Tetairoa McMillan

Box score by season

SeasonTeamG TgtRecRec ydsTD vs ESPN
2026 CAR7 65425692 1 differ (Targets 65 vs 66)
2025 CAR17 122701,0147 ✓ matches
2025 playoffs CAR1 75810

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Seasons to Weeks to
Targets
65
qualifying bar 17
EPA/play
+0.364
46th of 166 · lg +0.193
Success rate
60.0%
23rd of 166 · lg 49.8%
Yards/play
8.77
42nd of 166 · lg 7.42
Explosive rate
13.8%
37th of 166 · lg 9.1%
Catch rate
64.6%
108th of 166 · lg 67.3%
Air yards/att
10.7
57th of 166 · lg 7.9
Turnover rate
3.1%
93rd of 166 · lg 2.7%
TD rate
3.1%
103rd of 166 · lg 4.8%

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

SituationTargetsEPA/playSuccessYds/playLeague EPARankRepeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home 30 +0.524 70% 10.2 +0.197 26/116 -0.02
Away 35 +0.227 51% 7.5 +0.190 51/116 -0.03
Neutral site 0——— +0.183 — —
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days) 11 +0.045 55% 5.4 +0.265 — 0.19
Normal (6–8 days) 37 +0.540 62% 9.5 +0.174 20/151 -0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days) 0——— +0.270 — 0.21
Off a bye (13+ days) 9 +0.635 67% 9.6 +0.271 — —
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors 10 +0.358 50% 10.1 +0.206 — 0.05
Outdoors 55 +0.365 62% 8.5 +0.187 38/137 0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F 21 +0.706 67% 10.0 +0.210 10/54 -0.02
80°F+ 8 -0.315 50% 9.4 +0.213 — 0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph 24 +0.589 71% 11.1 +0.215 14/56 -0.09
10–14 mph 5 -0.366 20% 3.4 +0.200 — 0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry 55 +0.365 62% 8.5 +0.203 40/129 0.03
Rain or snow 0——— +0.015 — 0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+ 21 +0.213 57% 7.3 +0.189 20/33 -0.01
Trailing 1–8 12 -0.077 58% 7.1 +0.180 51/63 0.07
Tied 12 +0.563 67% 8.7 +0.186 5/29 0.02
Leading 1–8 12 +0.941 58% 12.1 +0.202 5/32 -0.03
Leading 9+ 8 +0.257 62% 10.4 +0.243 — -0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20% 21 +0.135 57% 7.4 +0.169 20/33 -0.05
Win prob 20–80% 35 +0.582 66% 9.4 +0.195 25/151 -0.02
Win prob over 80% 9 +0.053 44% 9.4 +0.221 — 0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1 16 +0.465 62% 8.9 +0.119 11/31 0.04
Q2 19 +0.825 68% 11.3 +0.208 5/63 -0.01
Q3 15 +0.242 60% 6.8 +0.200 17/36 -0.01
Q4 15 -0.205 47% 7.4 +0.223 42/51 -0.03
OT 0——— +0.374 — —
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half 9 +0.353 56% 7.6 +0.159 — 0.10
Rest of game 56 +0.366 61% 9.0 +0.199 55/165 0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down 25 +0.209 64% 8.8 +0.227 48/78 0.00
2nd down 25 +0.715 60% 9.0 +0.189 6/81 0.02
3rd down 12 +0.732 67% 10.3 +0.134 9/50 -0.02
4th down 3 -2.736 0% 0.0 +0.374 — —
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3 0——— +0.163 — —
3rd & 4–6 3 -0.356 33% 4.0 +0.221 — -0.27
3rd & 7+ 9 +1.094 78% 12.4 +0.081 — 0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in 8 +0.600 62% 8.6 +0.147 — -0.04
Own 50–21 34 +0.346 68% 9.3 +0.162 39/115 0.04
Opp 21–49 16 +0.603 56% 9.8 +0.238 17/59 0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in) 7 -0.364 29% 4.0 +0.228 — 0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun 61 +0.337 59% 8.5 +0.173 54/161 -0.02
Under center 4 +0.778 75% 12.8 +0.273 — -0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle 59 +0.375 63% 9.3 +0.195 49/166 -0.00
No huddle 6 +0.254 33% 3.7 +0.169 — -0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go 5 -1.316 20% 1.0 +0.250 — 0.05
4–6 to go 9 -0.044 44% 5.9 +0.240 — 0.02
7–10 to go 41 +0.440 63% 9.1 +0.208 36/144 0.03
11+ to go 10 +1.260 80% 13.7 +0.055 — -0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line 3 -0.928 67% 6.0 -0.209 — 0.15
Short (0–9) 31 +0.158 61% 6.3 +0.162 60/116 0.09
Intermediate (10–19) 21 +0.631 62% 10.6 +0.464 22/42 0.07
Deep (20+) 10 +0.831 50% 13.4 +0.446 — 0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left 24 +0.088 46% 6.8 +0.147 47/84 0.04
Middle 17 +0.151 59% 8.5 +0.321 29/35 -0.02
Right 24 +0.791 75% 10.9 +0.168 7/102 0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action 17 +0.508 82% 12.1 +0.287 10/31 -0.03
No play action 48 +0.313 52% 7.6 +0.166 49/160 -0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket 59 +0.448 63% 9.1 +0.187 31/163 -0.05
Out of pocket 6 -0.464 33% 5.5 +0.231 — -0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed 22 +0.404 59% 9.5 +0.190 25/70 0.08
No blitz 43 +0.344 60% 8.4 +0.194 51/160 0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers 2 -0.265 50% 4.5 +0.106 — —
4 rushers 41 +0.374 61% 8.6 +0.198 47/157 0.12
5 rushers 18 +0.228 56% 9.3 +0.186 22/36 0.15
6+ rushers 4 +1.194 75% 10.2 +0.199 — —
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer) 44 +0.411 59% 8.2 +0.172 32/151 -0.04
7 in the box 17 +0.075 53% 9.3 +0.214 41/53 -0.05
Stacked box (8+) 4 +1.072 100% 12.5 +0.313 — —
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen 3 +0.301 100% 7.7 -0.084 — 0.50
Not a screen 62 +0.367 58% 8.8 +0.223 51/166 0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion 37 +0.436 65% 8.6 +0.204 36/140 0.10
No motion 28 +0.269 54% 9.0 +0.179 41/97 0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO 15 +0.370 80% 7.6 -0.104 1/1 —
Not an RPO 50 +0.362 54% 9.1 +0.200 48/166 —

By season

SeasonTeamTargetsEPA/playTotal EPASuccessYds/play Catch rateaDOTYAC/catch
2026CAR 65+0.364 +23.760.0%8.77 64.6%10.73.5
Definitions QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.