Pick'em Mode
Week 18Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints *
HOU -13.8
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars *
Minnesota Vikings
MIN -13.5
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -13.5
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Philadelphia Eagles *
Miami Dolphins
MIA -12.7
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Las Vegas Raiders *
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT -11.8
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts *
CLE -10.7
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
New York Jets *
Buffalo Bills
BUF -9.1
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
New England Patriots
Washington Commanders *
NEW -9.4
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans *
SEA -8.8
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Los Angeles Rams *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -7.3
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Denver Broncos
Detroit Lions *
DEN -7.1
Clear favorite
Pending
5
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
New York Giants
NEW -4.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Carolina Panthers *
Chicago Bears
CAR -2.2
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers *
GRE -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
Kansas City Chiefs
TAM -1.3
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Chargers *
LOS -0.6
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.