Ted Hurst III

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	TB	7	24	11	168	1	✓ matches

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

-0.015

123rd of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

45.8%

106th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

7.00

91st of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

16.7%

18th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

45.8%

157th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

16.1

5th of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

4.2%

114th of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

4.2%

82nd of 166 · lg 4.8%

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	20	-0.065	40%	6.6	+0.197	96/116	-0.02
Away	4	+0.235	75%	9.0	+0.190	—	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	15	-0.262	33%	6.1	+0.174	136/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	6	+0.209	50%	6.7	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	0	—	—	—	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	24	-0.015	46%	7.0	+0.187	107/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	0	—	—	—	+0.210	—	-0.02
80°F+	16	+0.097	50%	8.0	+0.213	5/12	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	16	+0.097	50%	8.0	+0.215	38/56	-0.09
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	23	+0.062	48%	7.3	+0.203	90/129	0.03
Rain or snow	1	-1.780	0%	0.0	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	4	+1.426	100%	19.0	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	8	+0.368	50%	7.8	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	7	-0.148	29%	3.6	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	4	-1.794	25%	1.2	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	1	-0.794	0%	0.0	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	4	+0.547	75%	9.0	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	18	-0.054	44%	7.3	+0.195	112/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	2	-0.787	0%	0.0	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	6	-0.782	33%	7.5	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	4	+1.370	75%	11.5	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	1	-0.794	0%	0.0	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	13	-0.027	46%	5.9	+0.223	39/51	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	8	+0.340	50%	5.6	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	16	-0.192	44%	7.7	+0.199	146/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	9	-0.033	56%	10.2	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	5	-0.399	20%	2.4	+0.189	—	0.02
3rd down	8	+0.116	50%	7.5	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	2	+0.506	50%	2.0	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	1	-1.737	0%	0.0	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	4	+0.044	50%	6.5	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	3	+0.830	67%	11.3	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	0	—	—	—	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	9	-0.426	33%	6.6	+0.162	—	0.04
Opp 21–49	11	+0.633	64%	9.4	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	4	-0.869	25%	1.5	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	23	+0.253	48%	7.3	+0.173	69/161	-0.02
Under center	1	-6.172	0%	0.0	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	19	-0.003	47%	7.9	+0.195	117/166	-0.00
No huddle	5	-0.057	40%	3.4	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	3	+0.137	67%	5.3	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	5	-0.119	40%	5.2	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	10	-0.363	40%	7.6	+0.208	—	0.03
11+ to go	6	+0.578	50%	8.3	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	0	—	—	—	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	8	+0.073	50%	2.9	+0.162	—	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	8	-0.599	50%	7.8	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	8	+0.483	38%	10.4	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	11	+0.245	73%	8.5	+0.147	—	0.04
Middle	5	+0.162	20%	8.0	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	8	-0.482	25%	4.2	+0.168	—	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	1	-6.172	0%	0.0	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	23	+0.253	48%	7.3	+0.166	64/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	21	+0.154	52%	8.0	+0.187	96/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	3	-1.198	0%	0.0	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	6	+0.245	50%	5.2	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	18	-0.101	44%	7.6	+0.194	129/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	1	-0.131	0%	0.0	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	17	-0.100	47%	8.1	+0.198	125/157	0.12
5 rushers	6	+0.245	50%	5.2	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	17	-0.225	41%	5.6	+0.172	133/151	-0.04
7 in the box	6	+0.666	67%	12.0	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	1	-0.516	0%	0.0	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	0	—	—	—	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	24	-0.015	46%	7.0	+0.223	125/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	13	-0.109	38%	7.1	+0.204	112/140	0.10
No motion	11	+0.096	55%	6.9	+0.179	—	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	24	-0.015	46%	7.0	+0.200	125/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	TB	24	-0.015	-0.4	45.8%	7.00	45.8%	16.1	2.5

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.