Pick'em Mode

Week 16
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
Pts Matchup Spread Result
16
HOUHOU @ PHIPHI
2026-12-24 20:15 Model
HOU -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
15
GBGB @ CHICHI
2026-12-25 13:00 Model
GB -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
14
BUFBUF @ DENDEN
2026-12-25 16:30 Model
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
LALA @ SEASEA
2026-12-25 20:15 Model
LA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
TBTB @ ATLATL
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
TB -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
CLECLE @ BALBAL
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
CLE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
CINCIN @ INDIND
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
LACLAC @ MIAMIA
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
LAC -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
WASWAS @ MINMIN
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
WAS -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
ARIARI @ NONO
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
ARI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
NENE @ NYJNYJ
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
NE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
CARCAR @ PITPIT
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
CAR -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
TENTEN @ LVLV
2026-12-27 16:05 Model
TEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
SFSF @ KCKC
2026-12-27 16:25 Model
SF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
JAXJAX @ DALDAL
2026-12-27 20:20 Model
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
NYGNYG @ DETDET
2026-12-28 20:15 Model
NYG -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.