Kenneth Walker III

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	KC	7	141	770	6	32	22	131	2	1 differ (Targets 32 vs 31)
2025	SEA	17	221	1,027	5	36	31	282	0	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	SEA	3	65	313	4	11	9	104	0
2024	SEA	11	153	573	7	53	46	299	1	not checked
2023	SEA	15	219	905	8	37	29	259	1	not checked
2022	SEA	15	228	1,050	9	35	27	165	0	not checked
2022 playoffs	SEA	1	15	63	1	1	1	3	0

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

-0.037

133rd of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

50.0%

84th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

4.09

158th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

3.1%

135th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

68.8%

80th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

-0.7

152nd of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

0.0%

1st of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

6.2%

50th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

-0.36 EPA/carry in the red zone vs +0.19 the rest of the time (30 vs 111; league gap +0.05; z -2.6) mostly noise · r 0.06

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	19	-0.014	53%	4.7	+0.197	90/116	-0.02
Away	13	-0.071	46%	3.2	+0.190	91/116	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	23	-0.061	48%	4.4	+0.174	114/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	3	-0.138	67%	3.7	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	1	-0.523	0%	2.0	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	31	-0.021	52%	4.2	+0.187	108/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	10	-0.049	50%	6.1	+0.210	—	-0.02
80°F+	8	+0.236	50%	2.6	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	2	+0.624	50%	1.5	+0.215	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	16	+0.009	50%	4.9	+0.200	10/14	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	31	-0.021	52%	4.2	+0.203	101/129	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	2	-0.123	50%	5.0	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	8	-0.212	50%	3.8	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	13	+0.119	46%	4.8	+0.186	19/29	0.02
Leading 1–8	7	-0.222	43%	3.0	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	2	+0.383	100%	3.5	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	2	-0.123	50%	5.0	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	26	-0.104	42%	3.9	+0.195	122/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	4	+0.444	100%	4.8	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	3	-0.752	33%	2.0	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	14	+0.087	50%	3.9	+0.208	47/63	-0.01
Q3	6	-0.556	33%	3.0	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	7	+0.338	71%	4.4	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	2	+0.413	50%	11.0	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	3	+1.166	100%	12.0	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	29	-0.162	45%	3.3	+0.199	141/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	11	+0.137	73%	4.5	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	14	-0.121	36%	3.1	+0.189	67/81	0.02
3rd down	7	-0.142	43%	5.4	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	2	-0.032	50%	11.0	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	5	-0.186	40%	3.2	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	4	-0.006	25%	2.8	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	12	-0.122	50%	4.1	+0.162	98/115	0.04
Opp 21–49	8	-0.366	50%	5.4	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	8	+0.404	62%	3.5	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	19	-0.247	37%	3.1	+0.173	143/161	-0.02
Under center	13	+0.269	69%	5.6	+0.273	14/24	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	32	-0.037	50%	4.1	+0.195	125/166	-0.00
No huddle	0	—	—	—	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	3	+0.202	67%	8.0	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	4	+0.354	50%	3.2	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	20	-0.035	55%	4.2	+0.208	113/144	0.03
11+ to go	5	-0.503	20%	2.2	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	17	-0.073	47%	2.9	-0.209	7/25	0.15
Short (0–9)	14	+0.060	57%	5.9	+0.162	75/116	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	1	-0.782	0%	0.0	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	0	—	—	—	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	12	+0.314	75%	7.2	+0.147	27/84	0.04
Middle	6	+0.313	50%	3.0	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	14	-0.488	29%	1.9	+0.168	102/102	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	10	+0.511	80%	6.8	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	22	-0.286	36%	2.9	+0.166	146/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	24	-0.058	46%	3.3	+0.187	127/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	8	+0.027	62%	6.5	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	9	-0.128	56%	3.8	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	23	-0.001	48%	4.2	+0.194	109/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	2	+1.091	100%	10.0	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	21	-0.105	43%	3.7	+0.198	127/157	0.12
5 rushers	8	-0.156	50%	3.6	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	1	+0.097	100%	5.0	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	25	+0.058	52%	4.5	+0.172	100/151	-0.04
7 in the box	4	-0.480	25%	2.5	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	3	-0.235	67%	2.7	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	12	+0.187	58%	3.9	-0.084	2/3	0.50
Not a screen	20	-0.171	45%	4.2	+0.223	148/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	18	-0.168	44%	4.3	+0.204	117/140	0.10
No motion	14	+0.131	57%	3.8	+0.179	60/97	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	32	-0.037	50%	4.1	+0.200	132/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	KC	32	-0.037	-1.2	50.0%	4.09	68.8%	-0.7	7.0

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.