Pick'em Mode

Week 19
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
8
pts
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders *
@
New York Giants New York Giants
2026-09-15 Favorite
NEW -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
7
pts
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
@
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints *
2026-09-15 Favorite
WAS -12.2
Strong favorite
Pending
6
pts
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears *
@
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
2026-09-15 Favorite
CIN -11.8
Strong favorite
Pending
5
pts
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
@
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers *
2026-09-15 Favorite
GRE -12.0
Strong favorite
Pending
4
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
@
New York Jets New York Jets *
2026-09-15 Favorite
PIT -11.6
Strong favorite
Pending
3
pts
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
@
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens *
2026-09-15 Favorite
SEA -10.3
Strong favorite
Pending
2
pts
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills *
@
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
2026-09-15 Favorite
MIA -5.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
1
pts
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
@
New England Patriots New England Patriots *
2026-09-15 Favorite
MIN -4.8
Moderate favorite
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 8 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.