Pick'em Mode

Week 12
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 →
Full Predictions
16
pts
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears *
@
New York Giants New York Giants
2026-09-15 Favorite
NEW -12.2
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
@
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons *
2026-09-15 Favorite
PIT -10.0
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals *
@
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
2026-09-15 Favorite
GRE -9.5
Clear favorite
Pending
13
pts
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
@
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks *
2026-09-15 Favorite
MIN -8.3
Clear favorite
Pending
12
pts
Houston Texans Houston Texans *
@
New York Jets New York Jets
2026-09-15 Favorite
NEW -7.0
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs *
@
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
2026-09-15 Favorite
SAN -6.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
10
pts
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals *
@
Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
2026-09-15 Favorite
DAL -5.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
9
pts
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens *
@
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
2026-09-15 Favorite
LOS -5.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
8
pts
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints *
@
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
2026-09-15 Favorite
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
7
pts
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions *
@
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
2026-09-15 Favorite
JAC -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
6
pts
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
@
New England Patriots New England Patriots *
2026-09-15 Model
NEW -2.6
Slight favorite
Pending
5
pts
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
@
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles *
2026-09-15 Model
PHI -2.6
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
@
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
2026-09-15 Model
TAM -2.6
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins *
@
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
2026-09-15 Model
MIA -1.8
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
@
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams *
2026-09-15 Model
LOS -0.8
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers *
@
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
2026-09-15 Model
CAR -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.