Pick'em Mode
Week 11Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Minnesota Vikings
New York Jets *
MIN -13.9
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Houston Texans
Chicago Bears *
HOU -12.6
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams *
SAN -12.6
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Baltimore Ravens
Green Bay Packers *
BAL -11.6
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers *
NEW -10.7
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles *
CAR -8.7
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Arizona Cardinals
ARI -8.1
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Commanders *
SEA -8.4
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
New York Giants *
Tennessee Titans
TEN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Indianapolis Colts *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -5.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN -4.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions *
CLE -5.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Miami Dolphins *
Kansas City Chiefs
KAN -3.4
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars *
Dallas Cowboys
DAL -3.1
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Las Vegas Raiders *
Los Angeles Chargers
LAS -1.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
New Orleans Saints *
Denver Broncos
NEW -0.2
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.