Pick'em Mode

Week 15
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
Pts Matchup Spread Result
16
SFSF @ LACLAC
2026-12-17 20:15 Model
SF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
15
SEASEA @ PHIPHI
2026-12-19 17:00 Model
SEA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
14
CHICHI @ BUFBUF
2026-12-19 20:20 Model
CHI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
CINCIN @ CARCAR
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
MIAMIA @ GBGB
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
MIA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
JAXJAX @ HOUHOU
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
CLECLE @ NYGNYG
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
CLE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
BALBAL @ PITPIT
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
NONO @ TBTB
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
NO -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
INDIND @ TENTEN
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
IND -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
ATLATL @ WASWAS
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
ATL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
NYJNYJ @ ARIARI
2026-12-20 16:05 Model
NYJ -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
DALDAL @ LALA
2026-12-20 16:25 Model
DAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
DENDEN @ LVLV
2026-12-20 16:25 Model
DEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
DETDET @ MINMIN
2026-12-20 20:20 Model
DET -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
NENE @ KCKC
2026-12-21 20:15 Model
NE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.