Keon Coleman

WR · BUF · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	BUF	7	0	0	27	20	287	3	✓ matches
2025	BUF	12	0	0	59	38	404	4	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	BUF	2	0	0	4	2	46	1
2024	BUF	13	1	9	57	29	556	4	not checked
2024 playoffs	BUF	3	0	0	8	3	22	0

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

+0.743

5th of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

63.0%

11th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

11.00

9th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

25.9%

3rd of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

74.1%

44th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

15.6

7th of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

3.7%

103rd of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

11.1%

11th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	18	+0.722	61%	12.2	+0.197	10/116	-0.02
Away	9	+0.785	67%	8.6	+0.190	—	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	6	+0.978	83%	10.5	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	15	+1.001	67%	12.1	+0.174	1/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	2	+1.529	50%	18.5	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	3	-1.624	0%	1.3	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	9	+0.785	67%	8.6	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	18	+0.722	61%	12.2	+0.187	7/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	15	+1.191	73%	14.4	+0.210	1/54	-0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	6	+0.978	83%	10.5	+0.215	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	9	+1.333	67%	17.0	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	18	+0.722	61%	12.2	+0.203	9/129	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	10	+1.425	70%	15.9	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	3	+1.138	100%	14.7	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	9	-0.192	33%	4.2	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	5	+0.825	80%	11.2	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	0	—	—	—	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	19	+0.864	63%	11.9	+0.195	8/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	8	+0.456	62%	8.9	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	5	+0.457	60%	7.0	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	9	+0.191	44%	11.8	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	5	+1.091	80%	8.0	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	8	+1.325	75%	14.5	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	4	+0.758	50%	14.8	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	23	+0.740	65%	10.3	+0.199	8/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	7	+1.373	71%	18.7	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	8	+0.870	75%	9.5	+0.189	—	0.02
3rd down	11	+0.550	55%	8.2	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	1	-2.568	0%	0.0	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	0	—	—	—	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	3	+0.964	67%	10.3	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	8	+0.395	50%	7.4	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	1	-1.208	0%	0.0	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	12	+0.552	67%	9.9	+0.162	14/115	0.04
Opp 21–49	10	+1.030	70%	15.5	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	4	+1.085	50%	5.8	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	20	+0.911	70%	12.3	+0.173	4/161	-0.02
Under center	7	+0.261	43%	7.3	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	25	+0.520	60%	9.0	+0.195	21/166	-0.00
No huddle	2	+3.532	100%	35.5	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	1	-0.420	0%	0.0	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	5	+0.337	60%	10.4	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	19	+0.862	63%	11.5	+0.208	3/144	0.03
11+ to go	2	+1.203	100%	13.0	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	1	-1.480	0%	1.0	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	10	+0.700	60%	7.5	+0.162	—	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	8	+1.466	100%	16.0	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	8	+0.351	38%	11.6	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	9	+0.965	78%	12.0	+0.147	—	0.04
Middle	6	+1.170	67%	13.2	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	12	+0.363	50%	9.2	+0.168	26/102	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	4	+0.779	75%	11.2	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	23	+0.736	61%	11.0	+0.166	8/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	21	+0.609	62%	10.7	+0.187	11/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	6	+1.210	67%	12.2	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	13	+0.237	46%	7.8	+0.190	39/70	0.08
No blitz	14	+1.213	79%	14.0	+0.194	1/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	4	+0.149	75%	10.0	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	10	+1.639	80%	15.6	+0.198	—	0.12
5 rushers	8	+0.335	50%	7.9	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	5	+0.079	40%	7.6	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	18	+0.863	67%	10.9	+0.172	5/151	-0.04
7 in the box	6	+0.440	50%	11.0	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	3	+0.628	67%	11.3	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	1	-1.480	0%	1.0	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	26	+0.828	65%	11.4	+0.223	4/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	17	+0.907	71%	10.5	+0.204	5/140	0.10
No motion	10	+0.464	50%	11.8	+0.179	—	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	27	+0.743	63%	11.0	+0.200	5/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	BUF	27	+0.743	+20.1	63.0%	11.00	74.1%	15.6	2.8

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.