Pick'em Mode
Week 3Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
77
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
56.6%
Percentage
8-8
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
 KC
@
 MIA
|
KC -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+16 pts
24 - 10
|
| 15 |
 ARI
@
 SF
|
SF -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+15 pts
30 - 36
|
| 14 |
 LAC
@
 BUF
|
BUF -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+14 pts
16 - 24
|
| 13 |
 SEA
@
 WAS
|
SEA -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
31 - 33
|
| 12 |
 NYJ
@
 DET
|
DET -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
24 - 31
|
| 11 |
 ATL
@
 GB
|
GB -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
35 - 14
|
| 10 |
 PHI
@
 CHI
|
PHI -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
7 - 27
|
| 9 |
 CIN
@
 PIT
|
CIN -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 30
|
| 8 |
 BAL
@
 DAL
|
BAL -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
34 - 31
|
| 7 |
 LV
@
 NO
|
NO -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
35 - 27
|
| 6 |
 NE
@
 JAX
|
JAX -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+6 pts
6 - 35
|
| 5 |
 TEN
@
 NYG
|
NYG -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+5 pts
7 - 12
|
| 4 |
 CAR
@
 CLE
|
CAR -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
18 - 21
|
| 3 |
 HOU
@
 IND
|
HOU -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 19
|
| 2 |
 LA
@
 DEN
|
LA -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 30
|
| 1 |
 MIN
@
 TB
|
MIN -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+1 pts
23 - 16
|
Archived 2026-09-24 13:00 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds as of 2026-09-24 12:45 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.