Pick'em Mode
Week 15Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
New Orleans Saints
NEW -13.9
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Denver Broncos *
New York Jets
NEW -13.8
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears *
GRE -12.6
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
New York Giants *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -11.7
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Carolina Panthers *
Detroit Lions
DET -9.5
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland Browns *
TAM -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans *
CIN -7.9
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Miami Dolphins
Seattle Seahawks *
MIA -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Buffalo Bills *
New England Patriots
NEW -6.2
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City Chiefs *
PHI -6.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars *
Indianapolis Colts
IND -6.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Rams *
DAL -5.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Arizona Cardinals
ARI -4.7
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Washington Commanders *
MIN -3.4
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons *
ATL -1.4
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers *
San Francisco 49ers
PIT -1.6
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.