9 29–46 -5.7
19 Christian Watson WR GB 39.7 +13.6 27–48 -4.0
20 Parker Washington WR JAC 40.7 +13.3 25–71 +1.3
21 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 41.3 -7.6 35–55 -4.7
22 Tee Higgins WR CIN 43.1 -1.1 31–67 -0.3
23 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 44.9 -10.4 36–59 -3.2
24 Jameson Williams WR DET 52.7 -3.9 44–70 -4.3
25 Rashee Rice WR KC 54.0 -18.0 30–94 +7.7
26 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 57.8 -7.8 43–76 -0.1
27 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 57.9 -10.1 41–76 -0.1
28 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 59.4 +17.8 41–83 +1.5
29 Denzel Boston WR CLE 61.2 +12.8 38–97 +5.9
30 A.J. Brown WR NE 63.8 -16.8 37–82 +3.1
31 Makai Lemon WR PHI 64.0 -12.2 53–81 -5.7
32 Rome Odunze WR CHI 64.4 -14.4 42–83 -0.7
33 DJ Moore WR BUF 76.9 +4.9 68–95 -6.7
34 Michael Wilson WR ARI 78.2 +4.0 62–94 -3.1
35 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 81.4 -9.4 67–99 -5.1
36 Jalen Coker WR CAR 82.7 +17.6 58–122 +4.6
37 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR HOU 84.7 -14.7 71–97 -6.3
38 Alec Pierce WR IND 87.2 +4.5 74–103 -6.6
39 Jordan Addison WR MIN 89.7 -11.4 76–102 -5.4
40 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 90.6 +18.7 67–149 +9.7
41 DK Metcalf WR PIT 91.0 +2.0 78–99 -8.3
42 Josh Downs WR IND 100.8 -7.5 86–119 -7.0
43 Mike Evans WR SF 101.0 +1.8 94–112 -10.8
44 Davante Adams WR LAR 101.3 -21.3 94–118 -8.2
45 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 103.1 +3.1 93–116 -10.5
46 Antonio Williams WR WAS 107.1 +8.1 91–123 -6.2
47 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 111.1 -33.6 76–174 +14.1
48 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 113.4 -9.2 92–152 +0.2
49 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 118.2 +9.0 104–145 -4.4
50 Xavier Worthy WR KC 118.4 -17.9 97–159 +1.5
51 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 121.0 +6.5 79–192 +18.7
52 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 121.3 +1.7 99–140 -4.9
53 Germie Bernard WR PIT 123.4 +55.0 83–179 +9.1
54 Chris Bell WR MIA 123.8 +21.2 106–164 -1.5
55 Romeo Doubs WR NE 126.7 +10.7 100–170 +3.7
56 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 128.7 -11.9 108–174 +1.7
57 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 132.3 -15.1 104–179 +10.5
58 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 136.4 +13.0 96–212 +19.4
59 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 137.0 -13.8 100–198 +9.1
60 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 139.5 -15.0 117–179 +2.1
61 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 139.8 -14.8 103–196 +11.0
62 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 141.2 -2.9 106–177 +5.5
63 Jayden Reed WR GB 143.6 -17.1 121–192 -0.1
64 Ricky Pearsall WR SF 150.3 -28.3 102–183 +9.6
65 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 152.4 +3.9 125–238 +12.8
66 Tre Tucker WR LV 153.1 +8.9 125–175 -3.0
67 Tre' Harris WR LAC 159.1 -9.5 122–190 +1.5
68 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 163.0 -10.7 132–201 +1.8
69 Travis Hunter WR JAC 163.9 -9.1 131–192 -1.1
70 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 166.2 -1.9 136–209 +2.0
71 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 167.4 -27.7 159–176 -15.5
72 Pat Bryant WR DEN 173.0 -28.3 135–213 -0.2
73 Malachi Fields WR NYG 174.0 +25.0 120–277 +26.0
74 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 179.0 -17.7 157–212 -6.8
75 Malik Washington WR MIA 179.6 +14.7 145–235 +5.6
76 Keon Coleman WR BUF 179.8 +12.6 124–229 +9.2
77 Ted Hurst III WR TB 184.0 -5.5 125–250 +20.4
78 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 185.0 +32.3 138–270 +14.6
79 Jalen McMillan WR TB 190.0 -37.2 133–265 +16.3
80 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 190.9 -17.2 161–227 -3.9
81 Devaughn Vele WR NO 199.4 +16.6 134–257 +13.6
82 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 202.1 -32.1 151–236 -0.9

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.05 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.