Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Josh Allen QB BUF 25.9 -0.6 21–34 -8.3
2 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 32.3 +0.8 25–63 -1.8
3 Drake Maye QB NE 38.3 -4.5 26–70 -0.1
4 Joe Burrow QB CIN 46.4 -4.0 27–98 +1.0
5 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 51.0 +4.8 30–92 +2.4
6 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 58.4 +0.2 27–92 -1.7
7 Caleb Williams QB CHI 68.6 -0.4 29–101 -0.5
8 Justin Herbert QB LAC 69.6 +0.2 30–108 -0.1
9 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 77.3 +0.2 58–105 -2.6
10 Dak Prescott QB DAL 80.0 +2.7 57–108 -3.5
11 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 93.2 -6.6 54–114 -2.7
12 Brock Purdy QB SF 95.3 -1.5 63–119 -6.4
13 Bo Nix QB DEN 101.3 +1.2 74–121 -8.0
14 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 101.9 -1.3 63–129 -7.4
15 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 104.1 +1.3 63–134 -4.8
16 Jared Goff QB DET 108.1 +0.3 63–125 -5.8
17 Kyler Murray QB MIN 111.8 +0.9 74–139 -6.6
18 Baker Mayfield QB TB 118.2 +1.1 96–139 -9.4
19 Jordan Love QB GB 119.7 -1.6 98–145 -9.5
20 Tyler Shough QB NO 121.9 +1.8 101–169 -6.7
21 Malik Willis QB MIA 131.5 -1.6 92–236 +4.1
22 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 142.3 -2.9 119–200 -5.4
23 Sam Darnold QB SEA 142.8 -2.2 125–242 -4.3
24 Cam Ward QB TEN 154.1 -4.8 125–246 +2.1
25 Daniel Jones QB IND 156.3 +1.3 113–276 +6.1 CONTENTIOUS
26 Bryce Young QB CAR 165.6 -7.1 129–276 +1.2
27 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 189.3 +12.5 129–285 +13.5 CONTENTIOUS
28 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 224.1 +8.4 129–343 +18.0 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.38 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.