Pick'em Mode
Week 2Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
87
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
64.0%
Percentage
11-5
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
MIA
@
SF
|
SF -13.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+16 pts
13 - 35
|
| 15 |
CLE
@
TB
|
TB -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
23 - 19
|
| 14 |
NO
@
BAL
|
BAL -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 17
|
| 13 |
NYG
@
LA
|
LA -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+13 pts
6 - 28
|
| 12 |
PHI
@
TEN
|
PHI -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
24 - 20
|
| 11 |
LV
@
LAC
|
LAC -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 14
|
| 10 |
IND
@
KC
|
KC -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+10 pts
30 - 33
|
| 9 |
DET
@
BUF
|
BUF -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
31 - 41
|
| 8 |
PIT
@
NE
|
NE -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
3 - 20
|
| 7 |
MIN
@
CHI
|
CHI -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
9 - 3
|
| 6 |
WAS
@
DAL
|
DAL -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+6 pts
20 - 37
|
| 5 |
SEA
@
ARI
|
SEA -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+5 pts
31 - 7
|
| 4 |
GB
@
NYJ
|
GB -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+4 pts
20 - 17
|
| 3 |
JAX
@
DEN
|
DEN -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+3 pts
13 - 20
|
| 2 |
CIN
@
HOU
|
HOU -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 6
|
| 1 |
CAR
@
ATL
|
CAR -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+1 pts
34 - 3
|
Archived 2026-09-17 13:49 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds timestamp unavailable for this week.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.
MIA
SF
CLE
TB
NO
BAL
NYG
LA
PHI
TEN
LV
LAC
IND
KC
DET
BUF
PIT
NE
MIN
CHI
WAS
DAL
SEA
ARI
GB
NYJ
JAX
DEN
CIN
HOU
CAR
ATL