Chase Brown

RB · CIN · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	CIN	7	94	340	1	42	36	189	0	✓ matches
2025	CIN	17	232	1,019	6	88	69	437	5	✓ matches
2024	CIN	16	229	990	7	65	54	360	4	not checked
2023	CIN	10	44	179	0	15	14	156	1	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Designed runs

qualifying bar 56

EPA/play

-0.166

30th of 38 · lg -0.077

Success rate

37.2%

24th of 38 · lg 40.5%

Yards/play

3.62

29th of 38 · lg 4.11

Explosive rate

7.4%

25th of 38 · lg 9.3%

Turnover rate

1.1%

30th of 38 · lg 0.6%

TD rate

1.1%

36th of 38 · lg 3.7%

Every split

EPA per designed run by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 20+ designed runs there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Designed runs	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	37	-0.259	30%	3.3	-0.093	31/37	0.01
Away	57	-0.107	42%	3.8	-0.059	27/35	-0.00
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	-0.083	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	-0.032	—	0.32
Normal (6–8 days)	67	-0.219	37%	3.7	-0.094	31/38	-0.14
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	-0.017	—	-0.03
Off a bye (13+ days)	11	+0.009	45%	3.5	-0.077	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	20	-0.193	40%	4.0	-0.108	16/22	0.00
Outdoors	74	-0.159	36%	3.5	-0.064	28/35	0.00
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	22	-0.078	41%	3.2	-0.062	12/22	0.02
80°F+	16	-0.066	31%	3.5	-0.039	—	-0.32
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	25	-0.146	28%	2.6	-0.070	21/25	0.07
10–14 mph	13	+0.066	54%	4.7	-0.012	—	0.12
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	74	-0.159	36%	3.5	-0.053	27/33	—
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	-0.152	—	—
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	11	+0.134	55%	4.1	-0.047	—	0.01
Trailing 1–8	20	-0.105	30%	3.5	-0.081	13/23	0.02
Tied	20	-0.104	45%	4.3	-0.096	12/23	0.10
Leading 1–8	19	-0.497	26%	2.6	-0.086	—	0.00
Leading 9+	24	-0.146	38%	3.7	-0.054	13/14	-0.13
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	4	+0.316	75%	2.0	-0.040	—	0.13
Win prob 20–80%	56	-0.216	34%	3.8	-0.081	30/38	-0.05
Win prob over 80%	34	-0.142	38%	3.4	-0.081	17/25	-0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	22	-0.080	27%	4.0	-0.072	16/28	0.09
Q2	20	+0.035	45%	4.2	-0.080	8/25	-0.04
Q3	28	-0.093	43%	3.7	-0.058	17/30	0.12
Q4	24	-0.500	33%	2.6	-0.093	25/25	-0.02
OT	0	—	—	—	-0.139	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	5	+0.091	60%	4.8	-0.100	—	—
Rest of game	89	-0.181	36%	3.6	-0.075	31/38	—
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	56	-0.127	34%	3.5	-0.082	24/38	0.02
2nd down	34	-0.286	41%	3.8	-0.102	32/34	-0.03
3rd down	4	+0.297	50%	3.5	+0.007	—	-0.14
4th down	0	—	—	—	+0.032	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	2	+1.012	100%	2.5	+0.033	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	-0.052	—	—
3rd & 7+	2	-0.417	0%	4.5	-0.060	—	—
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	6	+0.230	83%	6.7	-0.136	—	0.05
Own 50–21	44	-0.169	36%	3.7	-0.090	21/35	-0.01
Opp 21–49	31	-0.259	29%	3.3	-0.067	33/34	0.07
Red zone (opp 20 in)	13	-0.121	38%	2.7	-0.033	—	0.06
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	36	-0.028	44%	4.0	-0.093	11/31	0.03
Under center	58	-0.252	33%	3.4	-0.068	33/38	0.03
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	92	-0.174	37%	3.6	-0.083	30/38	0.03
No huddle	2	+0.206	50%	5.0	+0.081	—	0.03
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	11	-0.358	55%	3.1	+0.023	—	0.12
4–6 to go	17	-0.003	47%	3.6	-0.046	—	-0.02
7–10 to go	62	-0.146	34%	3.7	-0.110	24/38	-0.06
11+ to go	4	-0.645	0%	3.2	-0.167	—	—
Run direction Running compare everyone →
Left	40	-0.157	35%	3.6	-0.041	27/36	0.04
Middle	28	-0.203	39%	3.6	-0.093	19/30	0.16
Right	26	-0.141	38%	3.7	-0.066	23/31	0.11
Run gap Running compare everyone →
Outside (end)	13	-0.290	38%	3.0	+0.001	—	-0.03
Off tackle	17	-0.189	41%	2.6	-0.046	—	-0.00
Inside (guard)	36	-0.082	33%	4.3	-0.103	17/29	0.11
Up the middle	28	-0.203	39%	3.6	-0.093	19/30	0.16
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	44	-0.145	43%	4.3	-0.083	28/37	0.13
7 in the box	37	-0.073	35%	3.5	-0.072	18/37	-0.02
Stacked box (8+)	13	-0.504	23%	1.8	-0.072	—	0.34
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	64	-0.186	39%	3.4	-0.092	30/38	-0.21
No motion	30	-0.125	33%	4.0	-0.052	22/29	-0.21
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	17	+0.039	53%	4.9	-0.061	—	—
Not an RPO	77	-0.212	34%	3.3	-0.078	32/38	—

By season

Season	Team	Designed runs	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Explosive	1st-down rate
2026	CIN	94	-0.166	-15.6	37.2%	3.62	7.4%	17.0%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.