Aidan O'Connell

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	vs ESPN
2025	LV	1	10	22	102	0	0	1	1	7	0	✓ matches
2024	LV	9	154	243	1,612	8	4	10	21	30	1	not checked
2023	LV	11	213	343	2,218	12	7	24	17	11	1	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

255

qualifying bar 238

EPA/play

+0.027

23rd of 39 · lg +0.066

Success rate

45.1%

21st of 39 · lg 45.8%

Yards/play

6.10

27th of 39 · lg 6.30

Explosive rate

8.2%

27th of 39 · lg 9.4%

CPOE

-3.6

36th of 39 · lg +0.9

Completion %

63.6%

27th of 39 · lg 65.6%

Air yards/att

7.9

18th of 39 · lg 7.7

Sack rate

3.9%

5th of 39 · lg 6.5%

Turnover rate

1.6%

4th of 39 · lg 2.6%

TD rate

3.1%

32nd of 39 · lg 4.2%

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	130	+0.012	47%	5.9	+0.069	24/39	0.04
Away	125	+0.043	43%	6.3	+0.063	25/39	0.01
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.075	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	37	+0.250	41%	8.6	+0.101	6/22	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	197	+0.024	46%	5.8	+0.067	24/39	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	21	-0.336	43%	4.7	+0.072	—	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.066	—	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	176	+0.057	48%	6.0	+0.043	19/36	0.01
Outdoors	79	-0.040	39%	6.4	+0.078	32/39	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	37	+0.250	41%	8.6	+0.086	8/20	0.00
40–59°F	0	—	—	—	+0.071	—	0.00
60–79°F	42	-0.295	38%	4.4	+0.060	35/36	-0.13
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.111	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	79	-0.040	39%	6.4	+0.081	33/38	-0.06
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.089	—	-0.12
15+ mph	0	—	—	—	-0.024	—	-0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	79	-0.040	39%	6.4	+0.080	32/39	0.01
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.025	—	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	87	+0.103	47%	6.0	+0.002	17/38	0.06
Trailing 1–8	79	+0.130	48%	7.4	+0.058	13/39	0.05
Tied	43	-0.093	44%	5.7	+0.066	30/38	0.09
Leading 1–8	40	-0.305	35%	4.1	+0.110	34/36	-0.21
Leading 9+	6	+0.653	50%	7.5	+0.153	—	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	80	+0.143	49%	6.3	+0.017	17/37	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	158	-0.034	44%	6.1	+0.059	31/39	0.08
Win prob over 80%	17	+0.056	41%	5.3	+0.172	—	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	54	-0.101	43%	5.3	+0.038	31/39	-0.05
Q2	51	+0.115	45%	7.9	+0.101	17/39	-0.06
Q3	55	-0.103	42%	5.3	+0.058	29/39	-0.06
Q4	95	+0.129	48%	6.1	+0.049	14/39	0.05
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.462	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	30	+0.210	53%	6.9	+0.062	7/38	0.03
Rest of game	225	+0.003	44%	6.0	+0.067	26/39	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	108	+0.162	51%	6.9	+0.100	12/39	0.19
2nd down	76	+0.018	47%	5.6	+0.105	27/39	0.04
3rd down	64	-0.200	33%	5.4	-0.040	30/39	0.11
4th down	7	+0.130	43%	5.1	+0.174	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	12	+0.180	50%	7.4	-0.121	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	23	+0.135	48%	6.1	+0.074	—	-0.12
3rd & 7+	29	-0.623	14%	3.9	-0.073	—	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	27	-0.339	41%	5.3	+0.098	—	-0.02
Own 50–21	130	+0.054	43%	6.5	+0.050	20/39	0.11
Opp 21–49	68	+0.144	50%	6.8	+0.083	16/39	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	30	-0.023	47%	3.6	+0.060	21/36	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	210	-0.004	46%	6.0	+0.048	26/39	-0.00
