Kenneth Walker III

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	KC	7	141	770	6	32	22	131	2	1 differ (Targets 32 vs 31)
2025	SEA	17	221	1,027	5	36	31	282	0	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	SEA	3	65	313	4	11	9	104	0
2024	SEA	11	153	573	7	53	46	299	1	not checked
2023	SEA	15	219	905	8	37	29	259	1	not checked
2022	SEA	15	228	1,050	9	35	27	165	0	not checked
2022 playoffs	SEA	1	15	63	1	1	1	3	0

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Designed runs

141

qualifying bar 56

EPA/play

+0.075

5th of 38 · lg -0.077

Success rate

44.7%

11th of 38 · lg 40.5%

Yards/play

5.46

2nd of 38 · lg 4.11

Explosive rate

14.2%

6th of 38 · lg 9.3%

Turnover rate

0.0%

1st of 38 · lg 0.6%

TD rate

4.3%

12th of 38 · lg 3.7%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

-0.36 EPA/carry in the red zone vs +0.19 the rest of the time (30 vs 111; league gap +0.05; z -2.6) mostly noise · r 0.06

Every split

EPA per designed run by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 20+ designed runs there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Designed runs	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	66	+0.209	52%	6.3	-0.093	2/37	0.01
Away	75	-0.043	39%	4.7	-0.059	19/35	-0.00
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	-0.083	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	-0.032	—	0.32
Normal (6–8 days)	99	-0.024	42%	4.7	-0.094	15/38	-0.14
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	-0.017	—	-0.03
Off a bye (13+ days)	19	+0.150	53%	6.7	-0.077	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	22	+0.169	45%	8.0	-0.108	4/22	0.00
Outdoors	119	+0.057	45%	5.0	-0.064	8/35	0.00
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	24	+0.034	54%	4.9	-0.062	7/22	0.02
80°F+	41	+0.126	44%	5.9	-0.039	1/6	-0.32
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	18	-0.274	39%	3.9	-0.070	—	0.07
10–14 mph	47	+0.233	51%	6.2	-0.012	1/7	0.12
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	119	+0.057	45%	5.0	-0.053	7/33	—
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	-0.152	—	—
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	6	-0.264	17%	2.0	-0.047	—	0.01
Trailing 1–8	31	+0.270	48%	6.5	-0.081	1/23	0.02
Tied	47	+0.092	47%	5.1	-0.096	5/23	0.10
Leading 1–8	38	+0.054	42%	5.9	-0.086	6/21	0.00
Leading 9+	19	-0.138	47%	4.6	-0.054	—	-0.13
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	6	-0.264	17%	2.0	-0.040	—	0.13
Win prob 20–80%	105	+0.153	47%	6.1	-0.081	4/38	-0.05
Win prob over 80%	30	-0.131	43%	3.8	-0.081	16/25	-0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	37	+0.050	32%	4.9	-0.072	9/28	0.09
Q2	31	+0.208	65%	6.2	-0.080	3/25	-0.04
Q3	34	+0.092	35%	7.1	-0.058	6/30	0.12
Q4	32	-0.031	44%	4.0	-0.093	14/25	-0.02
OT	7	+0.016	71%	4.1	-0.139	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	13	+0.014	54%	3.5	-0.100	—	—
Rest of game	128	+0.081	44%	5.7	-0.075	5/38	—
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	84	+0.056	43%	5.6	-0.082	6/38	0.02
2nd down	38	-0.008	39%	4.2	-0.102	13/34	-0.03
3rd down	13	+0.400	69%	5.6	+0.007	—	-0.14
4th down	6	+0.154	50%	11.2	+0.032	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	12	+0.384	67%	5.6	+0.033	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	-0.052	—	—
3rd & 7+	1	+0.587	100%	6.0	-0.060	—	—
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	15	+0.434	53%	10.2	-0.136	—	0.05
Own 50–21	63	+0.078	48%	5.7	-0.090	6/35	-0.01
Opp 21–49	33	+0.306	48%	5.8	-0.067	3/34	0.07
Red zone (opp 20 in)	30	-0.364	30%	2.2	-0.033	13/14	0.06
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	59	+0.100	46%	5.0	-0.093	6/31	0.03
Under center	82	+0.057	44%	5.8	-0.068	8/38	0.03
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	141	+0.075	45%	5.5	-0.083	5/38	0.03
No huddle	0	—	—	—	+0.081	—	0.03
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	33	+0.199	58%	5.2	+0.023	7/16	0.12
4–6 to go	13	-0.300	23%	2.3	-0.046	—	-0.02
7–10 to go	95	+0.083	43%	6.0	-0.110	3/38	-0.06
11+ to go	0	—	—	—	-0.167	—	—
Run direction Running compare everyone →
Left	48	+0.251	58%	6.9	-0.041	3/36	0.04
Middle	49	-0.039	41%	3.9	-0.093	9/30	0.16
Right	43	+0.027	35%	5.7	-0.066	11/31	0.11
Run gap Running compare everyone →
Outside (end)	31	+0.347	48%	7.8	+0.001	1/13	-0.03
Off tackle	28	+0.174	54%	5.1	-0.046	2/21	-0.00
Inside (guard)	32	-0.075	41%	5.9	-0.103	15/29	0.11
Up the middle	49	-0.039	41%	3.9	-0.093	9/30	0.16
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	69	+0.019	42%	5.5	-0.083	15/37	0.13
7 in the box	64	+0.036	45%	4.9	-0.072	10/37	-0.02
Stacked box (8+)	8	+0.864	62%	9.9	-0.072	—	0.34
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	71	-0.031	44%	4.2	-0.092	17/38	-0.21
No motion	70	+0.182	46%	6.7	-0.052	3/29	-0.21
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	25	-0.024	36%	4.7	-0.061	3/4	—
Not an RPO	116	+0.096	47%	5.6	-0.078	4/38	—

By season

Season	Team	Designed runs	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Explosive	1st-down rate
2026	KC	141	+0.075	+10.5	44.7%	5.46	14.2%	28.4%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.