Bo Nix

QB · DEN · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	DEN	8	149	250	1,493	9	3	10	32	114	2	0	0	0	0	✓ matches
2025	DEN	17	388	612	3,931	25	11	22	83	356	5	1	0	0	0	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	DEN	1	26	46	279	3	1	0	12	29	0	0	0	0	0
2024	DEN	17	376	567	3,775	29	12	24	92	430	4	1	1	2	1	not checked
2024 playoffs	DEN	1	13	22	144	1	0	2	4	43	0	0	0	0	0

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

268

qualifying bar 126

EPA/play

-0.015

24th of 33 · lg +0.072

Success rate

37.3%

30th of 33 · lg 45.4%

Yards/play

5.73

23rd of 33 · lg 6.29

Explosive rate

7.5%

24th of 33 · lg 8.9%

CPOE

-2.6

29th of 33 · lg +0.4

Completion %

59.6%

29th of 33 · lg 64.5%

Air yards/att

5.4

33rd of 33 · lg 7.7

Sack rate

3.7%

5th of 33 · lg 6.2%

Turnover rate

1.9%

7th of 33 · lg 2.8%

TD rate

3.7%

23rd of 33 · lg 4.3%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

-0.48 EPA/dropback on 3rd down vs +0.19 the rest of the time (82 vs 186; league gap -0.14; z -2.7) mostly noise · r 0.11
+0.31 EPA/dropback trailing by 1–8 vs -0.16 the rest of the time (83 vs 185; league gap -0.01; z +2.5) mostly noise · r 0.05

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	130	+0.050	39%	6.0	+0.076	19/33	0.04
Away	138	-0.077	36%	5.4	+0.063	29/33	0.01
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.119	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	30	-0.208	27%	3.2	+0.146	11/11	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	173	+0.032	39%	6.0	+0.046	19/33	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	32	+0.350	34%	9.0	+0.191	3/11	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.179	—	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	61	-0.017	30%	6.7	+0.075	17/22	0.01
Outdoors	207	-0.015	40%	5.4	+0.070	23/33	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	31	+0.272	52%	9.3	+0.089	4/24	-0.13
80°F+	112	-0.114	39%	4.7	+0.093	15/18	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	44	+0.115	41%	5.1	+0.096	11/25	-0.06
10–14 mph	99	-0.095	42%	5.9	+0.077	11/15	-0.12
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	207	-0.015	40%	5.4	+0.084	24/33	0.01
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	-0.082	—	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	51	-0.158	37%	3.8	+0.051	20/24	0.06
Trailing 1–8	83	+0.315	48%	7.8	+0.066	4/33	0.05
Tied	70	-0.196	36%	5.5	+0.063	23/27	0.09
Leading 1–8	44	-0.027	30%	5.3	+0.084	15/25	-0.21
Leading 9+	20	-0.363	15%	4.0	+0.140	—	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	46	-0.083	39%	4.2	+0.044	17/23	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	197	+0.009	39%	6.0	+0.076	21/33	0.08
Win prob over 80%	25	-0.084	24%	6.5	+0.098	—	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	76	-0.037	38%	5.0	+0.021	19/32	-0.05
Q2	71	+0.018	37%	5.9	+0.093	22/32	-0.06
Q3	52	-0.114	38%	5.9	+0.070	23/29	-0.06
Q4	68	+0.052	37%	6.3	+0.083	20/32	0.05
OT	1	-0.168	0%	3.0	+0.254	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	32	-0.344	16%	1.2	+0.053	23/25	0.03
Rest of game	236	+0.029	40%	6.3	+0.075	17/33	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	89	+0.102	36%	6.6	+0.127	20/33	0.19
2nd down	93	+0.214	46%	6.8	+0.091	7/33	0.04
3rd down	82	-0.475	27%	3.8	-0.031	33/33	0.11
4th down	4	+1.480	75%	2.2	+0.151	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	14	-0.422	36%	5.1	-0.009	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	24	-0.451	25%	3.3	+0.015	—	-0.12
3rd & 7+	44	-0.505	25%	3.6	-0.063	26/26	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	31	-0.047	39%	6.0	+0.083	7/10	-0.02
Own 50–21	132	-0.001	39%	6.8	+0.030	18/33	0.11
Opp 21–49	71	-0.113	32%	4.8	+0.116	27/32	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	34	+0.165	38%	3.4	+0.106	10/21	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	223	-0.015	38%	6.1	+0.062	23/33	-0.00
Under center	45	-0.018	33%	3.9	+0.112	21/27	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	247	-0.013	37%	5.8	+0.072	21/33	-0.09
No huddle	21	-0.040	38%	4.4	+0.073	—	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	21	+0.100	43%	4.3	+0.113	—	-0.07
4–6 to go	46	-0.234	35%	3.5	+0.084	23/26	-0.02
7–10 to go	164	+0.115	38%	6.4	+0.088	15/33	-0.01
11+ to go	37	-0.386	35%	6.2	-0.029	26/28	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	250	+0.033	38%	6.0	+0.175	26/33	0.66
Sack	10	-1.434	0%	-5.0	-1.718	—	0.21
Scramble	8	+0.263	50%	11.5	+0.469	—	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	71	-0.238	27%	3.8	-0.202	18/26	0.19
Short (0–9)	120	+0.159	46%	5.7	+0.144	17/33	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	35	+0.030	40%	8.3	+0.433	27/28	0.16
Deep (20+)	24	+0.209	33%	10.5	+0.435	—	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	106	+0.033	43%	6.5	+0.142	22/33	0.11
Middle	26	+0.026	35%	6.8	+0.319	—	0.10
Right	118	+0.034	35%	5.3	+0.131	23/33	0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	60	+0.027	33%	4.3	+0.122	21/32	-0.03
No play action	208	-0.027	38%	6.1	+0.057	24/33	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	190	-0.086	37%	5.5	+0.083	27/33	0.06
Out of pocket	78	+0.157	37%	6.3	+0.029	8/28	0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	87	-0.197	29%	4.8	+0.014	27/33	-0.15
No blitz	181	+0.072	41%	6.2	+0.099	20/33	-0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	10	+0.377	50%	4.2	-0.039	—	—
4 rushers	171	+0.054	41%	6.3	+0.105	20/33	-0.27
5 rushers	66	-0.193	27%	4.3	+0.012	27/31	-0.05
6+ rushers	21	-0.211	33%	6.2	+0.021	—	0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	181	-0.005	39%	6.1	+0.064	20/33	0.13
7 in the box	73	+0.007	34%	5.4	+0.075	22/31	0.11
Stacked box (8+)	14	-0.265	36%	2.9	+0.141	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	29	+0.166	41%	6.1	-0.031	—	-0.11
Not a screen	239	-0.037	37%	5.7	+0.081	24/33	-0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	148	-0.055	35%	5.1	+0.073	28/33	0.02
No motion	120	+0.034	40%	6.5	+0.070	17/33	0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	6	-0.080	33%	3.7	-0.078	—	—
Not an RPO	262	-0.014	37%	5.8	+0.075	23/33	—

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2026	DEN	268	-0.015	-4.1	37.3%	5.73	-2.6	59.6%	5.4	3.7%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.