Pick'em Mode
Week 6Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
59
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
56.2%
Percentage
9-5
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
ARI
@
LA
|
LA -12.5
Strong favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
18 - 16
|
| 13 |
LAC
@
KC
|
KC -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+13 pts
6 - 22
|
| 12 |
WAS
@
SF
|
SF -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
17 - 23
|
| 11 |
NYJ
@
NE
|
NE -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+11 pts
19 - 26
|
| 10 |
TEN
@
IND
|
IND -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 20
|
| 9 |
BAL
@
CLE
|
BAL -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
10 - 13
|
| 8 |
BUF
@
LV
|
BUF -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
33 - 30
|
| 7 |
SEA
@
DEN
|
SEA -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
14 - 17
|
| 6 |
HOU
@
JAX
|
JAX -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 31
|
| 5 |
PIT
@
TB
|
PIT -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+5 pts
26 - 19
|
| 4 |
DAL
@
GB
|
GB -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+4 pts
13 - 23
|
| 3 |
CHI
@
ATL
|
CHI -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+3 pts
31 - 23
|
| 2 |
CAR
@
PHI
|
CAR -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+2 pts
25 - 14
|
| 1 |
NO
@
NYG
|
NO -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+1 pts
34 - 27
|
Archived 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds as of 2026-10-15 12:15 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.
ARI
LA
LAC
KC
WAS
SF
NYJ
NE
TEN
IND
BAL
CLE
BUF
LV
SEA
DEN
HOU
JAX
PIT
TB
DAL
GB
CHI
ATL
CAR
PHI
NO
NYG