Under center	45	+0.173	40%	6.7	+0.165	16/33	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	217	+0.033	44%	6.3	+0.061	19/39	-0.09
No huddle	38	-0.004	50%	5.0	+0.096	25/31	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	25	+0.102	48%	4.2	+0.036	—	-0.07
4–6 to go	45	+0.023	47%	5.8	+0.102	22/38	-0.02
7–10 to go	151	+0.108	48%	6.8	+0.077	16/39	-0.01
11+ to go	34	-0.382	26%	4.8	+0.005	37/38	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	242	+0.091	46%	6.7	+0.174	27/39	0.66
Sack	10	-1.773	0%	-8.2	-1.771	—	0.21
Scramble	3	+0.857	100%	8.7	+0.539	—	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	36	-0.106	39%	4.3	-0.123	16/38	0.19
Short (0–9)	133	+0.002	50%	5.6	+0.148	32/39	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	41	+0.275	49%	8.0	+0.404	28/39	0.16
Deep (20+)	32	+0.450	38%	11.8	+0.339	17/34	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	104	+0.126	47%	6.8	+0.167	23/39	0.11
Middle	51	-0.017	51%	7.6	+0.317	38/39	0.10
Right	87	+0.113	43%	5.9	+0.102	23/39	0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	60	+0.254	48%	7.4	+0.162	15/39	-0.03
No play action	195	-0.042	44%	5.7	+0.038	27/39	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	212	+0.005	45%	6.3	+0.070	25/39	0.06
Out of pocket	43	+0.137	44%	5.0	+0.047	14/37	0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	65	+0.278	51%	8.3	+0.019	2/39	-0.15
No blitz	190	-0.059	43%	5.4	+0.085	32/39	-0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	5	-0.642	0%	2.0	+0.120	—	—
4 rushers	192	-0.054	44%	5.5	+0.065	31/39	-0.27
5 rushers	46	+0.296	50%	8.5	+0.052	5/39	-0.05
6+ rushers	12	+0.580	58%	8.9	+0.056	—	0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	223	+0.012	44%	6.0	+0.051	24/39	0.13
7 in the box	29	+0.149	52%	7.6	+0.119	—	0.11
Stacked box (8+)	3	-0.021	33%	1.0	+0.127	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	20	+0.225	55%	7.1	+0.020	—	-0.11
Not a screen	235	+0.010	44%	6.0	+0.070	28/39	-0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	131	+0.061	41%	6.4	+0.073	18/39	0.02
No motion	124	-0.008	49%	5.8	+0.059	30/39	0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	4	-0.305	25%	2.0	+0.014	—	—
Not an RPO	251	+0.033	45%	6.2	+0.067	20/39	—
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	183	+0.135	50%	7.0	+0.262	31/39	0.04
Pressured	72	-0.245	33%	3.9	-0.373	11/39	0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	122	+0.107	46%	6.9	+0.063	17/39	0.01
Zone	133	-0.046	44%	5.4	+0.071	27/39	0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	9	-0.161	22%	4.8	+0.102	—	—
Cover 1	75	+0.358	52%	8.3	+0.060	3/39	-0.05
2-Man	38	-0.324	39%	4.6	+0.055	23/23	—
Cover 2	58	-0.102	43%	4.4	+0.028	31/39	-0.18
Cover 3	42	-0.187	40%	5.2	+0.107	34/39	-0.07
Cover 4	5	-0.004	40%	4.2	+0.143	—	-0.01
Cover 6	10	+0.472	80%	9.9	+0.113	—	-0.20
Cover 9	7	+0.112	29%	6.0	+0.058	—	—
Combo	11	+0.193	45%	6.9	-0.054	—	—
Blown coverage	0	—	—	—	-0.208	—	—
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s)	103	+0.243	55%	7.1	+0.166	12/39	0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s)	94	-0.028	46%	7.3	+0.235	36/39	0.07
Long (3.5s+)	45	-0.007	27%	4.3	+0.061	25/36	0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	125	+0.012	41%	5.4	+0.053	22/39	0.07
12	117	+0.007	49%	6.7	+0.122	24/35	0.04
21	0	—	—	—	+0.151	—	-0.07
13	13	+0.363	54%	7.2	+0.168	—	—
22	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	—
10	0	—	—	—	-0.171	—	—
Other	0	—	—	—	-0.063	—	-0.08

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2024	LV	255	+0.027	+7.0	45.1%	6.10	-3.6	63.6%	7.9	3.9%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.