Pick'em Mode
Week 10Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers *
BAL -14.0
Lock
Pending
15
pts
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
DAL -13.2
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Washington Commanders
Cincinnati Bengals *
WAS -13.2
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
New York Jets *
New England Patriots
NEW -13.0
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos *
DET -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Cleveland Browns *
MIN -12.2
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
Carolina Panthers *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -10.8
Strong favorite
Pending
9
pts
Green Bay Packers *
Chicago Bears
CHI -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Indianapolis Colts
New Orleans Saints *
IND -8.9
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
New York Giants *
Tennessee Titans
TEN -8.3
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Houston Texans *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -7.4
Clear favorite
Pending
5
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
Los Angeles Rams
LOS -7.3
Clear favorite
Pending
4
pts
Atlanta Falcons *
Miami Dolphins
MIA -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Seattle Seahawks
ARI -2.9
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Jacksonville Jaguars
BUF -0.2
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers *
Philadelphia Eagles
PIT -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.