Pick'em Mode
Week 22Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
8
pts
Denver Broncos *
Carolina Panthers
CAR -9.6
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions *
BUF -8.4
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Tennessee Titans *
New York Giants
NEW -6.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN -6.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars *
New England Patriots
NEW -4.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens *
BAL -2.2
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
San Francisco 49ers *
Las Vegas Raiders
SAN -2.3
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Los Angeles Rams *
Indianapolis Colts
LOS -0.5
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick.
1= least confident,8= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.