Pick'em Mode
Week 4Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
97
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
71.3%
Percentage
9-7
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
 TEN
@
 BAL
|
BAL -11.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+16 pts
18 - 24
|
| 15 |
 MIA
@
 MIN
|
MIN -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+15 pts
10 - 15
|
| 14 |
 LAC
@
 SEA
|
SEA -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+14 pts
23 - 30
|
| 13 |
 NE
@
 BUF
|
BUF -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
29 - 26
|
| 12 |
 KC
@
 LV
|
KC -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
30 - 27
|
| 11 |
 IND
@
 WAS
|
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+11 pts
30 - 13
|
| 10 |
 DET
@
 CAR
|
DET -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 32
|
| 9 |
 GB
@
 TB
|
GB -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
17 - 14
|
| 8 |
 NYJ
@
 CHI
|
CHI -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
12 - 23
|
| 7 |
 LA
@
 PHI
|
LA -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+7 pts
24 - 20
|
| 6 |
 DAL
@
 HOU
|
HOU -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 30
|
| 5 |
 DEN
@
 SF
|
SF -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+5 pts
14 - 24
|
| 4 |
 PIT
@
 CLE
|
PIT -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 27
|
| 3 |
 JAX
@
 CIN
|
CIN -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
22 - 17
|
| 2 |
 ATL
@
 NO
|
NO -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
45 - 24
|
| 1 |
 ARI
@
 NYG
|
ARI -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 36
|
Archived 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds as of 2026-10-01 12:15 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.