Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	CHI	5	112	158	1,267	6	1	13	26	129	2	0	0	0	0	✓ matches
2025	CHI	17	330	568	3,942	27	7	24	77	388	3	2	2	22	1	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	CHI	2	47	90	618	4	5	1	9	60	0	0	0	0	0
2024	CHI	17	351	562	3,541	20	6	68	81	489	0	0	0	0	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

633

qualifying bar 238

EPA/play

+0.112

15th of 37 · lg +0.056

Success rate

44.9%

23rd of 37 · lg 45.6%

Yards/play

6.54

13th of 37 · lg 6.19

Explosive rate

11.4%

9th of 37 · lg 9.3%

CPOE

-3.5

35th of 37 · lg +0.5

Completion %

58.3%

35th of 37 · lg 64.6%

Air yards/att

8.7

9th of 37 · lg 7.8

Sack rate

3.8%

4th of 37 · lg 6.5%

Turnover rate

1.4%

2nd of 37 · lg 2.6%

TD rate

4.6%

17th of 37 · lg 4.3%

Notable in 2025

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

+0.01 EPA/dropback on intermediate throws vs +0.19 the rest of the time (129 vs 437; league gap +0.29; z -3.3) repeats · r 0.16

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	281	+0.114	46%	7.0	+0.069	19/37	0.04
Away	352	+0.110	44%	6.2	+0.044	15/37	0.01
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.052	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	40	-0.132	38%	3.8	+0.109	22/24	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	478	+0.144	46%	6.9	+0.042	13/37	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	39	+0.054	41%	4.9	+0.079	15/24	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	33	+0.159	45%	7.3	+0.100	10/22	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	113	-0.007	42%	5.5	+0.044	21/34	0.01
Outdoors	520	+0.137	45%	6.8	+0.063	13/37	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	184	+0.074	46%	6.5	+0.051	10/19	0.00
40–59°F	223	+0.171	45%	6.6	+0.033	9/32	0.00
60–79°F	84	+0.025	45%	6.6	+0.094	24/32	-0.13
80°F+	29	+0.603	45%	10.3	+0.059	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	406	+0.173	46%	7.0	+0.076	10/35	-0.06
10–14 mph	74	+0.089	49%	7.1	+0.052	14/25	-0.12
15+ mph	40	-0.132	38%	3.8	-0.019	13/20	-0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	479	+0.146	45%	6.8	+0.063	13/37	0.01
Rain or snow	41	+0.033	51%	6.9	+0.050	9/14	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	110	+0.099	47%	6.6	-0.033	15/36	0.06
Trailing 1–8	218	+0.323	50%	7.4	+0.087	3/37	0.05
Tied	101	-0.064	42%	6.0	+0.023	28/35	0.09
Leading 1–8	131	-0.043	38%	6.0	+0.106	29/35	-0.21
Leading 9+	73	+0.020	41%	5.4	+0.157	18/20	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	117	+0.309	53%	8.1	-0.032	3/35	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	428	+0.065	43%	6.3	+0.069	23/37	0.08
Win prob over 80%	88	+0.076	41%	5.6	+0.143	20/27	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	136	+0.130	47%	6.9	+0.068	13/37	-0.05
Q2	179	-0.024	41%	5.4	+0.065	28/37	-0.06
Q3	143	+0.134	48%	7.1	+0.069	19/37	-0.06
Q4	173	+0.196	45%	6.8	+0.026	8/37	0.05
OT	2	+2.024	50%	23.0	+0.214	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	110	+0.036	40%	5.6	+0.075	26/37	0.03
Rest of game	523	+0.127	46%	6.7	+0.053	13/37	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	244	+0.234	48%	7.1	+0.114	5/37	0.19
2nd down	203	+0.036	44%	6.4	+0.076	29/37	0.04
3rd down	164	+0.061	41%	6.2	-0.052	13/37	0.11
4th down	22	-0.180	45%	4.2	+0.122	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	21	-0.210	43%	4.9	-0.034	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	49	+0.352	53%	6.0	-0.012	2/23	-0.12
3rd & 7+	94	-0.030	34%	6.6	-0.079	20/37	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	38	-0.056	45%	7.1	+0.060	17/25	-0.02
Own 50–21	286	+0.137	45%	7.2	+0.051	16/37	0.11
Opp 21–49	225	+0.170	48%	7.1	+0.081	13/37	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	84	-0.055	37%	2.5	+0.019	28/34	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	444	+0.102	44%	6.4	+0.037	14/37	-0.00
