Pick'em Mode
Week 16Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Green Bay Packers
Baltimore Ravens *
GRE -13.8
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
Washington Commanders
WAS -13.0
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans *
LOS -12.7
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -12.1
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
MIN -10.7
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Philadelphia Eagles *
Kansas City Chiefs
KAN -9.7
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago Bears *
PIT -9.2
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
New York Giants *
Indianapolis Colts
IND -8.7
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Cincinnati Bengals *
Miami Dolphins
MIA -7.9
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Denver Broncos
Cleveland Browns *
DEN -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
New York Jets *
Los Angeles Rams
LOS -5.3
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans *
CAR -3.7
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -3.2
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
New Orleans Saints *
Detroit Lions
NEW -2.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Buffalo Bills *
New England Patriots
BUF -1.7
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Atlanta Falcons *
Jacksonville Jaguars
ATL -0.9
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.