Pick'em Mode
Week 15Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
SF
@
LAC
|
SF -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 15 |
SEA
@
PHI
|
SEA -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 14 |
CHI
@
BUF
|
CHI -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 13 |
CIN
@
CAR
|
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
MIA
@
GB
|
MIA -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
JAX
@
HOU
|
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
CLE
@
NYG
|
CLE -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
BAL
@
PIT
|
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
NO
@
TB
|
NO -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
IND
@
TEN
|
IND -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
ATL
@
WAS
|
ATL -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
NYJ
@
ARI
|
NYJ -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
DAL
@
LA
|
DAL -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
DEN
@
LV
|
DEN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
DET
@
MIN
|
DET -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
NE
@
KC
|
NE -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.
SF
LAC
SEA
PHI
CHI
BUF
CIN
CAR
MIA
GB
JAX
HOU
CLE
NYG
BAL
PIT
NO
TB
IND
TEN
ATL
WAS
NYJ
ARI
DAL
LA
DEN
LV
DET
MIN
NE
KC