AJ Barner

Box score by season

SeasonTeamG RushRush ydsTD TgtRecRec ydsTD vs ESPN
2026 SEA8 451 34212030 1 differ (Targets 34 vs 33)
2025 SEA17 10141 68525196 ✓ matches
2025 playoffs SEA3 120 76671
2024 SEA14 000 38302454 not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Role RushingReceiving Seasons to Weeks to
Targets
34
qualifying bar 17
EPA/play
-0.405
162nd of 166 · lg +0.193
Success rate
38.2%
145th of 166 · lg 49.8%
Yards/play
5.97
119th of 166 · lg 7.42
Explosive rate
2.9%
136th of 166 · lg 9.1%
Catch rate
61.8%
119th of 166 · lg 67.3%
Air yards/att
2.1
138th of 166 · lg 7.9
Turnover rate
5.9%
141st of 166 · lg 2.7%
TD rate
0.0%
129th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

SituationTargetsEPA/playSuccessYds/playLeague EPARankRepeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home 20 -0.218 40% 5.5 +0.197 105/116 -0.02
Away 14 -0.671 36% 6.6 +0.190 115/116 -0.03
Neutral site 0——— +0.183 — —
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days) 4 -0.385 0% 4.0 +0.265 — 0.19
Normal (6–8 days) 22 -0.697 36% 5.6 +0.174 149/151 -0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days) 6 +0.375 67% 8.3 +0.270 — 0.21
Off a bye (13+ days) 0——— +0.271 — —
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors 1 +0.530 100% 8.0 +0.206 — 0.05
Outdoors 33 -0.433 36% 5.9 +0.187 132/137 0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F 14 -0.608 43% 6.7 +0.210 53/54 -0.02
80°F+ 0——— +0.213 — 0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph 5 -0.023 40% 5.0 +0.215 — -0.09
10–14 mph 9 -0.932 44% 7.7 +0.200 — 0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry 33 -0.433 36% 5.9 +0.203 125/129 0.03
Rain or snow 0——— +0.015 — 0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+ 7 -0.804 14% 5.7 +0.189 — -0.01
Trailing 1–8 15 -0.593 40% 6.1 +0.180 62/63 0.07
Tied 6 -0.045 50% 5.0 +0.186 — 0.02
Leading 1–8 3 -0.720 0% 0.0 +0.202 — -0.03
Leading 9+ 3 +1.064 100% 13.7 +0.243 — -0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20% 8 -0.578 25% 6.5 +0.169 — -0.05
Win prob 20–80% 22 -0.541 36% 5.0 +0.195 148/151 -0.02
Win prob over 80% 4 +0.691 75% 10.2 +0.221 — 0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1 5 +0.009 40% 9.2 +0.119 — 0.04
Q2 10 -0.289 40% 4.6 +0.208 — -0.01
Q3 7 +0.468 57% 8.9 +0.200 — -0.01
Q4 12 -1.182 25% 4.1 +0.223 51/51 -0.03
OT 0——— +0.374 — —
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half 7 -0.618 14% 2.9 +0.159 — 0.10
Rest of game 27 -0.349 44% 6.8 +0.199 156/165 0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down 12 +0.176 50% 6.3 +0.227 52/78 0.00
2nd down 16 -0.227 44% 7.2 +0.189 73/81 0.02
3rd down 5 -1.819 0% 2.2 +0.134 — -0.02
4th down 1 -3.139 0% 0.0 +0.374 — —
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3 0——— +0.163 — —
3rd & 4–6 2 -1.236 0% 0.0 +0.221 — -0.27
3rd & 7+ 3 -2.208 0% 3.7 +0.081 — 0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in 3 -0.132 33% 6.0 +0.147 — -0.04
Own 50–21 15 -0.423 27% 5.4 +0.162 111/115 0.04
Opp 21–49 8 -0.502 62% 8.4 +0.238 — 0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in) 8 -0.377 38% 4.6 +0.228 — 0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun 17 -0.674 24% 4.8 +0.173 158/161 -0.02
Under center 17 -0.135 53% 7.2 +0.273 22/24 -0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle 33 -0.383 39% 6.2 +0.195 159/166 -0.00
No huddle 1 -1.106 0% 0.0 +0.169 — -0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go 2 -1.956 0% 0.0 +0.250 — 0.05
4–6 to go 8 +0.306 62% 8.8 +0.240 — 0.02
7–10 to go 21 -0.111 38% 5.8 +0.208 122/144 0.03
11+ to go 3 -3.320 0% 3.7 +0.055 — -0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line 9 -1.323 33% 6.8 -0.209 — 0.15
Short (0–9) 23 -0.049 43% 5.7 +0.162 91/116 0.09
Intermediate (10–19) 2 -0.366 0% 5.5 +0.464 — 0.07
Deep (20+) 0——— +0.446 — 0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left 12 +0.079 42% 6.2 +0.147 48/84 0.04
Middle 7 -2.095 14% 4.7 +0.321 — -0.02
Right 15 -0.003 47% 6.4 +0.168 67/102 0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action 15 -0.315 47% 6.2 +0.287 30/31 -0.03
No play action 19 -0.476 32% 5.8 +0.166 153/160 -0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket 21 +0.084 38% 7.0 +0.187 108/163 -0.05
Out of pocket 13 -1.193 38% 4.3 +0.231 4/4 -0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed 20 +0.243 50% 7.2 +0.190 38/70 0.08
No blitz 14 -1.329 21% 4.3 +0.194 160/160 0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers 1 -0.306 0% 11.0 +0.106 — —
4 rushers 13 -1.408 23% 3.8 +0.198 157/157 0.12
5 rushers 16 +0.324 56% 6.9 +0.186 16/36 0.15
6+ rushers 4 -0.085 25% 8.0 +0.199 — —
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer) 10 -0.428 10% 3.7 +0.172 — -0.04
7 in the box 18 -0.598 50% 7.2 +0.214 53/53 -0.05
Stacked box (8+) 6 +0.215 50% 6.2 +0.313 — —
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen 6 +0.379 50% 9.5 -0.084 — 0.50
Not a screen 28 -0.573 36% 5.2 +0.223 164/166 0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion 23 -0.146 43% 6.8 +0.204 115/140 0.10
No motion 11 -0.945 27% 4.2 +0.179 — 0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO 0——— -0.104 — —
Not an RPO 34 -0.405 38% 6.0 +0.200 161/166 —

By season

SeasonTeamTargetsEPA/playTotal EPASuccessYds/play Catch rateaDOTYAC/catch
2026SEA 34-0.405 -13.838.2%5.97 61.8%2.17.9
Definitions QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.