Pick'em Mode
Week 22Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Miami Dolphins
@
Philadelphia Eagles
|
MIA -13.2
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
Washington Commanders
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
TAM -12.8
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
New Orleans Saints
@
Buffalo Bills
|
NEW -12.2
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
San Francisco 49ers
@
Denver Broncos
|
DEN -8.0
Clear favorite
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
Cincinnati Bengals
@
Tennessee Titans
|
CIN -4.3
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
Chicago Bears
@
Green Bay Packers
|
CHI -3.4
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
Minnesota Vikings
@
New England Patriots
|
MIN -2.1
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
New York Jets
@
Baltimore Ravens
|
NEW -0.0
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick.
1= least confident,8= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.
Miami Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
San Francisco 49ers
Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
New England Patriots
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens