Pick'em Mode
Week 9Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
0
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
15
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
JAX
@
BAL
|
JAX -10.0
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 14 |
NYJ
@
KC
|
KC -10.0
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 13 |
LV
@
SF
|
SF -10.0
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
ARI
@
SEA
|
SEA -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
DET
@
MIA
|
DET -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
TB
@
CHI
|
CHI -6.0
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
DAL
@
IND
|
DAL -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
LA
@
WAS
|
LA -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
HOU
@
LAC
|
HOU -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
BUF
@
MIN
|
BUF -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
NYG
@
PHI
|
NYG -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
GB
@
NE
|
NE -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
CIN
@
ATL
|
CIN -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
CLE
@
NO
|
NO -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
DEN
@
CAR
|
DEN -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
Archived 2026-11-05 13:00 UTC — these are the picks as they were made, and they do not change. Odds as of 2026-11-05 09:00 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.
JAX
BAL
NYJ
KC
LV
SF
ARI
SEA
DET
MIA
TB
CHI
DAL
IND
LA
WAS
HOU
LAC
BUF
MIN
NYG
PHI
GB
NE
CIN
ATL
CLE
NO
DEN
CAR