Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	Rush	Rush yds	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	ARI	8	1	1	7	3	28	81	45	486	2	1 differ (Targets 81 vs 82)
2025	ARI	17	0	0	0	0	0	126	78	1,006	7	✓ matches
2024	ARI	16	0	0	0	1	7	71	47	548	4	not checked
2023	ARI	13	0	0	0	0	0	58	38	565	3	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

-0.008

121st of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

48.1%

97th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

6.00

116th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

6.2%

104th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

55.6%

137th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

11.4

49th of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

4.9%

132nd of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

2.5%

116th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	22	-0.242	36%	4.7	+0.197	109/116	-0.02
Away	59	+0.079	53%	6.5	+0.190	75/116	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	74	-0.035	46%	5.8	+0.174	112/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	51	+0.055	45%	5.9	+0.206	36/56	0.05
Outdoors	30	-0.116	53%	6.1	+0.187	118/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	30	-0.116	53%	6.1	+0.210	47/54	-0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	30	-0.116	53%	6.1	+0.215	51/56	-0.09
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	30	-0.116	53%	6.1	+0.203	110/129	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	34	+0.090	41%	4.7	+0.189	26/33	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	20	-0.034	65%	9.6	+0.180	44/63	0.07
Tied	11	-0.063	36%	3.3	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	16	-0.147	50%	6.1	+0.202	28/32	-0.03
Leading 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	35	+0.188	46%	6.1	+0.169	18/33	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	44	-0.138	52%	6.2	+0.195	127/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	2	-0.588	0%	0.5	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	11	+0.364	55%	7.0	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	24	-0.227	38%	5.0	+0.208	57/63	-0.01
Q3	18	+0.456	61%	7.2	+0.200	14/36	-0.01
Q4	28	-0.265	46%	5.7	+0.223	45/51	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	22	-0.189	50%	7.7	+0.159	9/9	0.10
Rest of game	59	+0.059	47%	5.4	+0.199	111/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	31	+0.212	55%	7.5	+0.227	47/78	0.00
2nd down	24	+0.214	46%	4.7	+0.189	44/81	0.02
3rd down	22	-0.186	41%	5.9	+0.134	40/50	-0.02
4th down	4	-2.066	50%	3.0	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	5	-1.073	40%	5.8	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	8	+0.375	62%	8.4	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	9	-0.192	22%	3.8	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	6	-0.045	33%	4.2	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	32	+0.099	59%	7.9	+0.162	75/115	0.04
Opp 21–49	26	+0.229	50%	6.3	+0.238	34/59	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	17	-0.559	29%	2.5	+0.228	6/6	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	64	-0.027	50%	6.3	+0.173	117/161	-0.02
Under center	17	+0.062	41%	4.8	+0.273	18/24	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	66	-0.111	45%	5.7	+0.195	139/166	-0.00
No huddle	15	+0.445	60%	7.3	+0.169	2/3	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	13	-0.207	38%	4.4	+0.250	4/4	0.05
4–6 to go	16	-0.548	50%	5.2	+0.240	11/12	0.02
7–10 to go	42	+0.385	60%	7.9	+0.208	48/144	0.03
11+ to go	10	-0.537	10%	1.4	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	8	-0.704	38%	3.6	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	33	-0.100	52%	4.5	+0.162	96/116	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	23	+0.651	70%	10.4	+0.464	20/42	0.07
Deep (20+)	17	-0.395	18%	4.1	+0.446	10/10	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	24	-0.355	50%	5.4	+0.147	79/84	0.04
Middle	8	-0.159	38%	4.8	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	49	+0.186	49%	6.5	+0.168	41/102	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	11	+0.115	36%	7.1	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	70	-0.028	50%	5.8	+0.166	114/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	75	-0.015	49%	6.3	+0.187	120/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	6	+0.081	33%	2.7	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	22	-0.351	45%	6.7	+0.190	65/70	0.08
No blitz	59	+0.120	49%	5.7	+0.194	88/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	4	-0.075	25%	6.0	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	55	+0.134	51%	5.7	+0.198	83/157	0.12
5 rushers	14	-0.813	43%	6.9	+0.186	36/36	0.15
6+ rushers	8	+0.458	50%	6.2	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	67	-0.056	49%	5.8	+0.172	120/151	-0.04
7 in the box	11	+0.469	55%	8.8	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	3	-0.682	0%	0.0	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	8	+0.291	62%	6.6	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	73	-0.041	47%	5.9	+0.223	130/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	39	+0.011	46%	5.4	+0.204	105/140	0.10
No motion	42	-0.026	50%	6.5	+0.179	75/97	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	81	-0.008	48%	6.0	+0.200	123/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	ARI	81	-0.008	-0.7	48.1%	6.00	55.6%	11.4	2.3

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.