Pick'em Mode
Week 11Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
91
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
13
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
IND
@
HOU
|
IND -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
MIA
@
BUF
|
MIA -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
BAL
@
CAR
|
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
NO
@
CHI
|
NO -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
TEN
@
DAL
|
TEN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
TB
@
DET
|
TB -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
ARI
@
KC
|
ARI -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
JAX
@
NYG
|
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
NYJ
@
LAC
|
NYJ -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
LV
@
DEN
|
LV -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
PIT
@
PHI
|
PIT -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
MIN
@
SF
|
MIN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
CIN
@
WAS
|
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-13 to each pick.
1= least confident,13= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.
IND
HOU
MIA
BUF
BAL
CAR
NO
CHI
TEN
DAL
TB
DET
ARI
KC
JAX
NYG
NYJ
LAC
LV
DEN
PIT
PHI
MIN
SF
CIN
WAS