Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	CHI	5	112	158	1,267	6	1	13	26	129	2	0	0	0	0	✓ matches
2025	CHI	17	330	568	3,942	27	7	24	77	388	3	2	2	22	1	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	CHI	2	47	90	618	4	5	1	9	60	0	0	0	0	0
2024	CHI	17	351	562	3,541	20	6	68	81	489	0	0	0	0	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 32

EPA/play

+2.639

not ranked · lg +0.191

Success rate

100.0%

not ranked · lg 50.0%

Yards/play

11.00

not ranked · lg 7.37

Explosive rate

50.0%

not ranked · lg 9.4%

Catch rate

100.0%

not ranked · lg 67.5%

Air yards/att

-1.5

not ranked · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

0.0%

not ranked · lg 2.6%

TD rate

50.0%

not ranked · lg 4.9%

Below the qualifying bar for this window, so ranks are against qualified players and say less.

Notable in 2025

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

+0.01 EPA/dropback on intermediate throws vs +0.19 the rest of the time (129 vs 437; league gap +0.29; z -3.3) repeats · r 0.16

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	0	—	—	—	+0.199	—	-0.02
Away	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.181	—	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.222	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.229	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.182	—	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.220	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.216	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	0	—	—	—	+0.180	—	0.05
Outdoors	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.197	—	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	0	—	—	—	+0.172	—	0.05
40–59°F	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.172	—	-0.05
60–79°F	0	—	—	—	+0.241	—	-0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.171	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.216	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.170	—	0.05
15+ mph	0	—	—	—	+0.105	—	-0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.199	—	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.157	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.095	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.227	—	0.07
Tied	0	—	—	—	+0.144	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.239	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.316	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	0	—	—	—	+0.092	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.203	—	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	0	—	—	—	+0.295	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.197	—	0.04
Q2	0	—	—	—	+0.199	—	-0.01
Q3	0	—	—	—	+0.214	—	-0.01
Q4	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.156	—	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.394	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	0.10
Rest of game	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.192	—	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.209	—	0.00
2nd down	0	—	—	—	+0.198	—	0.02
3rd down	0	—	—	—	+0.131	—	-0.02
4th down	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.400	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	0	—	—	—	+0.088	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	+0.200	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	0	—	—	—	+0.110	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	0	—	—	—	+0.190	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	0	—	—	—	+0.188	—	0.04
Opp 21–49	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.217	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.140	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.165	—	-0.02
Under center	0	—	—	—	+0.311	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.194	—	-0.00
No huddle	0	—	—	—	+0.168	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.202	—	0.05
4–6 to go	0	—	—	—	+0.234	—	0.02
7–10 to go	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.203	—	0.03
11+ to go	0	—	—	—	+0.081	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	-0.156	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.141	—	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	0	—	—	—	+0.435	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	0	—	—	—	+0.472	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.177	—	0.04
Middle	0	—	—	—	+0.283	—	-0.02
Right	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.155	—	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.299	—	-0.03
No play action	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.160	—	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	0	—	—	—	+0.192	—	-0.05
Out of pocket	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.183	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.232	—	0.08
No blitz	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.174	—	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.254	—	—
4 rushers	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.169	—	0.12
5 rushers	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.235	—	0.15
6+ rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.254	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.175	—	-0.04
7 in the box	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.240	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	0	—	—	—	+0.242	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	-0.032	—	0.50
Not a screen	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.213	—	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	0	—	—	—	+0.214	—	0.10
No motion	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.163	—	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	+0.091	—	—
Not an RPO	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.193	—	—
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	0	—	—	—	+0.256	—	0.01
Pressured	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	-0.046	—	0.01
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	0	—	—	—	+0.211	—	0.03
Zone	2	+2.639	100%	11.0	+0.181	—	0.03
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	0	—	—	—	+0.266	—	—
Cover 1	0	—	—	—	+0.200	—	0.03
2-Man	0	—	—	—	+0.220	—	—
Cover 2	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.137	—	-0.09
Cover 3	0	—	—	—	+0.216	—	0.02
Cover 4	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.210	—	-0.08
Cover 6	0	—	—	—	+0.142	—	—
Cover 9	0	—	—	—	+0.159	—	—
Combo	0	—	—	—	+0.206	—	—
Blown coverage	0	—	—	—	+0.447	—	—
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	1	+3.868	100%	2.0	+0.188	—	0.05
12	0	—	—	—	+0.194	—	0.04
21	0	—	—	—	+0.110	—	-0.17
13	0	—	—	—	+0.263	—	—
22	0	—	—	—	-0.103	—	—
10	0	—	—	—	+0.236	—	—
Other	1	+1.409	100%	20.0	+0.192	—	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2025	CHI	2	+2.639	+5.3	100.0%	11.00	100.0%	-1.5	12.5

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.