Pick'em Mode
Week 21Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
 Las Vegas Raiders
@
 Los Angeles Chargers
|
LOS -13.8
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
 Dallas Cowboys
@
 Detroit Lions
|
DAL -12.3
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
 Denver Broncos
@
 Washington Commanders
|
WAS -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
 Baltimore Ravens
@
 Arizona Cardinals
|
ARI -4.4
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
 Kansas City Chiefs
@
 New Orleans Saints
|
KAN -2.7
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
 Minnesota Vikings
@
 San Francisco 49ers
|
SAN -1.8
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
 Indianapolis Colts
@
 New England Patriots
|
IND -1.2
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
 Cleveland Browns
@
 Carolina Panthers
|
CAR -0.7
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick.
1= least confident,8= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.