Pick'em Mode

Week 17

Optimized Hybrid

Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.

Points Earned

136

Points Possible

0.0%

Percentage

0-0

Record

Pending

Pts	Matchup	Spread	Result
16	BAL @ CIN 2026-12-31 20:15 Model	BAL -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
15	NO @ ATL 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	NO -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
14	SEA @ CAR 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	SEA -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
13	IND @ CLE 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	IND -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
12	NYG @ DAL 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	NYG -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
11	WAS @ JAX 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	WAS -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
10	KC @ LAC 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	KC -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
9	BUF @ MIA 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	BUF -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
8	DEN @ NE 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	DEN -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
7	MIN @ NYJ 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	MIN -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
6	LA @ TB 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	LA -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
5	PIT @ TEN 2027-01-03 13:00 Model	PIT -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
4	LV @ ARI 2027-01-03 16:05 Model	LV -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
3	DET @ CHI 2027-01-03 16:25 Model	DET -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
2	PHI @ SF 2027-01-03 20:20 Model	PHI -0.0 Toss-up	Pending
1	HOU @ GB 2027-01-04 20:15 Model	HOU -0.0 Toss-up	Pending

Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.