Pick'em Mode
Week 5Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
76
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
63.3%
Percentage
9-5
Record
1
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
 TB
@
 DAL
|
DAL -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 16
|
| 14 |
 HOU
@
 TEN
|
HOU -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+14 pts
26 - 3
|
| 13 |
 PHI
@
 JAX
|
JAX -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+13 pts
17 - 19
|
| 12 |
 CIN
@
 MIA
|
CIN -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
31 - 24
|
| 11 |
 DET
@
 ARI
|
DET -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+11 pts
45 - 21
|
| 10 |
 NYG
@
 WAS
|
WAS -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
 LV
@
 NE
|
NE -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
17 - 45
|
| 8 |
 DEN
@
 LAC
|
DEN -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
23 - 17
|
| 7 |
 BAL
@
 ATL
|
ATL -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
30 - 23
|
| 6 |
 BUF
@
 LA
|
LA -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
37 - 34
|
| 5 |
 SF
@
 SEA
|
SEA -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
32 - 29
|
| 4 |
 IND
@
 PIT
|
PIT -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+4 pts
22 - 34
|
| 3 |
 MIN
@
 NO
|
MIN -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+3 pts
23 - 13
|
| 2 |
 CLE
@
 NYJ
|
NYJ -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+2 pts
12 - 17
|
| 1 |
 CHI
@
 GB
|
CHI -1.5
Toss-up
|
Wrong
+0 pts
7 - 31
|
Archived 2026-10-08 13:00 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds as of 2026-10-08 12:15 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.