Pick'em Mode
Week 3Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -13.2
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
New Orleans Saints *
Seattle Seahawks
SEA -11.6
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins *
MIN -10.7
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Los Angeles Rams *
Indianapolis Colts
IND -10.2
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers *
Chicago Bears
CHI -9.2
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Buffalo Bills
Green Bay Packers *
BUF -9.6
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
New York Jets
Las Vegas Raiders *
NEW -8.3
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Cleveland Browns *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans *
BAL -7.6
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Arizona Cardinals
Kansas City Chiefs *
ARI -5.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Washington Commanders *
Denver Broncos
DEN -5.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
New York Giants
NEW -3.1
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Philadelphia Eagles *
Tennessee Titans
PHI -2.4
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit Lions *
DET -1.4
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Los Angeles Chargers *
Carolina Panthers
LOS -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
New England Patriots *
Jacksonville Jaguars
NEW -0.7
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.