Under center	189	+0.133	47%	6.9	+0.147	19/32	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	591	+0.110	44%	6.6	+0.059	16/37	-0.09
No huddle	42	+0.134	52%	6.2	+0.037	9/23	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	73	-0.219	47%	5.9	+0.046	27/29	-0.07
4–6 to go	96	+0.234	48%	5.3	+0.042	9/36	-0.02
7–10 to go	375	+0.216	46%	7.2	+0.085	7/37	-0.01
11+ to go	89	-0.188	36%	5.7	-0.042	28/35	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	566	+0.151	45%	7.0	+0.163	24/37	0.66
Sack	24	-1.714	0%	-6.9	-1.741	—	0.21
Scramble	43	+0.612	65%	8.4	+0.479	3/13	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	99	-0.326	32%	4.5	-0.186	32/36	0.19
Short (0–9)	256	+0.273	55%	6.4	+0.123	2/37	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	129	+0.007	37%	6.8	+0.393	37/37	0.16
Deep (20+)	82	+0.573	41%	11.8	+0.443	12/31	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	172	+0.130	45%	7.7	+0.156	21/37	0.11
Middle	126	+0.323	56%	8.4	+0.279	17/37	0.10
Right	268	+0.084	41%	5.8	+0.111	23/37	0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	198	+0.186	47%	7.6	+0.136	17/37	-0.03
No play action	435	+0.078	44%	6.0	+0.032	18/37	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	446	+0.169	47%	7.1	+0.070	8/37	0.06
Out of pocket	187	-0.025	39%	5.2	+0.003	23/36	0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	207	+0.293	46%	7.9	+0.048	3/37	-0.15
No blitz	426	+0.023	44%	5.9	+0.060	24/37	-0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	22	-0.059	36%	6.8	+0.148	—	—
4 rushers	413	+0.061	45%	6.1	+0.049	21/37	-0.27
5 rushers	148	+0.178	44%	7.3	+0.076	14/37	-0.05
6+ rushers	48	+0.445	50%	7.3	+0.030	3/21	0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	484	+0.038	43%	6.0	+0.047	23/37	0.13
7 in the box	135	+0.391	51%	8.5	+0.083	3/37	0.11
Stacked box (8+)	14	-0.032	43%	4.4	+0.097	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	58	-0.225	34%	4.8	-0.040	18/19	-0.11
Not a screen	575	+0.145	46%	6.7	+0.064	14/37	-0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	345	+0.130	45%	6.4	+0.082	17/37	0.02
No motion	288	+0.089	45%	6.7	+0.027	19/37	0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	8	+0.364	38%	5.4	+0.068	—	—
Not an RPO	625	+0.108	45%	6.6	+0.056	15/37	—
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	439	+0.266	51%	7.5	+0.273	21/37	0.04
Pressured	194	-0.239	30%	4.3	-0.454	5/37	0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	173	+0.193	47%	6.7	+0.077	11/37	0.01
Zone	460	+0.081	44%	6.5	+0.047	17/37	0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	28	+0.405	46%	7.1	+0.112	—	—
Cover 1	138	+0.172	49%	6.8	+0.072	12/37	-0.05
2-Man	7	-0.242	29%	2.7	+0.077	—	—
Cover 2	129	-0.024	42%	5.6	+0.021	27/37	-0.18
Cover 3	212	+0.083	43%	6.3	+0.070	19/37	-0.07
Cover 4	59	+0.146	51%	7.0	+0.080	13/29	-0.01
Cover 6	40	+0.207	38%	7.6	-0.004	5/14	-0.20
Cover 9	17	+0.413	59%	9.7	-0.006	—	—
Combo	2	-1.776	50%	9.5	+0.034	—	—
Blown coverage	1	+2.286	100%	15.0	+0.293	—	—
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s)	220	+0.195	49%	6.4	+0.165	16/37	0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s)	208	+0.230	51%	8.3	+0.220	20/37	0.07
Long (3.5s+)	138	-0.039	30%	5.9	+0.023	24/35	0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	371	+0.077	43%	6.0	+0.050	18/37	0.07
12	201	+0.169	48%	7.2	+0.075	15/35	0.04
21	0	—	—	—	-0.020	—	-0.07
13	39	+0.312	49%	8.4	+0.130	2/6	—
22	0	—	—	—	-0.218	—	—
10	1	-0.880	0%	-1.0	+0.056	—	—
Other	21	-0.150	48%	6.0	+0.044	—	-0.08

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2025	CHI	633	+0.112	+70.6	44.9%	6.54	-3.5	58.3%	8.7	3.8%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.