Pick'em Mode
Week 14Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Atlanta Falcons *
Houston Texans
HOU -13.4
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles *
TAM -12.5
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Los Angeles Rams
New England Patriots *
LOS -12.5
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAC -11.6
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Washington Commanders
WAS -11.5
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Cleveland Browns *
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT -11.1
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
Indianapolis Colts
Seattle Seahawks *
IND -10.3
Strong favorite
Pending
9
pts
San Francisco 49ers *
Chicago Bears
CHI -7.5
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Denver Broncos *
Carolina Panthers
CAR -6.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
Green Bay Packers
GRE -6.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets *
DAL -3.3
Slight favorite
Pending
5
pts
Los Angeles Chargers *
New York Giants
NEW -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins *
MIA -1.9
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
Las Vegas Raiders
Buffalo Bills *
BUF -1.8
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
New Orleans Saints
Cincinnati Bengals *
CIN -1.6
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Detroit Lions
Baltimore Ravens *
BAL -0.2
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.