Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 45 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board updated 2026-11-06 00:00 (44 hours ago).
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 2.0 +1.3 2–2 —
2 Puka Nacua WR LAR 6.0 +3.3 6–6 —
3 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 6.8 -2.1 6–7 -7.8
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 8.0 -0.8 8–8 —
5 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 9.0 -0.2 9–9 —
6 Malik Nabers WR NYG 14.2 +14.5 13–16 -7.1
7 Chris Olave WR NO 16.0 -3.8 16–16 —
8 Drake London WR ATL 16.0 +0.5 12–22 -4.5
9 Christian Watson WR GB 21.2 +15.0 17–29 -3.7
10 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 22.4 -5.6 12–34 -1.6
11 Matthew Golden WR GB 23.8 +31.2 20–33 -3.9
12 Tee Higgins WR CIN 25.6 +10.4 22–36 -3.7
13 Zay Flowers WR BAL 28.2 -10.9 22–33 -5.4
14 Nico Collins WR HOU 29.4 -11.4 29–31 -8.5
15 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 32.2 -1.7 32–33 -9.0
16 Parker Washington WR JAC 32.6 -4.3 31–35 -7.8
17 George Pickens WR DAL 34.4 -9.1 31–36 -7.5
18 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 34.8 -5.3 31–40 -6.6
19 Luther Burden III WR CHI 36.4 +15.6 33–40 -6.6
20 Rashee Rice WR KC 41.8 +5.2 35–49 -3.8
21 DJ Moore WR BUF 45.4 +0.1 44–46 -9.3
22 Mike Evans WR SF 49.4 +2.9 45–60 -4.8
23 Jameson Williams WR DET 51.4 +8.6 44–65 -1.8
24 Carnell Tate WR TEN 51.6 +13.4 48–61 -5.7
25 Jalen Coker WR CAR 52.2 +5.0 45–72 -0.4
26 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 52.6 +15.9 45–58 -5.4
27 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 55.6 -20.4 46–66 -3.1
28 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 59.0 -4.3 50–71 -3.5
29 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 59.2 -24.7 49–64 -5.6
30 Michael Wilson WR ARI 59.2 +1.0 53–66 -5.0
31 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 63.6 -5.4 49–76 -2.4
32 A.J. Brown WR NE 65.2 -13.7 53–77 -3.4
33 Rome Odunze WR CHI 66.8 +2.5 64–71 -8.8
34 DK Metcalf WR PIT 68.0 +1.5 65–71 -8.7
35 Denzel Boston WR CLE 69.2 +2.6 53–84 -0.6
36 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 70.6 +7.2 65–76 -7.6
37 Josh Downs WR IND 76.6 -12.8 66–87 -4.1
38 Germie Bernard WR PIT 77.4 +156.6 66–84 -5.5
39 Tre Tucker WR LV 79.6 +48.4 75–87 -7.6
40 Makai Lemon WR PHI 81.0 +14.3 77–83 -9.8
41 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 82.2 +6.5 67–102 -0.4
42 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 84.0 +1.3 78–90 -7.8
43 Keenan Allen WR IND 90.4 +42.4 71–116 +3.2
44 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 92.8 +5.9 90–102 -7.9
45 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 93.0 +108.0 75–162 +22.0
46 Jordan Addison WR MIN 95.6 -5.3 87–102 -7.4
47 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 95.6 +14.4 75–116 +4.8
48 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 96.8 -22.5 87–112 -4.2
49 Xavier Worthy WR KC 101.8 -4.0 82–126 +2.8
50 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR HOU 103.4 -3.7 87–126 +1.0
51 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 106.4 -18.7 83–122 +2.6
52 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 108.0 -26.5 78–117 +1.9
53 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 108.4 +3.6 87–126 +0.1
54 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 112.0 +44.5 83–132 +4.1
55 Antonio Williams WR WAS 112.8 +51.7 77–196 +30.4
56 Malik Washington WR MIA 116.6 +33.4 97–182 +19.1
57 Romeo Doubs WR NE 126.8 -39.1 110–142 -2.6
58 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 127.2 -32.7 90–155 +7.3
59 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 132.6 +51.9 97–209 +26.7
60 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 138.4 -34.7 93–162 +9.4
61 Devaughn Vele WR NO 138.6 -13.8 93–219 +27.9
62 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 140.2 -34.2 131–162 -3.6
63 Tre' Harris WR LAC 142.2 -13.9 131–162 -4.5
64 Davante Adams WR LAR 147.8 -106.8 78–208 +27.5
65 Malachi Fields WR NYG 150.4 +15.3 138–162 -6.4
66 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 152.2 -11.7 122–210 +15.4
67 DeMario Douglas WR NE 154.4 +95.6 110–238 +33.4
68 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 155.0 -25.7 84–178 +20.2
69 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 163.8 +32.4 140–202 +12.4
70 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 164.4 +4.3 132–197 +10.8
71 Alec Pierce WR IND 171.0 -34.0 91–210 +27.9
72 Keon Coleman WR BUF 171.6 +53.1 112–275 +45.1
73 Chris Bell WR MIA 171.6 -12.1 140–196 +2.7
74 Kalif Raymond WR CHI 186.0 -32.3 140–229 +21.8
75 Pat Bryant WR DEN 198.2 -31.7 141–243 +22.2
76 Ted Hurst III WR TB 204.4 -8.4 195–219 -9.0
77 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 210.4 +1.1 166–239 +5.8
78 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 212.2 -48.7 133–256 +23.1
79 Roman Wilson WR PIT 214.4 +9.1 182–280 +16.3
80 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 215.0 -30.8 208–221 -13.5
81 Jalen Nailor WR LV 216.8 -8.3 196–257 +4.0
82 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 217.0 +1.5 182–246 +5.1
83 Cooper Kupp WR SEA 217.2 +8.6 197–234 -5.5
84 Konata Mumpfield WR LAR 217.8 +44.4 142–261 +22.9

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 7.83 + 0.05 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.