Pick'em Mode

Week 22
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
Pts Matchup Spread Result
8
Arizona CardinalsArizona Cardinals @ New York GiantsNew York Giants
2026-09-15 Favorite
ARI -13.2
Strong favorite
Pending
7
Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys @ Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders
2026-09-15 Favorite
LAS -10.9
Strong favorite
Pending
6
Chicago BearsChicago Bears @ Cleveland BrownsCleveland Browns
2026-09-15 Favorite
CHI -7.6
Clear favorite
Pending
5
New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints @ Tennessee TitansTennessee Titans
2026-09-15 Favorite
NEW -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
4
Philadelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams
2026-09-15 Favorite
LOS -4.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs
2026-09-15 Favorite
KAN -3.6
Slight favorite
Pending
2
Cincinnati BengalsCincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons
2026-09-15 Model
ATL -2.7
Slight favorite
Pending
1
Detroit LionsDetroit Lions @ Indianapolis ColtsIndianapolis Colts
2026-09-15 Model
DET -1.7
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 8 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.