Pick'em Mode
Week 16Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
HOU
@
PHI
|
HOU -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 15 |
GB
@
CHI
|
GB -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 14 |
BUF
@
DEN
|
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 13 |
LA
@
SEA
|
LA -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
TB
@
ATL
|
TB -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
CLE
@
BAL
|
CLE -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
CIN
@
IND
|
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
LAC
@
MIA
|
LAC -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
WAS
@
MIN
|
WAS -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
ARI
@
NO
|
ARI -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
NE
@
NYJ
|
NE -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
CAR
@
PIT
|
CAR -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
TEN
@
LV
|
TEN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
SF
@
KC
|
SF -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
JAX
@
DAL
|
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
NYG
@
DET
|
NYG -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.
HOU
PHI
GB
CHI
BUF
DEN
LA
SEA
TB
ATL
CLE
BAL
CIN
IND
LAC
MIA
WAS
MIN
ARI
NO
NE
NYJ
CAR
PIT
TEN
LV
SF
KC
JAX
DAL
NYG
DET