Caleb Douglas

WR · MIA · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	MIA	4	19	13	226	2	1 differ (Targets 19 vs 20)

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

+0.568

14th of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

68.4%

5th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

11.89

5th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

15.8%

26th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

68.4%

86th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

12.3

41st of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

10.5%

163rd of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

10.5%

16th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	6	-0.024	67%	7.2	+0.197	—	-0.02
Away	13	+0.841	69%	14.1	+0.190	4/116	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	9	+0.198	67%	6.9	+0.174	—	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	3	+2.472	67%	23.3	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	7	+0.226	71%	13.4	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	12	+0.767	67%	11.0	+0.187	5/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	3	+0.644	67%	6.3	+0.210	—	-0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	3	+0.644	67%	6.3	+0.215	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	12	+0.767	67%	11.0	+0.203	7/129	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	11	+0.400	73%	10.9	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	2	-1.189	50%	6.0	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	1	+2.934	100%	7.0	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	5	+1.167	60%	17.4	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	10	+0.363	70%	10.7	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	9	+0.794	67%	13.2	+0.195	—	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	0	—	—	—	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	1	+2.934	100%	7.0	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	7	+1.104	100%	16.1	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	4	-0.795	25%	3.2	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	7	+0.472	57%	13.3	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	5	+1.094	100%	15.2	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	14	+0.380	57%	10.7	+0.199	52/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	4	+0.614	75%	9.5	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	7	+0.746	71%	19.4	+0.189	—	0.02
3rd down	8	+0.388	62%	6.5	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	1	+0.949	100%	14.0	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	1	+1.076	100%	8.0	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	6	+0.180	50%	5.0	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	1	+0.151	100%	12.0	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	8	+0.115	38%	11.0	+0.162	—	0.04
Opp 21–49	8	+0.713	88%	13.9	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	2	+2.005	100%	7.5	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	16	+0.428	69%	9.4	+0.173	36/161	-0.02
Under center	3	+1.312	67%	25.3	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	16	+0.562	62%	12.1	+0.195	15/166	-0.00
No huddle	3	+0.597	100%	10.7	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	1	+0.949	100%	14.0	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	2	+0.875	100%	10.0	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	11	+0.689	64%	12.5	+0.208	—	0.03
11+ to go	5	+0.102	60%	11.0	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	1	-1.635	0%	0.0	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	10	+1.272	90%	14.0	+0.162	—	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	5	+1.015	80%	17.2	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	3	-1.790	0%	0.0	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	5	+1.074	60%	15.6	+0.147	—	0.04
Middle	5	-0.951	40%	8.4	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	9	+1.130	89%	11.8	+0.168	—	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	3	+0.294	33%	21.0	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	16	+0.619	75%	10.2	+0.166	13/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	19	+0.568	68%	11.9	+0.187	13/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	0	—	—	—	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	5	+0.783	40%	14.2	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	14	+0.491	79%	11.1	+0.194	32/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	14	+0.491	79%	11.1	+0.198	32/157	0.12
5 rushers	4	-0.448	25%	2.0	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	1	+5.706	100%	63.0	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	12	+0.467	75%	9.8	+0.172	28/151	-0.04
7 in the box	6	+1.046	67%	18.2	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	1	-1.097	0%	0.0	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	0	—	—	—	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	19	+0.568	68%	11.9	+0.223	20/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	15	+0.629	67%	11.4	+0.204	15/140	0.10
No motion	4	+0.338	75%	13.8	+0.179	—	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	19	+0.568	68%	11.9	+0.200	15/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	MIA	19	+0.568	+10.8	68.4%	11.89	68.4%	12.3	8.8

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.