DeMario Douglas

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	NE	8	0	0	37	26	332	4	✓ matches
2025	NE	16	7	21	46	31	447	3	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	NE	4	0	0	12	8	84	1
2024	NE	16	3	16	87	66	621	3	not checked
2023	NE	14	8	41	79	49	561	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

+0.572

14th of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

56.8%

41st of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

8.97

37th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

13.5%

38th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

70.3%

66th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

10.6

59th of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

5.4%

138th of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

10.8%

14th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

+1.51 EPA/target to the right vs -0.22 the rest of the time (17 vs 20; league gap -0.04; z +3.5) mostly noise · r 0.03

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	15	+0.924	67%	10.7	+0.197	4/116	-0.02
Away	22	+0.332	50%	7.8	+0.190	47/116	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	4	+0.066	50%	5.8	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	21	+0.596	52%	9.7	+0.174	16/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	5	+1.575	80%	17.0	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	0	—	—	—	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	37	+0.572	57%	9.0	+0.187	17/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	12	+0.040	50%	3.7	+0.210	36/54	-0.02
80°F+	5	-0.332	20%	7.6	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	14	-0.094	43%	4.8	+0.215	48/56	-0.09
10–14 mph	3	+0.045	33%	5.0	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	37	+0.572	57%	9.0	+0.203	20/129	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	6	-0.052	33%	9.0	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	7	+0.168	57%	5.1	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	6	+1.159	83%	10.0	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	10	+1.358	70%	10.6	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	8	-0.031	38%	9.5	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	4	+0.157	50%	13.5	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	23	+0.620	57%	7.5	+0.195	21/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	10	+0.627	60%	10.5	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	4	+1.531	75%	12.2	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	11	+0.558	55%	7.1	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	13	+0.670	62%	7.2	+0.200	7/36	-0.01
Q4	9	+0.021	44%	12.4	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	5	+1.265	80%	7.4	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	32	+0.463	53%	9.2	+0.199	33/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	8	+0.405	50%	7.5	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	13	+0.841	62%	12.7	+0.189	3/81	0.02
3rd down	13	+0.378	54%	7.6	+0.134	18/50	-0.02
4th down	3	+0.690	67%	2.7	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	3	+0.932	67%	4.3	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	6	-0.027	50%	11.7	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	4	+0.570	50%	4.0	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	2	-0.572	0%	0.5	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	18	+0.259	50%	9.6	+0.162	51/115	0.04
Opp 21–49	13	+1.026	77%	10.9	+0.238	6/59	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	4	+1.076	50%	4.2	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	33	+0.431	52%	7.5	+0.173	35/161	-0.02
Under center	4	+1.731	100%	21.2	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	36	+0.600	58%	9.2	+0.195	12/166	-0.00
No huddle	1	-0.448	0%	0.0	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	6	+1.295	83%	3.7	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	7	+0.612	57%	16.9	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	19	+0.652	58%	9.4	+0.208	15/144	0.03
11+ to go	5	-0.656	20%	2.6	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	5	-0.259	40%	3.2	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	17	+1.065	76%	6.4	+0.162	3/116	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	6	+0.853	50%	11.5	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	9	-0.086	33%	15.3	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	15	-0.179	47%	6.4	+0.147	71/84	0.04
Middle	5	-0.358	40%	3.4	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	17	+1.507	71%	12.9	+0.168	1/102	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	3	+1.171	33%	17.3	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	34	+0.519	59%	8.2	+0.166	21/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	30	+0.342	53%	8.3	+0.187	48/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	7	+1.556	71%	11.9	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	6	+0.320	50%	11.3	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	31	+0.621	58%	8.5	+0.194	14/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	4	+0.078	25%	10.5	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	27	+0.701	63%	8.2	+0.198	9/157	0.12
5 rushers	5	+0.019	40%	12.0	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	1	+1.824	100%	8.0	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	35	+0.575	57%	8.6	+0.172	15/151	-0.04
7 in the box	2	+0.517	50%	15.0	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	0	—	—	—	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	4	-0.005	50%	4.0	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	33	+0.642	58%	9.6	+0.223	13/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	22	+0.925	64%	12.4	+0.204	4/140	0.10
No motion	15	+0.053	47%	4.0	+0.179	67/97	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	2	+0.190	50%	3.5	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	35	+0.594	57%	9.3	+0.200	11/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	NE	37	+0.572	+21.2	56.8%	8.97	70.3%	10.6	4.5

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.