Nate Adkins

TE · DEN · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	DEN	3	1	6	7	6	44	3	1 differ (Targets 7 vs 8)
2025	DEN	6	0	0	11	6	48	1	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	DEN	1	0	0	1	1	1	0
2024	DEN	12	0	0	15	14	115	3	not checked
2023	DEN	4	0	0	5	4	22	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

+1.234

not ranked · lg +0.193

Success rate

71.4%

not ranked · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

6.29

not ranked · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

0.0%

not ranked · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

85.7%

not ranked · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

4.9

not ranked · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

0.0%

not ranked · lg 2.7%

TD rate

42.9%

not ranked · lg 4.8%

Below the qualifying bar for this window, so ranks are against qualified players and say less.

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	7	+1.234	71%	6.3	+0.197	—	-0.02
Away	0	—	—	—	+0.190	—	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	7	+1.234	71%	6.3	+0.174	—	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	0	—	—	—	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	7	+1.234	71%	6.3	+0.187	—	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	3	+1.238	100%	10.7	+0.210	—	-0.02
80°F+	2	+0.782	50%	4.0	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.215	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	5	+1.055	80%	8.0	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	7	+1.234	71%	6.3	+0.203	—	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	1	+3.804	100%	2.0	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	5	+0.825	60%	7.0	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	1	+0.707	100%	7.0	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	0	—	—	—	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	1	+3.804	100%	2.0	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	6	+0.806	67%	7.0	+0.195	—	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	0	—	—	—	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	1	+0.707	100%	7.0	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	1	-0.443	0%	2.0	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	2	+1.510	100%	13.0	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	3	+1.785	67%	3.0	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	1	-0.461	0%	0.0	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	6	+1.517	83%	7.3	+0.199	—	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	3	+0.030	33%	6.7	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	3	+1.581	100%	7.3	+0.189	—	0.02
3rd down	0	—	—	—	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	1	+3.804	100%	2.0	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	0	—	—	—	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	0	—	—	—	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	1	+0.707	100%	7.0	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	1	+0.995	100%	18.0	+0.162	—	0.04
Opp 21–49	1	-0.443	0%	2.0	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	4	+1.845	75%	4.2	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	2	+0.791	50%	5.0	+0.173	—	-0.02
Under center	5	+1.411	80%	6.8	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	6	+1.322	67%	6.2	+0.195	—	-0.00
No huddle	1	+0.707	100%	7.0	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	2	+1.671	50%	1.0	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	1	+0.707	100%	7.0	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	4	+1.147	75%	8.8	+0.208	—	0.03
11+ to go	0	—	—	—	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	0	—	—	—	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	6	+1.274	67%	4.3	+0.162	—	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	1	+0.995	100%	18.0	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	0	—	—	—	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	2	+0.276	50%	10.0	+0.147	—	0.04
Middle	0	—	—	—	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	5	+1.617	80%	4.8	+0.168	—	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	5	+1.411	80%	6.8	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	2	+0.791	50%	5.0	+0.166	—	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	4	+0.821	75%	8.8	+0.187	—	-0.05
Out of pocket	3	+1.785	67%	3.0	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	1	+0.995	100%	18.0	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	6	+1.274	67%	4.3	+0.194	—	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	6	+1.274	67%	4.3	+0.198	—	0.12
5 rushers	1	+0.995	100%	18.0	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	1	+2.025	100%	8.0	+0.172	—	-0.04
7 in the box	3	+1.452	67%	7.3	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	3	+0.753	67%	4.7	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	0	—	—	—	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	7	+1.234	71%	6.3	+0.223	—	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	5	+0.562	60%	6.8	+0.204	—	0.10
No motion	2	+2.914	100%	5.0	+0.179	—	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	7	+1.234	71%	6.3	+0.200	—	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	DEN	7	+1.234	+8.6	71.4%	6.29	85.7%	4.9	2.0

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.