Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Josh Allen QB BUF 33.3 +2.7 26–38 -5.4
2 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 50.0 +4.5 36–74 +1.1
3 Joe Burrow QB CIN 51.7 +6.5 27–67 +3.1
4 Drake Maye QB NE 54.2 +0.0 29–76 +3.9
5 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 56.3 +4.2 29–83 +6.3 CONTENTIOUS
6 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 61.2 +1.7 32–74 +2.0
7 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 76.2 +10.8 67–87 -7.4
8 Caleb Williams QB CHI 76.3 +1.2 62–97 -2.7
9 Dak Prescott QB DAL 76.8 +3.5 58–108 +2.0
10 Justin Herbert QB LAC 77.0 -1.8 58–90 -3.0
11 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 92.2 -5.0 62–111 +1.7
12 Brock Purdy QB SF 92.7 -9.8 77–124 -0.4
13 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 95.5 -5.2 78–107 -6.2
14 Bo Nix QB DEN 97.8 -1.8 83–112 -7.5
15 Jared Goff QB DET 106.2 -4.7 88–127 -5.9
16 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 108.7 +2.3 69–124 +1.1
17 Kyler Murray QB MIN 115.8 -2.3 105–133 -9.8
18 Baker Mayfield QB TB 117.7 +3.0 100–128 -10.0
19 Jordan Love QB GB 118.3 -3.7 107–132 -9.9
20 Tyler Shough QB NO 123.8 -6.3 103–146 -3.9
21 Malik Willis QB MIA 128.8 -18.0 104–195 +11.5 CONTENTIOUS
22 Sam Darnold QB SEA 139.8 -2.2 133–152 -14.5
23 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 140.5 +2.8 112–178 +0.1
24 Daniel Jones QB IND 144.0 +2.0 138–152 -16.8
25 Cam Ward QB TEN 161.5 -16.2 134–236 +10.5 CONTENTIOUS
26 Geno Smith QB NYJ 165.6 +0.4 158–185 -13.6
27 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 174.2 +13.0 128–241 +12.0 CONTENTIOUS
28 Bryce Young QB CAR 177.2 -14.4 135–231 +12.7 CONTENTIOUS
29 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 183.0 +19.8 130–275 +29.6 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.7 + 0.1035 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.