Pick'em Mode
Week 7Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
69
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
65.7%
Percentage
10-4
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
 NYG
@
 HOU
|
HOU -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 21
|
| 13 |
 IND
@
 MIN
|
MIN -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+13 pts
10 - 16
|
| 12 |
 MIA
@
 NYJ
|
NYJ -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 25
|
| 11 |
 DEN
@
 ARI
|
DEN -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+11 pts
30 - 16
|
| 10 |
 LA
@
 LV
|
LA -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+10 pts
35 - 21
|
| 9 |
 DAL
@
 PHI
|
DAL -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
38 - 21
|
| 8 |
 PIT
@
 NO
|
PIT -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
16 - 10
|
| 7 |
 GB
@
 DET
|
DET -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+7 pts
17 - 20
|
| 6 |
 TB
@
 CAR
|
CAR -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
43 - 13
|
| 5 |
 NE
@
 CHI
|
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+5 pts
24 - 30
|
| 4 |
 SF
@
 ATL
|
SF -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 29
|
| 3 |
 KC
@
 SEA
|
SEA -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+3 pts
3 - 20
|
| 2 |
 CLE
@
 TEN
|
CLE -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+2 pts
27 - 24
|
| 1 |
 CIN
@
 BAL
|
CIN -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+1 pts
35 - 13
|
Archived 2026-10-22 13:00 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds as of 2026-10-22 13:00 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.