Elijah Higgins

Box score by season

SeasonTeamG TgtRecRec ydsTD vs ESPN
2026 ARI6 18161511 1 differ (Targets 18 vs 19)
2025 ARI15 37303010 ✓ matches
2024 ARI14 24201722 not checked
2023 ARI9 19141631 not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

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Seasons to Weeks to
Targets
18
qualifying bar 17
EPA/play
+0.151
101st of 166 · lg +0.193
Success rate
61.1%
16th of 166 · lg 49.8%
Yards/play
8.39
48th of 166 · lg 7.42
Explosive rate
5.6%
111st of 166 · lg 9.1%
Catch rate
88.9%
4th of 166 · lg 67.3%
Air yards/att
2.7
133rd of 166 · lg 7.9
Turnover rate
5.6%
139th of 166 · lg 2.7%
TD rate
5.6%
62nd of 166 · lg 4.8%

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

SituationTargetsEPA/playSuccessYds/playLeague EPARankRepeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home 6 +0.738 83% 12.3 +0.197 — -0.02
Away 12 -0.142 50% 6.4 +0.190 99/116 -0.03
Neutral site 0——— +0.183 — —
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days) 0——— +0.265 — 0.19
Normal (6–8 days) 18 +0.151 61% 8.4 +0.174 82/151 -0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days) 0——— +0.270 — 0.21
Off a bye (13+ days) 0——— +0.271 — —
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors 13 -0.080 54% 8.6 +0.206 47/56 0.05
Outdoors 5 +0.752 80% 7.8 +0.187 — 0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F 5 +0.752 80% 7.8 +0.210 — -0.02
80°F+ 0——— +0.213 — 0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph 5 +0.752 80% 7.8 +0.215 — -0.09
10–14 mph 0——— +0.200 — 0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry 5 +0.752 80% 7.8 +0.203 — 0.03
Rain or snow 0——— +0.015 — 0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+ 7 +0.641 57% 11.0 +0.189 — -0.01
Trailing 1–8 7 +0.521 71% 8.1 +0.180 — 0.07
Tied 3 -1.881 33% 3.3 +0.186 — 0.02
Leading 1–8 1 +0.234 100% 7.0 +0.202 — -0.03
Leading 9+ 0——— +0.243 — -0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20% 7 +0.641 57% 11.0 +0.169 — -0.05
Win prob 20–80% 11 -0.160 64% 6.7 +0.195 — -0.02
Win prob over 80% 0——— +0.221 — 0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1 5 -1.302 20% 2.4 +0.119 — 0.04
Q2 5 +0.533 80% 9.0 +0.208 — -0.01
Q3 7 +0.952 86% 12.9 +0.200 — -0.01
Q4 1 -0.096 0% 4.0 +0.223 — -0.03
OT 0——— +0.374 — —
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half 0——— +0.159 — 0.10
Rest of game 18 +0.151 61% 8.4 +0.199 97/165 0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down 9 +0.599 67% 11.6 +0.227 — 0.00
2nd down 8 +0.431 62% 5.9 +0.189 — 0.02
3rd down 1 -6.114 0% 0.0 +0.134 — -0.02
4th down 0——— +0.374 — —
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3 0——— +0.163 — —
3rd & 4–6 0——— +0.221 — -0.27
3rd & 7+ 1 -6.114 0% 0.0 +0.081 — 0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in 0——— +0.147 — -0.04
Own 50–21 13 +0.140 69% 10.3 +0.162 67/115 0.04
Opp 21–49 3 +0.163 33% 5.7 +0.238 — 0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in) 2 +0.210 50% 0.0 +0.228 — 0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun 10 -0.445 40% 5.7 +0.173 — -0.02
Under center 8 +0.896 88% 11.8 +0.273 — -0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle 18 +0.151 61% 8.4 +0.195 92/166 -0.00
No huddle 0——— +0.169 — -0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go 2 +1.090 100% 7.5 +0.250 — 0.05
4–6 to go 3 +0.411 67% 5.7 +0.240 — 0.02
7–10 to go 11 +0.472 55% 10.2 +0.208 — 0.03
11+ to go 2 -2.940 50% 3.5 +0.055 — -0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line 4 +0.027 50% 4.0 -0.209 — 0.15
Short (0–9) 13 +0.016 62% 7.5 +0.162 84/116 0.09
Intermediate (10–19) 0——— +0.464 — 0.07
Deep (20+) 1 +2.418 100% 38.0 +0.446 — 0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left 7 +0.468 71% 8.4 +0.147 — 0.04
Middle 2 -2.480 50% 1.0 +0.321 — -0.02
Right 9 +0.490 56% 10.0 +0.168 — 0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action 8 +0.978 88% 12.6 +0.287 — -0.03
No play action 10 -0.510 40% 5.0 +0.166 — -0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket 9 +0.112 44% 6.1 +0.187 — -0.05
Out of pocket 9 +0.191 78% 10.7 +0.231 — -0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed 6 +0.785 83% 9.3 +0.190 — 0.08
No blitz 12 -0.165 50% 7.9 +0.194 140/160 0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers 3 -0.281 0% 2.7 +0.106 — —
4 rushers 9 -0.126 67% 9.7 +0.198 — 0.12
5 rushers 4 +0.632 75% 10.2 +0.186 — 0.15
6+ rushers 2 +1.090 100% 7.5 +0.199 — —
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer) 9 -0.589 33% 5.0 +0.172 — -0.04
7 in the box 7 +0.818 86% 12.4 +0.214 — -0.05
Stacked box (8+) 2 +1.150 100% 9.5 +0.313 — —
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen 3 -0.199 33% 3.0 -0.084 — 0.50
Not a screen 15 +0.221 67% 9.5 +0.223 82/166 0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion 14 +0.149 71% 8.8 +0.204 86/140 0.10
No motion 4 +0.161 25% 7.0 +0.179 — 0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO 0——— -0.104 — —
Not an RPO 18 +0.151 61% 8.4 +0.200 99/166 —

By season

SeasonTeamTargetsEPA/playTotal EPASuccessYds/play Catch rateaDOTYAC/catch
2026ARI 18+0.151 +2.761.1%8.39 88.9%2.76.9
Definitions QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.