Pick'em Mode

Week 18

Optimized Hybrid

Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.

Points Earned

136

Points Possible

0.0%

Percentage

0-0

Record

Pending

Pts	Matchup	Spread	Result
16	SF @ ARI 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	SF -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
15	PIT @ BAL 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	PIT -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
14	NYJ @ BUF 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	NYJ -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
13	ATL @ CAR 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	ATL -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
12	CLE @ CIN 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	CLE -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
11	LAC @ DEN 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	LAC -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
10	DET @ GB 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	DET -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
9	TEN @ HOU 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	TEN -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
8	JAX @ IND 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	JAX -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
7	LV @ KC 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	LV -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
6	SEA @ LA 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	SEA -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
5	CHI @ MIN 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	CHI -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
4	MIA @ NE 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	MIA -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
3	TB @ NO 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	TB -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
2	PHI @ NYG 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	PHI -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
1	DAL @ WAS 2027-01-10 13:00 Model	DAL -0.0 Toss-up	Pending

Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.